{"id":44426,"date":"2026-04-09T10:21:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44426\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T10:21:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:21:00","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%9c%93%e8%b7%8c%e8%87%b3158-20%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%b1%e5%8f%8a%e7%be%8e%e4%bc%8a%e5%81%9c%e7%81%ab%e6%b6%88%e6%81%af%e5%bd%b1%e9%9f%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44426\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\u8dcc\u81f3158.20\uff0c\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u53ca\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u8dcc\u52e2\u64f4\u5927\u4e26\u4e0b\u7834159.00"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u5468\u4e09\u6b50\u5e02\u4e0b\u8dcc0.9%\uff0c\u5831\u7d04158.20\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u9054\u6210\u70ba\u671f\u5169\u5468\u7684\u505c\u706b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u4e0b\u8dcc0.75%\uff0c\u81f3\u7d0498.75\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u539f\u5b9a\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u6c11\u7528\u57fa\u5efa\uff08\u5982\u4f9b\u6c34\u3001\u4f9b\u96fb\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u516c\u5171\u8a2d\u65bd\uff09\u7684\u653b\u64ca\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u5c07\u66ab\u505c\u5169\u5468\uff0c\u56e0\u5fb7\u9ed1\u862d\u540c\u610f\u91cd\u65b0\u958b\u653e\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u3002\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u627f\u8f09\u8fd120%\u7684\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u61c9\uff08\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u539f\u6cb9\u8207\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u904b\u8f38\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

Usd Jpy Technical Outlook<\/h3>\n

\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u671f\u8f49\u5411\u3002CME FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\uff08\u6839\u64da\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\u63a8\u7b97\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u52a0\u606f\/\u6e1b\u606f\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u5df2\u6c92\u6709\u52a0\u606f\u9810\u671f\uff1b\u9019\u63a8\u7ffb\u4e86\u6230\u4e8b\u958b\u59cb\u5f8c\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u5169\u6b21\u606f\u300d\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u8d70\u52e2\u65b9\u9762\uff0cUSD\/JPY\u57284\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u4e0a\u8dcc\u7a7f\u5c0d\u7a31\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\u5f8c\u8f49\u70ba\u504f\u6de1\uff08\u5c0d\u7a31\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\uff1a\u9ad8\u4f4d\u8207\u4f4e\u4f4d\u9010\u6b65\u6536\u7a84\u7684\u6574\u7406\u5f62\u614b\uff0c\u8dcc\u7a7f\u901a\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u4e0b\u884c\u8a0a\u865f\uff09\u3002\u532f\u50f9\u73fe\u4f4e\u65bc\u7531157.46\u5ef6\u4f38\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u652f\u6301\u7dda\uff1b200\u5468\u671fEMA\uff08\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1a\u8f03\u91cd\u8996\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u5224\u65b7\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u4f4d\u65bc\u7d04158.40\uff0c\u73fe\u6210\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

14\u5929RSI\uff08\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u8cb7\u8ce3\u52d5\u80fd\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u8dcc\u81f328\uff0c\u5c6c\u8d85\u8ce3\uff08\u4e00\u822c\u4f4e\u65bc30\u8996\u70ba\u8d85\u8ce3\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u77ed\u671f\u8dcc\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u904e\u6025\uff09\u3002\u963b\u529b\u5728158.40\u53ca159.00\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u82e5\u5347\u7a7f159.00\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u76ee\u6a19\u6307\u5411159.60\u3002<\/p>\n

\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u5728157.50\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u82e5\u8dcc\u7a7f\uff0c\u6216\u4e0b\u8a66157.00\u3002\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790\u90e8\u5206\u8a3b\u660e\u66fe\u4f7f\u7528AI\u5de5\u5177\u5354\u52a9\u751f\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n

Macro And Strategy Implications<\/h3>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\u7f8e\u5143\u66fe\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u77ed\u66ab\u505c\u706b\u5f8c\u5927\u5e45\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u8f49\u5411\u300crisk-on\u300d\uff08\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f03\u9858\u610f\u8cb7\u5165\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u52302026\u5e744\u6708\uff0c\u5340\u5167\u5916\u4ea4\u6469\u64e6\u518d\u8d77\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u50be\u5411\u5c0b\u627e\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u5c6c\u5178\u578b\u300crisk-off\u300d\uff08\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u5347\u6eab\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f49\u8cb7\u8f03\u7a69\u5b9a\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u7684\u5e02\u6cc1\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5229\u597d\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u7f8e\u5143\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u907f\u96aa\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e4b\u4e00\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7576\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e0d\u518d\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u5168\u7403\u901a\u8139\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0d\u540c\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b3\u6708CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u8139\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5347\u81f33.1%\uff0c\u901a\u8139\u504f\u71b1\uff0c\u4ee46\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u6a5f\u7387\u6309CME FedWatch\u8a08\u5347\u81f3\u903e65%\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08\u9df9\u6d3e\uff1a\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u901a\u8139\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\uff09\u7684\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5c0d\u65e5\u5713\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u65e5\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u4ea6\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u672a\u9054\u52302%\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u5bec\u9b06\uff08\u5bec\u9b06\uff1a\u4ee5\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u53ca\u8cc7\u91d1\u4f9b\u61c9\u652f\u6301\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u65e5\u5229\u5dee\uff08\u5169\u570b\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\uff09\u6599\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u64f4\u95ca\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5c0d\u65e5\u5713\u66f4\u5438\u5f15\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u504f\u5411\u652f\u6301USD\/JPY\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u300crisk-off\u300d\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u66f4\u53d7\u8ffd\u6367\uff0c\u7b56\u7565\u53d6\u5411\u82072025\u5e74\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165USD\/JPY\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call\uff1a\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u8a8d\u6cbd\u50f9\u5dee\uff08put spread\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u53ca\u8cb7\u5165\u4e0d\u540c\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\u7684put\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u9650\u5236\u56de\u64a4\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u82e5\u6ed9\u50f9\u5982\u9810\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7b56\u7565\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u8dcc\u7a7f159.00\u5f8c\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u6e2c\u8a66\u7684\u662f164.50\u9644\u8fd1\u963b\u529b\u3002\u82e5\u56de\u843d\u81f3163.80\u4e00\u5e36\uff0c\u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u5438\u7d0d\u4f4d\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u70ba\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u7a81\u7834165.00\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\uff08\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\uff1a\u6574\u6578\u4f4d\u5e38\u6210\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7126\u9ede\uff09\u3002\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u56e0\u7d20\u672a\u8b8a\u524d\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u6301\u6709\u300c\u9577\u5009\u300d\uff08long\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6301\u5009\uff09\u8f03\u5408\u9069\u3002<\/p>\n

Cboe\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578VIX\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6a19\uff1a\u53cd\u6620\u6a19\u666e500\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff09\u56de\u5347\u81f318\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u616e\u5347\u6eab\u3002\u6ce2\u5e45\u9ad8\u6642\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916put\uff08out-of-the-money\uff1a\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684put\uff09\u901a\u5e38\u53ef\u6536\u53d6\u8f03\u9ad8\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08\u671f\u6b0a\u8cbb\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u56de\u8abf\u6642\u63d0\u4f9b\u7de9\u885d\uff1b\u7b56\u7565\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6536\u53d6\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u7b49\u5f85\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f2a\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u52a0\u4e0a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u767c\u9175\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\u6025\u632b\u81f3158.20\uff0c\u8dcc\u52e2\u64f4\u5927\u4e26\u5931\u5b88159\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u6cbd\u58d3\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u805a\u7126\u5f8c\u7e8c\u653f\u7b56\u8a0a\u865f\u8207\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44426"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44426\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}