{"id":44429,"date":"2026-04-09T10:35:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:35:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44429\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T10:35:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:35:53","slug":"%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%b0%a3%e6%b0%9b%e8%bd%89%e4%bd%b3%ef%bc%8c%e9%81%93%e6%8c%87%e3%80%81%e6%a8%99%e6%99%ae500%e5%8f%8a%e7%b4%8d%e6%8c%87%e6%9c%9f%e8%b2%a8%e5%bc%b7%e5%8b%a2%e4%b8%8a%e6%8f%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44429\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e02\u5834\u6c23\u6c1b\u8f49\u4f73\uff0c\u9053\u6307\u3001\u6a19\u666e500\u53ca\u7d0d\u6307\u671f\u8ca8\u5f37\u52e2\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u903c\u8fd147,900\u30016,820\u53ca25,150\u9ede"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u9053\u6307\u671f\u8ca8\u5468\u4e09\u6b50\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u53472.32%\uff0c\u5831\u7d0447,900\u9ede\u3002\u6a19\u666e500\u53ca\u7d0d\u6307100\u671f\u8ca8\u5206\u5225\u53472.49%\u53ca3.19%\uff0c\u5831\u7d046,820\u9ede\u53ca25,150\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u671f\u8ca8\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\u6703\u66ab\u505c\u8f5f\u70b8\u4f0a\u6717\u5169\u661f\u671f\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7a31\u505c\u706b\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u91cd\u958b\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u822a\u9053\uff09\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u5b98\u54e1\u6307\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4ea6\u540c\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Markets React To Ceasefire Pause<\/h3>\n<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u5b98\u54e1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u6703\u8ac7\u5c07\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4f0a\u65af\u862d\u5821\u8209\u884c\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u572815\u65e5\u5167\u6572\u5b9a\u7d30\u7bc0\uff0c\u6703\u8b70\u5468\u4e94\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u6309\u96d9\u65b9\u540c\u610f\u5ef6\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e8c\u7f8e\u80a1\u73fe\u8ca8\u5e02\u6cc1\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9053\u6307\u8dcc0.18%\uff1b\u6a19\u666e500\u53470.07%\uff1b\u7d0d\u6307100\u53470.9%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u4ee4\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u7d13\u7de9\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\uff08\u901a\u8139\u6307\u7269\u50f9\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u964d\u4f4e\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u300c\u504f\u9df9\u300d\u53d6\u614b\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff08\u504f\u9df9\u5373\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u58d3\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u806f\u5132\u9280\u884c\u884c\u9577\u5967\u65af\u5766\u30fb\u53e4\u723e\u65af\u6bd4\uff08Austan Goolsbee\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u89f8\u767c\u300c\u6eef\u8139\u5f0f\u885d\u64ca\u300d\uff08stagflationary shock\uff0c\u5373\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u75b2\u5f31\u4f46\u901a\u8139\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u901a\u8139\u56de\u5347\u3002\u7d10\u7d04\u806f\u5132\u9280\u884c\u884c\u9577\u7d04\u7ff0\u30fb\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af\uff08John Williams\uff09\u7a31\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u6216\u63a8\u9ad8\u300c\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u300d\uff08headline inflation\uff0c\u5373\u5305\u542b\u80fd\u6e90\u53ca\u98df\u54c1\u7b49\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Volatility Likely To Fall Further<\/h3>\n<p>\u96a8\u7740\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u300c\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u300d\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u5e45\u9810\u671f\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5168\u9762\u56de\u843d\u3002\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u671f\u6b0a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff08CBOE Volatility Index\uff0cVIX\uff0c\u300c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6578\u300d\u7528\u4f5c\u91cf\u5ea6\u6a19\u666e500\u671f\u6b0a\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff09\u6216\u7531\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u4f4d\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c2022\u5e74\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u64ca\u671f\u9593\u66fe\u98c6\u5347\u81f335\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u3002\u7576\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\uff0c\u300c\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u300d\uff08selling premium\uff0c\u5373\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u8cbb\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u6703\u8f03\u5438\u5f15\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6cbd\u51fa\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08shorting puts\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0d\u6703\u5927\u8dcc\uff09\u6216\u9032\u884c\u300c\u8a8d\u6cbd\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08put spreads\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u53ca\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u540c\u6642\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u5e02\u6cc1\u4e0a\u5347\u53ca\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u964d\u6eab\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ea6\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u6301\u6709\u80a1\u7968\u6307\u6578\u300c\u9577\u5009\u300d\uff08going long\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7d0d\u6307100\uff0c\u671f\u8ca8\u5df2\u986f\u793a\u8f03\u5f37\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u53ef\u6e1b\u8f15\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\uff0c\u4ea6\u964d\u4f4e\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4ee4\u504f\u589e\u9577\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u66f4\u53d7\u5e02\u5834\u652f\u6301\u3002\u53ef\u7528\u300c\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u300d\uff08call options\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u6216\u300c\u725b\u5e02\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08bull call spreads\uff0c\u5373\u4ee5\u8f03\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u53c3\u8207\u4e0a\u5347\u3001\u4f46\u76c8\u5229\u4e0a\u9650\u53d7\u9650\uff09\u5e03\u5c40\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u81f3\u5169\u5468\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u91cd\u958b\u5c0d\u6cb9\u50f9\u5c6c\u91cd\u5927\u5229\u6de1\u56e0\u7d20\uff08bearish catalyst\uff0c\u5373\u4ee4\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u89f8\u767c\u9ede\uff09\u30022022\u5e74\u521d\u4fc4\u70cf\u885d\u7a81\u7206\u767c\u6642\uff0cWTI\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u57fa\u6e96\u6cb9\u50f9\uff09\u66fe\u885d\u7834\u6bcf\u6876120\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u73fe\u6642\u5e02\u5834\u6216\u51fa\u73fe\u76f8\u53cd\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u986f\u8457\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u53ef\u7559\u610f\u8cb7\u5165\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\uff0c\u535a\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u885d\u7a81\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u9700\u7559\u610f\u505c\u706b\u5c6c\u66ab\u6642\u53ca\u6709\u689d\u4ef6\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u800c\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u8ac7\u5224\u5468\u4e94\u624d\u6b63\u5f0f\u958b\u59cb\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4ee4\u300c\u5c0d\u6c96\u4fdd\u8b77\u300d\uff08protection\/hedge\uff0c\u5373\u900f\u904e\u5de5\u5177\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e0d\u5229\u8d70\u52e2\u640d\u5931\uff09\u6210\u672c\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8d81\u5e02\u6cc1\u8f03\u5e73\u975c\u6642\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9577\u5e74\u671f\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08longer-dated puts\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e00\u81f3\u5169\u500b\u6708\u5230\u671f\uff09\u4f5c\u5c0d\u6c96\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u8ac7\u5224\u7834\u88c2\u3001\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6eab\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u56de\u6696\u5e36\u52d5\u7f8e\u80a1\u671f\u8ca8\u5168\u9762\u62bd\u5347\uff0c\u9053\u6307\u3001\u6a19\u6307\u53ca\u7d0d\u6307\u671f\u8ca8\u5f37\u52e2\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u903c\u8fd147,900\u30016,820\u53ca25,150\u9ede\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u62bc\u6ce8\u53cd\u5f48\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\u5347\u6eab\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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