{"id":41107,"date":"2026-03-20T20:34:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T20:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/41107\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T20:34:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T20:34:00","slug":"%e6%88%bf%e8%b2%b8%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e8%88%87%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%ef%bc%9a%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e8%88%87%e5%80%9f%e6%ac%be%e4%ba%ba%e5%9c%a8-2026-%e5%b9%b4%e6%87%89%e9%97%9c%e6%b3%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/opinion\/41107\/","title":{"rendered":"\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8207\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff1a\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8207\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u61c9\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u91cd\u9ede"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/03\/HousingMortagage-1024x573.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45056\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u91cd\u9ede\u6574\u7406<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d<strong>10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5<\/strong>\u662f\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026 \u5e74\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c0d\u964d\u606f\u4fdd\u6301\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u9ad8\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u5e36\u4f86\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4f7f\u9577\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u300c\u9818\u5148\u6307\u6a19\u300d\uff08\u80fd\u8f03\u65e9\u53cd\u6620\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u666f\u6c23\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\uff0c\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u8cb7\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u8207\u6574\u9ad4\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u6c7a\u5b9a\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u4ee5\u70ba\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u7531\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u53ea\u662f<strong>\u9593\u63a5<\/strong>\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u622a\u81f3 2026 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b 30 \u5e74\u671f\u56fa\u5b9a\u623f\u8cb8\u5e73\u5747\u5229\u7387\u5927\u591a\u5728 6% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u5f98\u5f8a\uff1a2 \u6708\u66fe\u77ed\u66ab\u4f4e\u65bc 6%\uff0c\u4f46 3 \u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u56de\u5347\u5230\u7d04 <strong>6.1%<\/strong>\u3002\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8abf\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba<strong>\u50b5\u5238\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/strong>\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Mortgage rates rose for a third week, reaching a three-month high as wartime inflation fears drove up yields for the government bonds that guide home loans <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/p7pXZwdBsL\">https:\/\/t.co\/p7pXZwdBsL<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2034664857195143285?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u9ede\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7531\u5e02\u5834\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u9577\u671f\u8cc7\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\uff08\u501f\u9577\u671f\u8cc7\u91d1\u8981\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\uff0c\u6703\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d<strong>\u901a\u81a8<\/strong>\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u8207<strong>\u98a8\u96aa\u88dc\u511f<\/strong>\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4e0d\u719f\u50b5\u5238\uff1f\u5728<\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-are-bonds-complete-2026-guide-to-bond-investing-strategies\/?utmsource=Opinion\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a><\/strong><strong>\u4e86\u89e3\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u95dc\u9375\u9023\u7d50\uff1a\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u6703\u8ddf\u8457<strong>\u7f8e\u570b 10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/strong>\u8d70\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u4ee3\u8868\u9577\u671f\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c30 \u5e74\u671f\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8207 10 \u5e74\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u901a\u5e38\u7d04\u5728<strong>150 \u5230 300 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede<\/strong>\u4e4b\u9593\uff1b\u57fa\u9ede\u662f\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5e38\u7528\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c<strong>100 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 1%<\/strong>\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64 150\u2013300 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u7d04\u7b49\u65bc 1.5%\u20133%\u3002\u5dee\u8ddd\u5927\u5c0f\u6703\u96a8\u5e02\u5834\u72c0\u6cc1\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5982\u679c 10 \u5e74\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u7d04\u70ba <strong>4.2%<\/strong>\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u843d\u5728 <strong>6.0%\u20136.5%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u7dca\u5f35\u6642\u671f\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 2022\u20132023 \u5e74\u5347\u606f\u8207\u6536\u7dca\u91d1\u878d\u7684\u968e\u6bb5\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6ce2\u52d5\u8b8a\u5927\u3001\u98a8\u96aa\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u5dee\u8ddd\u6703\u64f4\u5927<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/codeNDYyYTI1NzgxMGY3ZWExN2E4M2FiOTg0MTc2ODdmYWZfZGxZQ0NFQnRPcnN6aVR0cFkwektaT2xkNGJvV0JKQ3FfVG9rZW46Q1JPc2J0c01jb0lKR2d4c1M2ZWx2Wno2Z09aXzE3NzM5OTc1NDM6MTc3NDAwMTE0M19WNA.