{"id":44371,"date":"2026-04-08T04:08:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:08:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44371\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T04:08:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:08:11","slug":"%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%9c%a8truth-social%e5%ae%a3%e5%b8%83%e6%9a%ab%e7%b7%a9%e5%85%a9%e6%98%9f%e6%9c%9f%e5%b0%8d%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e7%99%bc%e5%8b%95%e5%8e%9f%e5%ae%9a%e7%be%8e%e8%bb%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44371\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728Truth Social\u5ba3\u5e03\u66ab\u7de9\u5169\u661f\u671f\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u767c\u52d5\u539f\u5b9a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u7a7a\u8972"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728 Truth Social \u767c\u6587\u7a31\uff0c\u5c07\u66ab\u505c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u8f5f\u70b8\u53ca\u653b\u64ca\u5169\u661f\u671f\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u66ab\u505c\u662f\u5728\u8207\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7e3d\u7406\u590f\u5df4\u8332\u30fb\u8b1d\u91cc\u592b\uff08Shehbaz Sharif\uff09\u53ca\u9678\u8ecd\u5143\u5e25\u963f\u897f\u59c6\u30fb\u7a46\u5c3c\u723e\uff08Asim Munir\uff09\u6703\u8ac7\u5f8c\u4f5c\u51fa\uff0c\u4f46\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u540c\u610f\u300c\u5168\u9762\u3001\u5373\u6642\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u300d\u958b\u653e\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u822a\u904b\u8981\u9053\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5f62\u5bb9\u8a72\u65b9\u6848\u70ba\u300c\u96d9\u908a\u505c\u706b\u300d\uff08double sided CEASEFIRE\uff0c\u5373\u96d9\u65b9\u4e92\u76f8\u505c\u6b62\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u7a31\u7f8e\u8ecd\u8ecd\u4e8b\u76ee\u6a19\u5df2\u9054\u6210\u4e14\u300c\u8d85\u984d\u5b8c\u6210\u300d\u3002\u4ed6\u53c8\u7a31\u7f8e\u65b9\u5df2\u6536\u5230\u4f0a\u6717\u4e00\u4efd\u300c10\u9ede\u5efa\u8b70\u300d\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5169\u661f\u671f\u53ef\u8b93\u5354\u8b70\u6572\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9\u53ca\u4e3b\u8981\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5<\/h3>\n

\u6d88\u606f\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u5347\u903e1.50%\uff0c\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b100\u6307\u6578\u5347\u8d85\u904e1.70%\u3002\u91d1\u50f9\u4ea6\u5347\u903e1.50%\uff0c\u5831\u7d044,770\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

WTI \u539f\u6cb9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u903e7.50%\uff0c\u7531\u7d04108\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876101\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0d\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u8dcc\u52e2\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u64b0\u5beb\u6642\u8dcc0.47%\u81f399.51\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u4ea6\u89e3\u91cb\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u7528\u8a9e\u300crisk-on\u300d\u8207\u300crisk-off\u300d\uff1a
\n– \u300crisk-on\u300d\uff08\u9858\u610f\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u504f\u597d\u8f03\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5229\u597d\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u90e8\u5206\u5546\u54c1\u53ca\u8f03\u9ad8\u606f\u6216\u5546\u54c1\u76f8\u95dc\u8ca8\u5e63\u3002
\n– \u300crisk-off\u300d\uff08\u907f\u96aa\uff09\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f49\u5411\u8f03\u7a69\u5b9a\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u5e38\u898b\u6d41\u5165\u50b5\u5238\u3001\u9ec3\u91d1\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u65e5\u5713\u53ca\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u3002
\n\u5728\u300crisk-on\u300d\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\uff08AUD\uff09\u3001\u52a0\u5143\uff08CAD\uff09\u3001\u7d10\u5143\uff08NZD\uff09\u3001\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u76e7\u5e03\uff08RUB\uff09\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u862d\u7279\uff08ZAR\uff09\u5f80\u5f80\u8f03\u53d7\u8ffd\u6367\uff08\u5373\u8f03\u6613\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5169\u661f\u671f\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u660e\u986f\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u790e\u4ecd\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u3002WTI \u6025\u8dcc\u53ca\u80a1\u5e02\u6025\u5347\u53cd\u6620\u77ed\u7dda\u300c\u9b06\u4e00\u53e3\u6c23\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u5f80\u5f8c\u5341\u56db\u65e5\u8d70\u52e2\u5b8c\u5168\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u8ac7\u5224\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u8cb7\u8ce3\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u5982\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u9700\u8981\u9762\u5c0d\u300c\u975e\u9ed1\u5373\u767d\u300d\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff08binary outcome\uff0c\u5373\u7d50\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u5411\u5169\u500b\u65b9\u5411\u5927\u5e45\u767c\u5c55\uff09\uff0c\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08volatility\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u843d\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u5e7e\u4e4e\u80af\u5b9a\u6703\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728 WTI \u5373\u6642\u6025\u8dcc7.50%\u5f8c\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u300c\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\u300d\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u4e0a\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u300d\uff08long straddle\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u76f8\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u53ca\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u8207\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u300c\u8cb7\u5165\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\u300d\uff08long strangle\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u76f8\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u4f46\u4e0d\u540c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u8207\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u8ac7\u5224\u7d50\u679c\u65b9\u5411\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u4fbf\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u7372\u5229\u3002\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f9b\u61c9\u95dc\u9375\u6a3d\u9838\uff0c\u7d04\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u6db2\u9ad4\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u8fd120%\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u82e5\u5354\u8b70\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u6025\u5347\u81f3\u8f03\u65e9\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce2\u5e45\u53ca\u671f\u6b0a\u90e8\u7f72<\/h3>\n

