{"id":44557,"date":"2026-04-09T21:36:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T21:36:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44557\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T21:36:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T21:36:28","slug":"%e4%b8%89%e8%8f%b1%e6%97%a5%e8%81%af%e9%87%91%e8%9e%8d%e9%9b%86%e5%9c%98%ef%bc%88mufg%ef%bc%89derek-halpenny%ef%bc%9a%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e8%a9%95%e4%bc%b0%e5%81%9c%e7%81%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44557\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e09\u83f1\u65e5\u806f\u91d1\u878d\u96c6\u5718\uff08MUFG\uff09Derek 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risk\uff0c\u5373\u56e0\u5730\u5340\u885d\u7a81\u3001\u5916\u4ea4\u95dc\u4fc2\u800c\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u601d\u8def\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u662f\u5426\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u8cc7\u91d1\u9003\u5411\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\u300d\uff08flight to safety\uff0c\u5373\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u5165\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u7f8e\u50b5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u4e3b\u8981\u62bc\u6ce8\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08volatility\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u843d\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u548c\u8ac7\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u6025\u5347\u800c\u6025\u5f48\u3002\u5f9eCboe Currency Volatility Index\uff08CVIX\uff0c\u8ca8\u5e63\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff1b\u53cd\u6620\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u770b\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u5df2\u5347\u81f38.9\uff0c\u8f03\u5169\u5468\u524d\u76847.5\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u958b\u59cb\u63d0\u9ad8\u5c0d\u300c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u300d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u7387\u4f30\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u90e8\u7f72\u907f\u96aa\u8d70\u52e2<\/h3>\n<p>\u82e5\u90e8\u7f72\u300c\u907f\u96aa\u8cb7\u76e4\u300d\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08U.S. Dollar Index\uff0cDXY\uff1b\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money call 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claims\uff0c\u5373\u6bcf\u5468\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u91d1\u7684\u4eba\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u89c0\u5bdf\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u51b7\u6696\uff09\u610f\u5916\u5347\u81f324.5\u842c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7d93\u6fdf\u6b63\u5728\u964d\u6eab\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ea6\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff09\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8f49\u5411\u66f4\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u5373\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u7684\u8feb\u5207\u7406\u7531\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6cbd\u51fa\u7f8e\u5143\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\uff08call spreads\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8207\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u50f9\u4f4d\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u56de\u5831\uff09\u6216\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08puts\uff0c\u5373\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\u56de\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u98672022\u5e74\u4fc4\u70cf\u885d\u7a81\u521d\u671f\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9\u53ef\u898b\uff0c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u64ca\u53ef\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u63a8\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8207\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7121\u5fc5\u7136\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002\u9019\u63d0\u9192\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u98a8\u96aa\u7a81\u7136\u4e0a\u5347\u4ecd\u662f\u63a8\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\u7684\u6700\u5f37\u50ac\u5316\u5291\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\u76e3\u5bdf\u505c\u706b\u80fd\u5426\u7dad\u6301\uff0c\u6bd4\u53cd\u8986\u89e3\u8b80\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u63aa\u8fad\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MUFG 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