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\u7f8e\u570b\u526f\u7e3d\u7d71JD Vance\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4f0a\u5728\u4f0a\u65af\u862d\u5821\u9032\u884c\u7684\u78cb\u5546\u6b77\u664221\u5c0f\u6642\u4ecd\u672a\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u6d88\u606f\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7a31\uff0c\u7f8e\u65b9\u5c07\u958b\u59cb\u5c01\u9396\u6240\u6709\u9032\u51fa\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u4e2d\u6771\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u822a\u904b\u54bd\u5589\u8981\u9053\uff09\u7684\u8239\u96bb\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u91dd\u5c0d\u5f80\u4f86\u4f0a\u6717\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u4ea4\u901a\u884c\u52d5\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e00\u7f8e\u6771\u6642\u9593\u4e0a\u534810\u6642\uff08\u683c\u6797\u5a01\u6cbb\u6642\u959314:00\uff09\u958b\u59cb\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u9577\u7a46\u7f55\u9ed8\u5fb7\u00b7\u5df4\u84cb\u723e\u00b7\u52a0\u5229\u5df4\u592b\u7a31\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5373\u4f7f\u63d0\u51fa\u300c\u5efa\u8a2d\u6027\u5021\u8b70\u300d\uff08constructive initiatives\uff0c\u5373\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u5177\u5408\u4f5c\u610f\u5473\u7684\u63d0\u6848\uff09\uff0c\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u5fb7\u9ed1\u862d\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n
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\u5728\u73fe\u6642\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u518d\u73fe\u76f8\u4f3c\u8d70\u52e2\uff1a\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u5373\u8ce6\u4e88\u8cb7\u8ce3\u65b9\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u6642\u9593\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u6240\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u3001\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\u73fe\u583111.2%\uff0c\u8f03\u5169\u500b\u6708\u524d\u76848.5%\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u6b63\u70ba\u8f03\u5e73\u5e38\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002\u9019\u6703\u4ee4\u76f4\u63a5\u8cb7\u5165\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u7b56\u7565\u4e0a\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u7cbe\u7d30\u90e8\u7f72\u3002<\/p>\n
\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u4ea6\u4ee4\u5f62\u52e2\u5347\u6eab\uff1a\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u6cb9\u50f9\u57fa\u6e96\uff096\u6708\u671f\u8ca8\uff08futures\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6307\u5b9a\u65e5\u671f\u4ee5\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u4ea4\u6536\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5728\u4e2d\u6771\u4f9b\u61c9\u6182\u616e\u518d\u8d77\u4e0b\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u687698\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u527514\u500b\u6708\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u901a\u5e38\u6709\u5229\u5546\u54c1\u8ca8\u5e63\uff08commodity-linked currencies\uff0c\u5373\u8207\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u3001\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u95dc\u806f\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u63a8\u9ad8\u907f\u96aa\u7f8e\u5143\uff08safe-haven dollar\uff0c\u5373\u98a8\u96aa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0b\u8cc7\u91d1\u50be\u5411\u6d41\u5165\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\uff0c\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u69cb\u6210\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u81ea\u8eab\u4ea6\u53d7\u6578\u64da\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u82f1\u570b2026\u5e743\u6708\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation\uff0c\u5373\u7269\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u58313.1%\uff0c\u4ee4\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\uff08Bank of England\uff09\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u5176\u504f\u9d3f\u53d6\u5411\uff08dovish stance\uff0c\u5373\u50be\u5411\u6e1b\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7acb\u5834\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0a\u5468\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u65b0\u589e24.5\u842c\u500b\u8077\u4f4d\uff0c\u978f\u56fa\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u4ee5\u53d7\u60e0\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u55ae\u7d14\u62bc\u6ce8\u55ae\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u4ee5\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long straddle\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u540c\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long strangle\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u53ef\u7528\u65bc\u6355\u6349\u96d9\u5411\u5927\u6ce2\u5e45\u3002\u82e5\u770b\u6de1\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u50f9\u5dee\uff08put spread\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u5165\u4e00\u500b\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u4f4e\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u5229\u6f64\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u6e1b\u5c11\u524d\u671f\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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