\u4ee5\u6a19\u666e500\u7b49\u80a1\u7968\u6307\u6578\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u6025\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4 CBOE \u6ce2\u5e45\u6307\u6578\uff08VIX\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u300c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6578\u300d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u6a19\u666e500\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u300c\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u300d\uff08options premiums\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u671f\u6b0a\u9700\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8b8a\u5f97\u8f03\u4fbf\u5b9c\u30022022\u5e74\u4fc4\u70cf\u5c40\u52e2\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff1a\u5728\u521d\u671f\u964d\u6eab\u8ac7\u5224\u5f8c\uff0cVIX \u4e00\u5468\u5167\u66fe\u8dcc\u903e15%\u3002\u82e5\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u76f8\u4fe1\u505c\u706b\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728 SPX\uff08\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u671f\u6b0a\/\u6307\u6578\uff09\u4e0a\u300c\u8ce3\u51fa\u8a8d\u6cbd\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08sell put spreads\uff1a\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u3001\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u4f5c\u98a8\u96aa\u9650\u5236\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u964d\u6eab\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u4e0b\u8dcc\u986f\u793a\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5f31\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u5546\u54c1\u8ca8\u5e63\u3002\u53ef\u7528\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u300c\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\u4ee3\u7406\u4ea4\u6613\u300d\uff08proxy trades\uff0c\u5373\u7528\u67d0\u4e9b\u8ca8\u5e63\u7d44\u5408\u9593\u63a5\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u505a\u591a\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\uff08AUD\/JPY\uff09\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u8207\u6a19\u666e500\u5448\u8f03\u5f37\u6b63\u76f8\u95dc\uff08\u5373\u80a1\u5e02\u5347\u6642\u5b83\u8f03\u6613\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u5728\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\u6355\u6349\u6574\u9ad4 risk-on \u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec3\u91d1\u8207\u80a1\u7968\u540c\u5347\u3001\u4e26\u63a8\u9ad8\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd14,800\u7f8e\u5143\u5c6c\u8f03\u7f55\u898b\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u591a\u5728\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f31\u53ca\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u50b3\u7d71\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0a\u6708 CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff09\u986f\u793a\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\uff08core inflation\uff1a\u6263\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u7b49\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u9805\u76ee\uff09\u4ecd\u9811\u56fa\u5730\u9ad8\u65bc3.5%\uff1b\u82e5\u548c\u5e73\u63a8\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u9019\u80a1\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u672a\u5fc5\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u9ec3\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\uff08GC\uff09\u671f\u6b0a\u90e8\u7f72\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u300c\u6297\u901a\u8139\u5c0d\u6c96\u300d\uff08inflation hedge\uff1a\u7528\u4ee5\u62b5\u79a6\u8ca8\u5e63\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u984d\u5916\u6ea2\u50f9\uff08geopolitical risk premium\uff1a\u56e0\u6230\u722d\/\u5236\u88c1\u7b49\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u800c\u63a8\u9ad8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u90e8\u5206\uff09\u56de\u843d\u4ea6\u7136\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728Truth Social\u7a81\u5ba3\u5e03\uff1a\u539f\u5b9a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u7a7a\u8972\u66ab\u7de9\u5169\u661f\u671f\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5373\u6642\u6182\u616e\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u6216\u518d\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5bc6\u5207\u7559\u610f\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44371\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}