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\u82f1\u570b2\u6708\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7522\uff08Industrial Production\uff0c\u5373\u7926\u696d\u3001\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u3001\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u696d\u7b49\u5de5\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u6309\u6708\u4e0a\u53470.5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u76840.2%\uff0c\u4e26\u626d\u8f491\u6708\u4e0b\u8dcc0.1%\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u7522\u51fa\uff08Manufacturing Production\uff0c\u5373\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u6309\u6708\u4e0b\u8dcc0.1%\uff0c\u8207\u539f\u5148\u9810\u671f\u4e0a\u53470.3%\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c1\u6708\u5247\u4e0a\u53470.1%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u61a7\u61ac\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u53ef\u80fd\u505c\u706b\uff08ceasefire\uff0c\u5373\u66ab\u505c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\uff09\u4e0b\u8f49\u5f31\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08US Dollar Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u572898.00\u9644\u8fd1\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u66fe\u89f8\u53ca\u516d\u5468\u4f4e\u4f4d97.83\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u65b9\u8072\u660e\u7a31\u5169\u570b\u63a5\u8fd1\u7d50\u675f\u6230\u4e8b\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63a5\u53d7Fox Business\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u885d\u7a81\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u7d50\u675f\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56de\u98672025\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u57282\u6708GDP\u5831\u544a\u5e36\u52d5\u4e0b\u660e\u986f\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u8fd11.3580\u3002\u7576\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u77ed\u66ab\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4ea6\u628a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u7684\u61a7\u61ac\u7d0d\u5165\u50f9\u683c\uff08priced in\uff0c\u5373\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5df2\u63d0\u524d\u5728\u8cb7\u8ce3\u4e2d\u53cd\u6620\u8a72\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff09\u3002\u81f32026\u5e744\u6708\uff0c\u5f62\u52e2\u5df2\u51fa\u73fe\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u90e8\u7f72\u4ea6\u9700\u8abf\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n
\u82f1\u570b\u65e9\u524d\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u5176\u5f8c\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a2026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u50c50.2%\u3002\u589e\u9577\u653e\u6162\u610f\u5473\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u60c5\u7dd2\u6700\u71be\u71b1\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u82f1\u938a\u9577\u671f\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08long-term call options\uff1a\u8cb7\u65b9\u652f\u4ed8\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff0c\u5c6c\u770b\u597d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u5c0d\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u7576\u6642\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u6536\u7e2e\u5176\u5be6\u5df2\u662f\u964d\u6eab\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c2026\u5e743\u6708\u901a\u8139\u70ba3.1%\uff0c\u4ecd\u660e\u986f\u9ad8\u65bc\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u9019\u8feb\u4f7f\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u70ba\u532f\u50f9\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6490\u5e95\u90e8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u900f\u904e\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff1a\u8cb7\u65b9\u53d6\u5f97\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\u51fa\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff0c\u5c6c\u770b\u6de1\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u9032\u53d6\u505a\u7a7a\u82f1\u938a\u98a8\u96aa\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\u5ec2\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53bb\u5e74\u504f\u5f31\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u9006\u8f49\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u7136\u300c\u9ecf\u6027\u504f\u9ad8\u300d\uff08sticky inflation\uff1a\u901a\u8139\u4e0d\u6613\u56de\u843d\uff09\uff0c\u90543.5%\uff0c\u800c3\u6708\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08Non-Farm Payrolls\uff1a\u5254\u9664\u8fb2\u696d\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d\u6578\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5c31\u696d\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u52d5\u529b\uff09\u65b0\u589e21.5\u842c\u500b\u8077\u4f4d\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u7a69\u5065\uff0c\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4ea6\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9df9\u7acb\u5834\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u50be\u5411\u4ee5\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u606f\u58d3\u901a\u8139\uff09\u3002\u5169\u5927\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u50f5\u6301\uff08policy deadlock\uff1a\u96d9\u65b9\u53d6\u614b\u76f8\u8fd1\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u5f62\u6210\u660e\u986f\u65b9\u5411\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u56f0\u5728\u8f03\u7a84\u5340\u9593\u5167\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53ef\u56de\u60f32022\u81f32023\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u671f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u592e\u884c\u5229\u5dee\uff08rate differentials\uff1a\u5169\u5730\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\u8207\u532f\u50f9\uff09\u4e3b\u5c0e\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u74b0\u5883\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u7279\u9ede\u662f\u82f1\u7f8e\u5169\u908a\u540c\u6a23\u8655\u65bc\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5feb\u901f\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4ee4\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff1a\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u63a8\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u8dcc\u81f318\u500b\u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u5e73\u975c\u72c0\u614b\u6216\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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