\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u5468\u4e8c\u5728159.70\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u53470.27%\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5831\u9053\u7f8e\u570b\u63a1\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u4ee4\u8239\u96bb\u96e3\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u9023\u63a5\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u8207\u963f\u66fc\u7063\u7684\u72f9\u7a84\u822a\u9053\uff0c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u8981\u9053\uff09\uff0c\u6d88\u606f\u5e36\u52d5\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u8d70\u52e2\u504f\u4e2d\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n
\u65e5\u5713\u5728\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u91d1\uff08safe-haven flows\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u6642\u6d41\u5411\u8f03\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\uff09\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u5e45\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8cf4\u9032\u53e3\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u82e5\u6cb9\u50f9\u9577\u6642\u9593\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u4ea6\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u58d3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u616e\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation\uff0c\u7269\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u56de\u843d\u901f\u5ea6\u6162\uff0c\u6216\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6e1b\u606f\uff08rate cuts\uff0c\u4e0b\u8abf\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u56e0\u6b64\u7372\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\uff08US Treasury yields\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u5238\u56de\u5831\u7387\uff09\u53ca\u80a1\u5e02\u4ea6\u4fdd\u6301\u504f\u7a69\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56db\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u65b9\u9762\uff0cUSD\/JPY\u5831159.74\uff0c\u4e26\u4f01\u572820\u5468\u671f\u53ca100\u5468\u671f\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff0cSimple Moving Average\uff1a\u628a\u6307\u5b9a\u6642\u9593\u5167\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u89c0\u5bdf\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5169\u689dSMA\u5206\u5225\u5728159.09\u53ca159.26\u3002\u9130\u8fd1159.73\u53ca159.57\u5f62\u6210\u652f\u6301\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08RSI\uff0cRelative Strength Index\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u4e0a\u5347\u8207\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52d5\u529b\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff1b\u4e00\u822c\u9ad8\u65bc70\u70ba\u8d85\u8cb7\u3001\u4f4e\u65bc30\u70ba\u8d85\u8ce3\uff09\u7d0462\uff0c\u5411\u4e0a\u4f46\u672a\u898b\u8d85\u8cb7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u5728159.73\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u70ba159.57\u53ca159.51\uff1b\u8fd1\u671f\u8cb7\u76e4\u53caSMA\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6490\u3002\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728159.86\uff0c\u82e5\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u6216\u63a8\u52d5\u77ed\u7dda\u5347\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n
\u65e5\u672c\u8d85\u904e95%\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9d\u8cf4\u9032\u53e3\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u6e90\u70ba\u4e2d\u6771\u3002\u82e5\u6cb9\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u8207\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u6253\u64ca\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u4ee4\u65e5\u5713\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0a\u5347\u6642\u4ecd\u96e3\u4ee5\u660e\u986f\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\u9019\u4ea6\u89e3\u91cb\u4e86\u5728\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u52a0\u5287\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u5e45\u4ecd\u53d7\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u5143\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u4ee4\u901a\u8139\u66f4\u96e3\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u539f\u5148\u9810\u671f\u65bc2026\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u6e1b\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u63a8\u9072\u3002\u7f8e\u65e5\u606f\u5dee\uff08interest rate differential\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\uff09\u56e0\u6b64\u4ecd\u662f\u63a8\u52d5USD\/JPY\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n
\u532f\u50f9\u903c\u8fd1160.00\u6c34\u5e73\u6642\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u8a18\u8d77\u65e5\u672c\u8ca1\u52d9\u7701\uff08Ministry of Finance\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u5916\u532f\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u9580\uff09\u57282024\u5e74\u6625\u5b63\u66fe\u4f5c\u51fa\u5916\u532f\u5e72\u9810\uff08intervention\uff0c\u5b98\u65b9\u5165\u5e02\u8cb7\u8ce3\u5916\u5e63\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u532f\u50f9\uff09\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u532f\u50f9\u6025\u632b\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u6cbd\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u8cb7\u65e5\u5713\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u662f\u6301\u6709\u55ae\u908a\u505a\u591a\uff08long position\uff0c\u770b\u597d\u4e26\u8cb7\u5165\uff09USD\/JPY\u7684\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u82e5\u5347\u7a7f160\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b66\u60d5\u662f\u5426\u51fa\u73fe\u592e\u884c\u884c\u52d5\u8de1\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9451\u65bc\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u6025\u901f\u9006\u8f49\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165USD\/JPY\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u652f\u4ed8\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u5f8c\uff0c\u7372\u5f97\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u5c6c\u8f03\u5be9\u614e\u505a\u6cd5\uff1a\u82e5\u532f\u50f9\u518d\u5347\u53ef\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u800c\u4e00\u65e6\u5e72\u9810\u89f8\u767c\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u53ea\u9650\u65bc\u5df2\u4ed8\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u8cb7\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u505a\u6cd5\u53ef\u5728\u770b\u597d\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0b\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u73fe\u8ca8\u6216\u671f\u8ca8\uff08spot\/futures\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u8cb7\u8ce3\u6216\u4ee5\u5408\u7d04\u65b9\u5f0f\u4ea4\u6613\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u8f03\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u82e5\u8a8d\u70ba\u5927\u884c\u60c5\u5c07\u81f3\u4f46\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\u6216\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565\uff08strangle\/straddle\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u6f32\u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff1b\u8de8\u5f0f\u901a\u5e38\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff0c\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\u5247\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u8f03\u5206\u6563\u7684\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff09\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u62bc\u6ce8\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u532f\u50f9\u7121\u8ad6\u5411\u4e0a\u885d\u7834160\uff0c\u6216\u56e0\u5e72\u9810\u6025\u8dcc\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u5e45\u7a81\u7834\u5747\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u53d7\u60e0\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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