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aBloomberg \u8207 FRED\uff08Federal Reserve Economic Data\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\uff09\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u8a3b\uff1a\u6bcf\u9031\u8cc7\u6599\u4ee5\u6297\u901a\u81a8\u516c\u50b5\uff08TIPS\uff0c\u80fd\u96a8\u901a\u81a8\u8abf\u6574\u672c\u91d1\u7684\u516c\u50b5\uff09\u63a8\u7b97\u3002\u8cc7\u6599\u64f7\u53d6\u65e5\u671f\u70ba 2025 \u5e74 9 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f71\u97ff\u9019\u7a2e\u9023\u52d5\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f<\/strong>\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u901a\u81a8\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8d8a\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u6703\u88ab\u62c9\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c<\/strong>\uff08term premium\uff09\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6301\u6709\u5230\u671f\u6642\u9593\u5f88\u9577\u7684\u50b5\u5238\uff08\u9577\u5929\u671f\u50b5\uff09\u6642\uff0c\u6703\u5e0c\u671b\u62ff\u5230\u984d\u5916\u88dc\u511f\uff0c\u4ee5\u627f\u64d4\u672a\u4f86\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5<\/strong>\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u7a69\u6642\uff0c\u653e\u6b3e\u6a5f\u69cb\u6703\u628a\u5229\u5dee\u62c9\u5927\uff0c\u8b93\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u6bd4\u55ae\u770b\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u50b5\u5e02\u662f\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89c0\u5bdf\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<strong>\u5728<\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/learn\/is-the-liquidity-regime-shift-accelerated-by-the-us-iran-conflict-vt-markets\/?utmsource=Opinion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a><\/strong><strong>\u95b1\u8b80\u300c\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u300d\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u50b5\u5e02\u8d70\u52e2\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40<\/strong>\u3002\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6307\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u8ce3\u662f\u5426\u5bb9\u6613\u3001\u6210\u4ea4\u662f\u5426\u9806\u66a2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4ecd\u7136\u91cd\u8981<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u8a02\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u6703\u660e\u986f\u5f71\u97ff\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u8207\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u9810\u671f\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u50b5\u5e02\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f 10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff08\u623f\u8cb8\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53c3\u8003\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u518d\u62bc\u6ce8\u5feb\u901f\u3001\u5287\u70c8\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8f49\u5411\u66f4\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5149\u662f\u9019\u7a2e\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u5c31\u8db3\u4ee5\u8b93\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u806f\u6e96\u6703 2026 \u5e74\u91cb\u51fa\u7684\u8a0a\u865f<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u964d\u606f\u770b\u6578\u64da<\/strong>\uff1a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u653e\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\u8981\u770b\u901a\u81a8\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u770b\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u4ee4\u4eba\u64d4\u5fc3<\/strong>\uff1a\u300c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u300d\uff08\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u5f8c\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7279\u5225\u662f\u670d\u52d9\u985e\u50f9\u683c\u4ecd\u96e3\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5feb\u901f\u964d\u606f\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5c0d\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u5f88\u654f\u611f<\/strong>\uff1a\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5c0d\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5f62\u6210\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9019\u4e9b\u8a0a\u865f\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u964d\u606f\u6642\u9593\u5f80\u5f8c\u5ef6<\/strong>\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u5f9e\u300c\u6703\u964d\u5f88\u591a\u6b21\u300d\u6539\u6210\u300c\u6162\u6162\u964d\u300d\uff0c\u8b93<strong>10 \u5e74\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/strong>\u4ecd\u5728\u7d04 <strong>~4.1%\u20134.3%<\/strong>\u7684\u9ad8\u6a94\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u66f4\u4e45<\/strong>\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u518d\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u4e0d\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u5c31\u6703\u504f\u7dca\uff0c\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u4e5f\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u91cf\u5316\u7dca\u7e2e\uff08QT\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u7e2e\u6e1b\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\uff08\u628a\u624b\u4e0a\u6301\u6709\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u6162\u6162\u6e1b\u5c11\uff09\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u516c\u50b5\u8207\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u8b49\u5238\uff08MBS\uff0c\u4ee5\u623f\u8cb8\u70ba\u64d4\u4fdd\u7684\u50b5\u5238\uff09\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u6703\u63a8\u9ad8\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002 <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u570b 10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/strong>\u8fd1\u5e7e\u9031\u4ecd\u5728 4% \u4ee5\u4e0a<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>30 \u5e74\u671f\u56fa\u5b9a\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387<\/strong>\u5728 2 \u6708\u77ed\u66ab\u4f4e\u65bc 6% \u5f8c\uff0c3 \u6708\u56de\u5347\u5230\u7d04 <strong>~6.1%<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/codeNTExOTU2MDg5ZjljYWQ1ZTY0ODFmNzk0M2RmMzIxN2VfeFV0UXl2RkM3bjJLU1U1a0RhZ0hKcXZxaXhOZ2ptWTJfVG9rZW46VlJ5V2IwYU1Wb2h0RW14MlpRVmxjRGJBZzhmXzE3NzM5OTc1NDM6MTc3NDAwMTE0M19WNA.