EUR\/HUF \u5468\u4e00\u6025\u632b\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u6ed9\u50f9\u8dcc\u81f32022\u5e742\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u5831\u7d04367\uff0c\u65e5\u5167\u8dcc\u7d042.25%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5308\u7259\u5229\u798f\u6797\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u56e0\u53cd\u5c0d\u6d3e\u9818\u8896 P\u00e9ter Magyar\uff08\u5f7c\u5f97\uff0e\u99ac\u624e\u723e\uff09\u52dd\u51fa\u9078\u8209\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u300c\u8482\u85a9\u9ee8\u300d\uff08Tisza\uff09\u5728199\u5e2d\u570b\u6703\u4e2d\u8d0f\u5f97138\u5e2d\uff0c\u5f97\u7968\u738753.6%\uff0c\u7d50\u675f Viktor Orb\u00e1n\uff08\u7dad\u514b\u6258\uff0e\u6b50\u723e\u73ed\uff0916\u5e74\u57f7\u653f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u53d6\u5f97\u300c\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u591a\u6578\u300d\uff08supermajority\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u570b\u6703\u64c1\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u5e2d\u4f4d\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u91cd\u5927\u6cd5\u6848\u751a\u81f3\u6539\u52d5\u61b2\u5236\uff09\u5f8c\uff0cMagyar \u53ef\u63a8\u52d5\u4fee\u6539\u300a\u61b2\u6cd5\u300b\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u5c07\u6062\u5fa9\u6cd5\u6cbb\uff08rule of law\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u5e9c\u884c\u4f7f\u6b0a\u529b\u53d7\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7d04\u675f\uff09\u3001\u6253\u64ca\u8caa\u8150\u3001\u5f37\u5316\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u7f6e\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba Orb\u00e1n \u4e0b\u53f0\u53ef\u964d\u4f4e\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5411\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u9760\u650f\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u671b\u7de9\u548c\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u56e0\u63f4\u70cf\u554f\u984c\u800c\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u300c\u88ab\u6263\u8d77\u7684\u6b50\u76df\u8cc7\u91d1\u300d\uff08withheld EU funds\uff0c\u5373\u56e0\u6cd5\u6cbb\u53ca\u7ba1\u6cbb\u722d\u8b70\u800c\u66ab\u505c\u64a5\u4ed8\u7684\u6b3e\u9805\uff09\u7372\u91cb\u7684\u9810\u671f\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5148\u524d\u53d7\u963b\u7684900\u5104\u6b50\u5143\u300c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u65b9\u6848\u300d\uff08loan package\uff0c\u5373\u7531\u6b50\u76df\u652f\u6301\u7684\u5927\u578b\u878d\u8cc7\u5b89\u6392\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
BHH \u5831\u544a\u6307\uff0c\u96a8\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\uff08political risk premium\uff0c\u5373\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u56e0\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u800c\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u984d\u5916\u56de\u5831\uff09\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u798f\u6797\u6216\u53ef\u4e0a\u5347\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u9078\u8209\u7d50\u679c\u4ea6\u5c0d\u6b50\u5143\u7565\u70ba\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u53ef\u964d\u4f4e\u6b50\u76df\u653f\u6cbb\u788e\u7247\u5316\u98a8\u96aa\uff08political fragmentation risk\uff0c\u5373\u5167\u90e8\u5206\u88c2\u4ee4\u653f\u7b56\u66f4\u96e3\u63a8\u9032\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\u7a31\uff0c\u82e5\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8d70\u5411\u300c\u8207\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u9760\u650f\u300d\uff08euro convergence\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u901a\u8139\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u9010\u6b65\u63a5\u8fd1\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6a19\u6e96\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\u628a\u901a\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u75313%\u4e0b\u8abf\u81f3\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u76842%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0b\u8abf\u76ee\u6a19\u610f\u5473\u9577\u671f\u50b5\u606f\uff08long-term yields\uff0c\u5373\u8f03\u9577\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\uff09\u6216\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u53ef\u652f\u6301\u798f\u6797\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u5728\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5916\u6ed9\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0b\uff0cEUR\/HUF \u6536\u5fa9\u90e8\u5206\u8dcc\u5e45\uff1b\u6ce2\u52d5\u8207\u7f8e\u4f0a\u7dca\u5f35\u5347\u6eab\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u56e0\u9031\u672b\u65bc\u4f0a\u65af\u862d\u5821\u7684\u6703\u8ac7\u672a\u80fd\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u3002<\/p>\n
