AUD\/USD \u9031\u4e8c\u4e0a\u5347\u7d04 0.38%\uff0c\u4e00\u5ea6\u903c\u8fd1 0.7150\uff0c\u4f46\u5728 0.7150 \u906d\u9047\u660e\u986f\u6cbd\u58d3\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u6025\u901f\u88ab\u63a8\u56de\uff09\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7d04 0.7120\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u81ea 4 \u6708\u521d\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7d04 0.6990 \u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u80fd\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc 0.7150 \u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6fb3\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u9280\u884c\uff08Westpac\uff09\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6578\u65bc 4 \u6708\u4e0b\u8dcc 12.5%\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c3 \u6708\u9032\u53e3\u6309\u5e74\u5347 27.8%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684 11.1%\uff1b\u51fa\u53e3\u6309\u5e74\u5347 2.5%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684 8.3%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7126\u9ede\u6578\u64da\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u9031\u56db\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u65b0\u589e 2 \u842c\u8077\u4f4d\uff09\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63 GDP\uff08\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff09\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u5c07\u5f71\u97ff\u6fb3\u5143\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c3 \u6708 PPI\uff08\u751f\u7522\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5ee0\u50f9\u683c\u901a\u8139\uff09\u6309\u6708\u5347 0.5%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f 1.2%\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3 PPI\uff08\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\uff09\u6309\u6708\u5347 0.1%\u3002\u6574\u9ad4 PPI \u6309\u5e74\u5347 4.0%\uff0c\u70ba 2023 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\uff1b\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u53d7\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u76f8\u95dc\u56e0\u7d20\u5e36\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6280\u8853\u8d70\u52e2\u65b9\u9762\uff0c15 \u5206\u9418\u5716\u986f\u793a AUD\/USD \u5831 0.7126\uff0c\u65e5\u5167\u958b\u5e02 0.7093\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5f RSI\uff08Stochastic RSI\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u8861\u91cf\u8d85\u8cb7\uff0f\u8d85\u8ce3\u7684\u52d5\u91cf\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u70ba 25.35\u3002\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u65b9\u9762\uff0cEMA\uff08\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u4ee5\u8f03\u9ad8\u6b0a\u91cd\u8a08\u5165\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u5206\u5225\u4f4d\u65bc 0.6981\uff0850 \u65e5\uff09\u53ca 0.6761\uff08200 \u65e5\uff09\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5f RSI \u70ba 81.10\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56de\u9867\u53bb\u5e74 4 \u6708\uff0cAUD\/USD \u66fe\u5f37\u52e2\u4e0a\u885d\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u7d42\u540c\u6a23\u5728 0.7150 \u9644\u8fd1\u53d7\u963b\u3002\u7576\u6642\u5347\u52e2\u7531\u504f\u8edf\u7684\u7f8e\u570b PPI \u53ca\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u4e2d\u6771\u548c\u8ac7\u7684\u61a7\u61ac\u5e36\u52d5\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u58d3\u3002\u904e\u5f80\u300c0.7150 \u9644\u8fd1\u5e38\u6709\u6cbd\u76e4\u9632\u5b88\u300d\u7684\u7279\u9ede\uff0c\u5c0d\u73fe\u6642\u4ea4\u6613\u90e8\u7f72\u5177\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u6fb3\u6d32\u6d88\u8cbb\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u6182\u616e\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u5df2\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u4ecd\u672a\u6d88\u6563\uff1b\u4f4f\u6236\u6b63\u627f\u53d7\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u5176\u5f8c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u6700\u65b0\u5b63\u5ea6 CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6c11\u751f\u901a\u8139\uff092026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5831 3.9%\uff0c\u4ecd\u660e\u986f\u9ad8\u65bc\u592e\u884c\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u653f\u7b56\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u7dca\u3002\u8f03\u7dca\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u4ee5\u8f03\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u62d6\u7d2f\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u6fb3\u5143\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e2d\u570b\u4ecd\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u4f46\u5f71\u97ff\u504f\u300c\u6709\u597d\u6709\u58de\u300d\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u5b98\u65b9\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI\uff08\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u6307\u6578\uff0c50 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u4ee3\u8868\u64f4\u5f35\uff09\u5831 50.8\uff0c\u5c6c\u8f15\u5fae\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u652f\u6301\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u7e7c\u800c\u5229\u597d\u6fb3\u5143\u3002\u9019\u4ea6\u63d0\u4f9b\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u652f\u6301\uff1aAUD\/USD \u56de\u843d\u6642\u6216\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u5438\u5f15\u8cb7\u76e4\u627f\u63a5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u683c\u5c40\u5df2\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc 2025 \u5e74 3 \u6708 PPI \u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u3001\u4ee4\u52a0\u606f\u58d3\u529b\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u6700\u65b0\u7f8e\u570b 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708 CPI \u5831 3.1%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u9ecf\uff08\u56de\u843d\u901f\u5ea6\u6162\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff09\u4fdd\u6301\u5be9\u614e\uff0c\u4e26\u4ee5\u6578\u64da\u4f5c\u6c7a\u7b56\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u504f\u9ecf\u6709\u5229\u7f8e\u5143\u7372\u5f97\u5e95\u90e8\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8f03\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u66f4\u70ba\u660e\u986f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u504f\u5411\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u5347\u7a7a\u9593\u3001\u540c\u6642\u9632\u7bc4\u56de\u5410\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\u65e5\u7dda\u96a8\u6a5f RSI \u8655\u65bc\u504f\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u5347\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u5347\u5230\u76e1\u982d\u300d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/USD \u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call option\uff0c\u8ce6\u4e88\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u53ef\u53c3\u8207\u6f5b\u5728\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u4e26\u628a\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u9650\u5236\u65bc\u5df2\u4ed8\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u6210\u672c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
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