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1.3300 \u9019\u500b\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u5361\uff08psychological level\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7fd2\u6163\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u6574\u6578\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5929\u7684\u8ce3\u58d3\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901f\u3002\n\n\u7531\u65bc\u91dd\u5c0d\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5a01\u8105\u63a8\u5347\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u7ad9\u4e0a\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u95dc\u6ce8\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call option\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff09\u30022019 \u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u963f\u66fc\u7063\uff08Gulf of Oman\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u5c0f\u898f\u6a21\u5e72\u64fe\u4e5f\u66fe\u5f15\u767c 4% \u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8df3\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u76ee\u524d\u66f4\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u6230\u722d\u5a01\u8105\u53ef\u652f\u6490\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\uff08risk 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Average\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u9694\u591c\u5229\u7387\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u5e38\u4f5c\u70ba\u82f1\u570b\u5229\u7387\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u9023\u52d5\u7684\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u91cf\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u5834\u8a66\u5716\u5224\u65b7\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u662f\u5426\u6703\u88ab\u8feb\u7dca\u6025\u5347\u606f\uff08emergency rate hike\uff0c\u70ba\u7a69\u5b9a\u532f\u7387\u6216\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\u800c\u81e8\u6642\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4ee5\u652f\u6490\u82f1\u938a\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u4e0a\u9031\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u6642\u504f\u5411\u5bec\u9b06\uff08dovish\uff0c\u50be\u5411\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u3001\u8f03\u4e0d\u6025\u8457\u5347\u606f\uff09\u3002\u4eca\u5929\u653f\u5e9c\u8207\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7dca\u6025\u6703\u8b70\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u5f71\u97ff\u82f1\u570b\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\uff08interest rate 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