EUR\/HUF \u6025\u8dcc\u81f3367\u5c6c\u91cd\u8981\u6280\u8853\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u4e26\u8dcc\u7a7f2025\u5e74\u4e00\u76f4\u5b88\u4f4f\u7684\u6280\u8853\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\uff08technical support\uff0c\u5373\u5716\u8868\u4e0a\u904e\u5f80\u591a\u6b21\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u3002\u9019\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u5feb\u901f\u5254\u9664\uff08pricing out\uff09\u9577\u671f\u58d3\u4f4f\u798f\u6797\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u3002\u4e0d\u5b9c\u8ffd\u6cbd\uff08chasing this move\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u5927\u8dcc\u5f8c\u518d\u8ffd\u5165\u770b\u6de1\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\uff08profit-taking\uff0c\u5373\u77ed\u7dda\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5148\u884c\u9396\u5b9a\u5229\u6f64\uff09\u6216\u89f8\u767c\u77ed\u671f\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n
EUR\/HUF \u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u300c\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\u300d\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u903e\u4e00\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u91cd\u5927\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u5c40\u5f8c\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u9019\u6216\u5e36\u4f86\u7b56\u7565\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728375\u4ee5\u4e0a\u300c\u6cbd\u51fa\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08selling call spreads\uff0c\u5373\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u82e5\u6ed9\u50f9\u672a\u80fd\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u53ef\u671b\u53d7\u60e0\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u53ef\u5229\u7528\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u300c\u6ce2\u5e45\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\uff08volatility premiums\uff0c\u5373\u56e0\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u66f4\u8cb4\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56de\u9867\u904e\u53bb\uff0c\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u57282025\u5e74\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u96e3\u4ee5\u8dcc\u7a7f380\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u5308\u7259\u5229\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\u9ad8\u65bc\u592e\u884c3%\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u82e5\u628a\u76ee\u6a19\u8f49\u54112%\uff08\u7b26\u5408\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6536\u6582\u6e96\u5247\uff09\uff0c\u5c07\u5c6c\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5927\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u66f4\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u5373\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\uff0c\u9577\u7dda\u53ef\u70ba\u798f\u6797\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u5f37\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5148\u524d\u53d7\u963b\u7684900\u5104\u6b50\u5143\u6b50\u76df\u8cc7\u91d1\u4e00\u65e6\u7372\u91cb\u4ea6\u662f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u8996\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u5c07\u660e\u986f\u6539\u5584\u5308\u7259\u5229\u300c\u570b\u969b\u6536\u652f\u300d\uff08balance of payments\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u570b\u5c0d\u5916\u6536\u4ed8\u6b3e\u7684\u7e3d\u5e33\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u632f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u9031\u9700\u7559\u610f\u5e03\u9054\u4f69\u65af\u53ca\u5e03\u9b6f\u585e\u723e\u7684\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u4ee5\u78ba\u8a8d\u9032\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u5308\u7259\u5229\u798f\u6797\u8dcc\u7a7f2022\u5e742\u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u798f\u6797\u5f37\u52e2\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u65b0\u661f\u5f7c\u5f97\u30fb\u99ac\u624e\u723e\u52dd\u9078\u9ede\u71c3\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u6e67\u5165\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u7e8c\u770b\u5347\u52e2\u8207\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}