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u4ecd\u504f\u5927\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9019\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u70ba\u4f55\u91cd\u8981<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8a9e\u6c23\u5c31\u80fd\u63a8\u52d5\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/strong> <br>\u5373\u4f7f\u6c92\u6709\u5be6\u969b\u52d5\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u8ac7\u8a71\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08\u504f\u5411\u6536\u7dca\u3001\u8f03\u4e0d\u9858\u964d\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u7acb\u523b\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8ddf\u8457\u9810\u671f\u8d70<\/strong> <br>\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u5148\u628a\u672a\u4f86\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8b8a\u5316\u53cd\u6620\u9032\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u770b\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u623f\u5e02\u6210\u70ba\u50b3\u5c0e\u7ba1\u9053<\/strong> <br>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u9ad8\u6703\u8b93\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u66f4\u7dca\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u6d88\u8cbb\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\uff1a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u8a0a\u865f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u5373\u6642\u6eab\u5ea6\u8a08\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7576\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8cb7\u623f\u8ca0\u64d4\u8b8a\u91cd<\/strong> <br>\u6bcf\u6708\u9084\u6b3e\u6703\u660e\u986f\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u6bcf\u4e0a\u5347 1%\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u7684\u6708\u4ed8\u91d1\u53ef\u80fd\u591a\u51fa\u6578\u767e\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u4e0b\u6ed1<\/strong> <br>\u6210\u5c4b\u92b7\u552e\u8207\u623f\u8cb8\u7533\u8acb\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u300c\u9396\u5229\u7387\u6548\u61c9\u300d\u66f4\u660e\u986f<\/strong> <br>\u904e\u53bb\u62ff\u5230 3% \u4ee5\u4e0b\u4f4e\u5229\u623f\u8cb8\u7684\u5c4b\u4e3b\u4e0d\u60f3\u8ce3\u623f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4f9b\u7d66\u66f4\u7dca\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7576\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u518d\u878d\u8cc7\uff08\u91cd\u65b0\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff09\u589e\u52a0<\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u66f4\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u66ff\u63db\u539f\u672c\u623f\u8cb8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8cfc\u5c4b\u9700\u6c42\u6539\u5584<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8207\u623f\u5e02\u76f8\u95dc\u7522\u696d\u8da8\u65bc\u7a69\u5b9a<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982 2026 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u77ed\u66ab\u8dcc\u7834 6% \u6642\uff0c<strong>\u5f85\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u6210\u5c4b\u8cb7\u8ce3\uff08pending home sales\uff0c\u5df2\u7c3d\u7d04\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u904e\u6236\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff09\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u5347<\/strong>\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u623f\u5e02\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u52d5\u975e\u5e38\u654f\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Sales of newly built homes in January dropped 17.6% month over month to a seasonally adjusted, annualized pace of 587,000 units, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That is the slowest pace since 2022.<br><br>Housing analysts had been expecting a much smaller decline.\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EGYcjZMFIG\">pic.twitter.com\/EGYcjZMFIG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2034782032639799717?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8207\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9805\u76ee\u76f4\u63a5\u76f8\u95dc\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u96f6\u552e\u652f\u51fa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u666f\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\u985e\u80a1\u7968\u7522\u696d\uff08\u666f\u6c23\u597d\u58de\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u7522\u696d\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2026 \u5e74\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u70ba\u4f55\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u5e7e\u500b\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u529b\u91cf\u6b63\u5728\u5f71\u97ff\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u96e3\u964d<\/strong>\uff1a\u670d\u52d9\u985e\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u9ad8\uff0c\u8b93\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u96e3\u4ee5\u5927\u5e45\u653e\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5<\/strong>\uff1a\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e2d\u6771\uff09\u652f\u6490\u6cb9\u50f9\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u8207\u50b5\u5238\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\udfe1 Pending home sales climb in February.<br><br>Yahoo Finance senior housing reporter <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/claireeboston?