{"id":44821,"date":"2026-04-13T21:35:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T21:35:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44821\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T21:35:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T21:35:04","slug":"ing%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%ad%b8%e5%ae%b6virovacz%e5%8f%8ataborsky%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%92%82%e8%96%a9%e9%bb%a8%e5%8f%96%e5%be%97%e8%b6%85%e7%b4%9a%e5%a4%9a%e6%95%b8%e7%b7%a9%e8%a7%a3%e6%94%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44821\/","title":{"rendered":"ING\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Virovacz\u53caTaborsky\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8482\u85a9\u9ee8\u53d6\u5f97\u8d85\u7d1a\u591a\u6578\u7de9\u89e3\u653f\u7b56\u7591\u616e\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u52a0\u5f37\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ING \u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Peter Virovacz \u53ca Frantisek Taborsky \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7531\u8482\u85a9\u9ee8\uff08Tisza\uff09\u4e3b\u5c0e\u7684\u65b0\u300c\u8d85\u7d1a\u591a\u6578\u300d\uff08\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u53d6\u5f97\u58d3\u5012\u6027\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff09\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u66f4\u5feb\u4fee\u88dc\u5236\u5ea6\uff08\u6539\u5584\u76e3\u7ba1\u8207\u516c\u5171\u6a5f\u69cb\u904b\u4f5c\uff09\u3001\u6539\u5584\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u5f37\u8ca1\u653f\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\u63a7\u5236\u8d64\u5b57\u8207\u50b5\u52d9\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff09 \u7684\u9810\u671f\u4ea6\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u8cc7\u91d1\uff08EU funds\uff0c\u6307\u6b50\u76df\u64a5\u6b3e\u53ca\u5fa9\u7526\u57fa\u91d1\u7b49\uff09\u722d\u8b70\u672a\u5fc5\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u89e3\u6c7a\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u62b1\u6709\u671f\u5f85\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u6b50\u76df\u8cc7\u91d1\u6b63\u5f0f\u64a5\u51fa\u524d\uff0c\u4ecd\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5ef6\u8aa4\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Budget Reset And Fiscal Tradeoffs<\/h3>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u652f\u6490\u9810\u7b97\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u5047\u8a2d\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u589e\u9577\u3001\u901a\u8139\u3001\u5229\u7387\u7b49\u63a8\u7b97\uff09\u5df2\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u9810\u7b97\u9762\u81e8\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u505a\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u79fb\u9664\u65e2\u6709\u7684\u9810\u7b97\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u8ca1\u653f\u6578\u64da\uff08\u5982\u8d64\u5b57\u3001\u50b5\u52d9\u6bd4\u7387\u7b49\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u8b8a\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u8a2d\u5b9a\u63a1\u7528\u6b50\u5143\uff08\u52a0\u5165\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u3001\u4ee5\u6b50\u5143\u4f5c\u6cd5\u5b9a\u8ca8\u5e63\uff09\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u51fa\u9054\u6a19\u8def\u7dda\u5716\uff08\u63a8\u9032\u6b65\u9a5f\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u5b89\u6392\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u7a31\uff0c\u8def\u7dda\u5716\u7d30\u7bc0\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4ecd\u53ef\u518d\u8abf\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65b0\u300c\u8d85\u7d1a\u591a\u6578\u300d\u4ee4\u653f\u6cbb\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u7a2e\u7a69\u5b9a\u540c\u6642\u91cb\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u77ed\u671f\u8ca1\u653f\u9663\u75db\u8207\u9577\u671f\u5236\u5ea6\u4fee\u88dc\u53ca\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u627f\u8afe\u4e92\u76f8\u62c9\u626f\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5308\u7259\u5229\u798f\u6797\u671f\u6b0a\uff08forint options\uff0c\u4ee5\u798f\u6797\u70ba\u6a19\u7684\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7684\u300c\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u300d\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u532f\u50f9\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\uff0c\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u9078\u8209\u5468\u671f\u5df2\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u7136\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Setup For Near Term Volatility<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u62c6\u89e3\u65e2\u6709\u9810\u7b97\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u53ef\u80fd\u62ab\u9732\u4e00\u4e9b\u8f03\u5dee\u6578\u5b57\u3002\u5308\u7259\u5229 2026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u9810\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u5df2\u9054 2,3210 \u5104\u798f\u6797\uff08HUF 2,321 billion\uff09\uff0c\u82e5\u70ba\u91cd\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u800c\u4ee4\u77ed\u671f\u8ca1\u653f\u72c0\u6cc1\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u62d6\u7d2f\u798f\u6797\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u8f03\u6709\u5229\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u8cb7\u5165 EUR\/HUF \u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u671f\u6b0a\u300c\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u300d\uff08call options\uff0c\u770b\u597d\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u5347\u7a7f 400 \u95dc\u53e3\uff08\u5373 1 \u6b50\u5143\u514c 400 \u798f\u6797\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c0d\u65bc\u6b50\u76df\u8cc7\u91d1\u7372\u6279\u767c\u653e\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u61c9\u4fdd\u6301\u5be9\u614e\u3002\u56de\u9867 2023 \u81f3 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u8ac7\u5224\u5f80\u5f80\u66e0\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u5ef6\u8aa4\u90fd\u6703\u524a\u5f31\u5c0d\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u652f\u6301\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u81f3\u5169\u500b\u6708\u7dad\u6301\u300c\u770b\u6de1\u798f\u6797\u300d\u7684\u5009\u4f4d\uff08bearish positions\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u798f\u6797\u8d70\u5f31\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u63a1\u7528\u6b50\u5143\u76ee\u6a19\u65e5\u671f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u8996\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u300c\u5229\u597d\u50ac\u5316\u5291\u300d\uff08bullish catalyst\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u89f8\u767c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u51fa\u73fe\u53ef\u4fe1\u516c\u544a\uff0c\u5c07\u56e0\u300c\u6536\u6582\u4ea4\u6613\u300d\uff08convergence trades\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u5229\u7387\u3001\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u53ca\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u5411\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u9760\u650f\uff09\u800c\u5f15\u767c\u798f\u6797\u660e\u986f\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9577\u5e74\u671f\u3001\u800c\u4e14\u300c\u50f9\u5916\u300d\uff08out-of-the-money\uff0c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u8f03\u73fe\u50f9\u66f4\u4e0d\u5229\u3001\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5927\u8d70\u52e2\u624d\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\uff09\u7684\u798f\u6797\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u627f\u53d7\u904e\u591a\u77ed\u671f\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0b\uff0c\u90e8\u7f72\u6f5b\u5728\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4ea6\u4ee4 EUR\/HUF \u9069\u5408\u63a1\u7528\u300c\u65e5\u66c6\u50f9\u5dee\u7b56\u7565\u300d\uff08calendar spread\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u7d44\u5408\uff09\u3002\u505a\u6cd5\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u6cbd\u51fa\u77ed\u671f\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u73fe\u6642\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u8cbb\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u5f8c\u5230\u671f\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u3002\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u77ed\u671f\u504f\u5f31\u6216\u6a6b\u884c\uff0c\u4e26\u70ba\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u798f\u6797\u8f49\u5f37\u4f5c\u90e8\u7f72\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ING\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Virovacz\u53caTaborsky\u6307\uff0c\u8482\u85a9\u9ee8\u596a\u8d85\u7d1a\u591a\u6578\u7d13\u7de9\u653f\u7b56\u7591\u616e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u95dc\u4fc2\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u6295\u8cc7\u6c23\u6c1b\u8207\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u9810\u671f\u8f49\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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