{"id":44032,"date":"2026-04-06T04:16:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T04:16:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44032\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T04:16:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T04:16:30","slug":"%e4%ba%9e%e6%b4%b2%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e6%99%82%e6%ae%b5%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e5%b0%87%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8f%e6%97%a5%e5%9c%93%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e5%9c%a8-183-80-%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/44032\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e9e\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u6642\u6bb5\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5c07\u6b50\u5143\uff0f\u65e5\u5713\u7dad\u6301\u5728 183.80 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5728\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u4ecd\u4f4e\u65bc 184.00"},"content":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\uff08EUR\/JPY\uff09\u9031\u4e00\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u8b8a\u5316\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u7d04\u5728 183.80 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Hormuz\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u52a0\u5927\u5c0d\u767c\u96fb\u5ee0\u8207\u6c11\u7528\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u5b98\u54e1\u8868\u793a\u5c07\u5c0d\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u8a2d\u65bd\u5831\u5fa9\uff0c\u4e14\u5728\u6230\u722d\u640d\u5bb3\u7372\u5f97\u8ce0\u511f\u524d\uff0c\u6d77\u5cfd\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5c01\u9396\u3002\n\n\u6b50\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u504f\u7dca\u7e2e\uff08restrictive\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u5229\u7387\u8f03\u9ad8\u3001\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9650\u5236 EUR\/JPY \u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7a7a\u9593\u3002ECB \u7e3d\u88c1\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u901a\u81a8\u56de\u5230 2% \u76ee\u6a19\u524d\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u7dca\u3002\n\n\u7531\u65bc EUR\/JPY \u540c\u6642\u53d7\u5230\u76f8\u53cd\u529b\u91cf\u62c9\u626f\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8b8a\u52d5\uff09\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u82e5\u5728 4 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volatility\uff0c\u7531\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u66fe\u5f9e\u7d04 8% \u8df3\u5347\u5230 15% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u6210\u672c\uff08\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff09\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u91cd\u9ede\u5728\u65bc\uff1a\u5be6\u969b\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u8d85\u904e\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u7d93\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u6ea2\u50f9\uff08volatility premium\uff0c\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u56e0\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u8b8a\u8cb4\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff09\u3002\n\n\u82e5\u5224\u65b7\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u662f\u4e3b\u5c0e\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u8f03\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u504f\u5411\u505a\u7a7a EUR\/JPY\uff08short position\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\u3002\u9694\u591c\u6307\u6578\u4ea4\u63db\uff08OIS\uff0cOvernight Index Swaps\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4ea4\u63db\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5347\u606f 15 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis point\uff0c1 \u57fa\u9ede\u7b49\u65bc 0.01%\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5df2\u9ad8\u65bc 75%\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u660e\u986f\u5347\u6eab\u3002\u70ba\u4e86\u964d\u4f4e\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u53ef\u642d\u914d\u8cb7\u9032\u50f9\u5916\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money call\uff0c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u9ad8\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u9632\u7bc4\u82e5\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u5c40\u52e2\u60e1\u5316\u5c0e\u81f4\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u7136\u98c6\u5347\u3002\n\n\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u82e5\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5c07\u58d3\u904e\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u505a\u591a\uff08long position\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u3002\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u7d1a\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u82e5\u63a8\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 115 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e14\u8a72\u50f9\u683c\u81ea 2025 \u5e74\u4e2d\u4f9b\u61c9\u9a5a\u5687\u5f8c\u672a\u66fe\u9577\u671f\u7dad\u6301\uff0c\u5247\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8cf4\u9032\u53e3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0d\u5c0f\u3002\u6b64\u6642\u9700\u8981\u8a2d\u7f6e\u4fdd\u8b77\u6027\u505c\u640d\uff08stop-loss\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0d\u5229\u6642\u81ea\u52d5\u51fa\u5834\u7684\u98a8\u63a7\u6307\u4ee4\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8cb7\u9032\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u503c\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff09\u4f86\u9632\u7bc4\u5c40\u52e2\u964d\u6eab\u6216\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u610f\u5916\u504f\u9df9\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u7acb\u5834\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\u3001\u7dca\u7e2e\uff09\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u53cd\u5411\u885d\u64ca\u3002\n\n\u504f\u9df9\u7684\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u70ba\u6b50\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9650\u5236 EUR\/JPY \u7684\u4e0b\u65b9\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u9019\u8868\u793a\u5373\u4f7f\u65e5\u5713\u8d70\u5f37\uff0cEUR\/JPY \u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4 USD\/JPY \u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u65e5\u5713\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u66f4\u53d7\u7de9\u885d\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u76f8\u4fe1\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u6700\u7d42\u5f71\u97ff\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u660e\u986f\u56de\u843d\u6642\u5206\u6279\u8cb7\u5165\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u503c\u5f97\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u5efa\u7acb\u4f60\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u5e33\u6236<\/a>\u00a0\u4e26\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u3002<\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content 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