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@claireeboston<\/a> on what this means for the housing market: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hacVInhTPa\">pic.twitter.com\/hacVInhTPa<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YahooFinance\/status\/2033987209611608267?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5e02\u5834\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8def\u5f91<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f9e\u9810\u671f\u591a\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u8b8a\u6210\u8f03\u6162\u7684\u964d\u606f\u7bc0\u594f\uff0c\u652f\u6490\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u8cb7\u623f\u9700\u6c42<\/strong>\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u8207\u623f\u5c4b\u4f9b\u7d66\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4ecd\u8b93\u623f\u5e02\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u5927\u8dcc\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u504f\u9ad8<\/strong>\uff1a\u8ca1\u653f\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u8207\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u91cf\u767c\u50b5\uff0c\u4f7f\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u62ff\u5230\u66f4\u9ad8\u88dc\u511f\u624d\u9858\u610f\u6301\u6709\u9577\u671f\u50b5\u52d9\uff08\u9577\u5929\u671f\u570b\u50b5\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6c92\u6709\u518d\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8a72\u770b\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u60f3\u9810\u5224\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u53ef\u540c\u6642\u89c0\u5bdf\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u6307\u6a19\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u570b 10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff08\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\u82e5\u9577\u671f\u7ad9\u4e0a\u95dc\u9375\u5340\u9593\uff08\u5982 4.2%\u20134.5%\uff09\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u901a\u5e38\u4e5f\u6703\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\uff08CPI\u3001PCE\uff09<\/strong>\uff1aCPI \u662f\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff1bPCE \u662f\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u3002\u6578\u64da\u82e5\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u63a8\u5347\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e26\u8b93\u964d\u606f\u5ef6\u5f8c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6e9d\u901a<\/strong>\uff1a\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\u6216\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u8a9e\u6c23\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u6539\u8b8a\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u623f\u5e02\u6578\u64da<\/strong>\uff1a\u623f\u8cb8\u7533\u8acb\u3001\u5efa\u7bc9\u8a31\u53ef\u3001\u623f\u5c4b\u92b7\u552e\u53ef\u63d0\u4f9b\u5373\u6642\u9700\u6c42\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c<\/strong>\uff1a\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u6703\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u9593\u63a5\u63a8\u5347\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u7d50\u8ad6<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u50b5\u5e02\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u7522\u7269\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u9ad8\u3001\u592e\u884c\u8a0a\u865f\u504f\u4fdd\u5b88\u3001\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u8b93\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u80fd\u7528\u4f86\u89c0\u5bdf\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u9023\u7d50\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u671f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u884c\u70ba\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u91cd\u9ede<\/summary>\n<p><strong>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u6703\u8ddf\u8457\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u8ddf\u96a8\u3002\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u9577\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff1b\u4f46\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6703\u900f\u904e\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9593\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u66ab\u505c\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4ecd\u4e0a\u5347\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u64d4\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u4e14\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u50b5\u5238\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u901a\u5e38\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u901a\u5e38\u7d04 150 \u5230 300 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08\u7d04 1.5%\u20133%\uff09\uff0c\u8996\u5e02\u5834\u72c0\u6cc1\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u800c\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5982\u679c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u5c31\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u3002\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8981\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5f97\u7b49\u9577\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff1b\u800c\u9577\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u901a\u81a8\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u623f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u662fFed\u4e00\u8072\u4ee4\u4e0b\uff01\u5b83\u7dca\u76ef10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u30022026\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u4fdd\u5b88\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4ee4\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u6a94\uff0c\u727d\u52d5\u623f\u5e02\u8207\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":41106,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/91"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41107"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41107\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41106"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}