{"id":44840,"date":"2026-04-14T01:31:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44840\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T01:31:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:31:00","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e6%80%a5%e5%bd%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%86%a7%e6%86%ac%e9%81%94%e6%88%90%e5%8d%94%e8%ad%b0%e6%8f%90%e6%8c%af%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%83%83%e7%b4%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44840\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u6025\u5f48\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u61a7\u61ac\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u63d0\u632f\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\uff0c\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u4e0b\u7f8e\u5143\u5f37\u52e2\u7a0d\u70ba\u56de\u843d"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD \u5468\u4e00\u5728\u8df3\u7a7a\u4f4e\u958b\u5f8c\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u61a7\u61ac\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\uff08risk sentiment\uff0c\u6307\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9858\u610f\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u610f\u6b32\uff09\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6301\u3002AUD\/USD \u66fe\u8dcc\u81f3\u65e5\u5167\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7d04 0.6990\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u7d04 0.7089 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u5831\u7d04 98.54\uff0c\u8f03\u65e9\u524d\u4e00\u5ea6\u63a5\u8fd1 99.00\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5468\u4e00\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u65b9\u5df2\u63a5\u89f8\u5230\u4f0a\u6717\u300c\u5408\u9069\u7684\u4eba\u300d\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5468\u672b\u6703\u8ac7\u672a\u6709\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ea6\u4e0b\u4ee4\u5be6\u65bd\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u5c01\u9396\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u6771\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u6cb9\u50f9\u5f71\u97ff<\/h3>\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u95dc\u6ce8\u4e2d\u6771\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7dca\u5f35\u5f62\u52e2\u662f\u5426\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u6709\u5426\u6a5f\u6703\u6062\u5fa9\u901a\u884c\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u52a0\u5287\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\uff08inflation concerns\uff0c\u5373\u7269\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u58d3\u529b\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c3 \u6708\u6574\u9ad4 CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u8139\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u6309\u6708\u5347 0.9%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 2 \u6708\u7684 0.3%\uff1b\u6309\u5e74\u5347\u5e45\u7531 2.4% \u64f4\u5927\u81f3 3.3%\u3002\u6578\u64da\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u50be\u5411\u76f8\u4fe1\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff09\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u6708\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c RBA\uff08Reserve Bank of Australia\uff092%\u20133% \u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\uff0cRBA \u4eca\u5e74\u5df2\u5169\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5468\u56db\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5468\u4e8c\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u9806\u5dee\uff08trade balance\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u6e1b\u5165\u53e3\u7684\u5dee\u984d\uff09\u540c\u6a23\u6210\u70ba\u7126\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8207 RBA \u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u53ca\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u504f\u5f37\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u6700\u65b0 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u610f\u5916\u5347\u81f3 3.5%\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u57fa\u672c\u6392\u9664\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473 AUD\/USD \u53cd\u5f48\u6642\u6cbd\u51fa\uff08sell rallies\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u56de\u5347\u6642\u5efa\u7acb\u6cbd\u76e4\uff09\u6216\u5177\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

RBA \u5728 2025 \u5e74\u504f\u9df9\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u6307\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\u7684\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u591a\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u4ee4\u901a\u8139\u7531\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u5b63\u5ea6\u901a\u8139\u7e8c\u898b\u56de\u843d\uff0cRBA \u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7406\u64da\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u8207\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5f62\u6210\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u652f\u6301\u90e8\u7f72\u4e0b\u884c\u4fdd\u8b77\uff08downside protection\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u7372\u5229\u6216\u6e1b\u5c11\u640d\u5931\u7684\u5b89\u6392\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u5408\u7d04\u8ce6\u4e88\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u6cbd\u51fa\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u6182\u616e\u5347\u6eab\u30022026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u6700\u65b0\u8cbf\u6613\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u53e3\u8207\u5165\u53e3\u5747\u610f\u5916\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5167\u9700\u8207\u5916\u9700\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\uff08commodity prices\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u8dcc\u7a7f\u6bcf\u5678 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u6253\u58d3\u6fb3\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u524d\u666f\u5206\u6b67\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u56e0\u7d20\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e0b\uff0cAUD\/USD \u8f03\u5927\u6a5f\u6703\u5411\u4e0b\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u5f15\u4f38\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u4ecd\u76f8\u5c0d\u504f\u4f4e\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\u4ee5\u90e8\u7f72\u4e0b\u8a66 0.6400 \u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u8f03\u5be9\u614e\u505a\u6cd5\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6709\u9650\uff08defined-risk\uff0c\u5373\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u4e00\u822c\u70ba\u5df2\u652f\u4ed8\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u628a\u63e1\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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