{"id":40587,"date":"2026-03-20T10:58:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T10:58:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40587\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T10:58:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T10:58:34","slug":"eur-gbp-%e4%b8%8b%e6%bb%91%e8%87%b3%e7%b4%84-0-8620%ef%bc%8c%e8%8b%b1%e9%8e%8a%e5%9c%a8%e8%8b%b1%e5%9c%8b%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%88%87%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40587\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/GBP \u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u7d04 0.8620\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u5f8c\u8d70\u5f37"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/GBP \u9031\u4e94\u6b50\u6d32\u65e9\u76e4\u8dcc\u5230\u7d04 0.8620\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834 0.8650\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u5f8c\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u6b50\u5143\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\n\n\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff08BoE\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9031\u56db 3 \u6708\u6703\u8b70\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.75% \u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u592e\u884c\u7e3d\u88c1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u9810\u671f\u6703\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u5230\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u822a\u904b\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002\n\n<h3>\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u6c7a\u8b70\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9<\/h3>\n\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff08ECB\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9031\u56db\u6703\u8b70\u4e5f\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u5b83\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u6230\u722d\u4f7f\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u81a8\u8d70\u9ad8\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u8f49\u5f31\u3002\n\nECB \u6c7a\u8b70\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\uff08\u6307\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\uff09\u8f49\u5411\u8a8d\u70ba ECB \u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\u3002\u5169\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0cEUR\/GBP \u4ecd\u6301\u7e8c\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\n\n2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u4e5f\u986f\u793a\u5dee\u7570\uff1a\u82f1\u570b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\uff08core inflation\uff0c\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u5f8c\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u770b\u8f03\u9577\u671f\u7684\u7269\u50f9\u58d3\u529b\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\u5728 3.1%\uff0c\u800c\u6b50\u5143\u5340 HICP\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u8abf\u548c\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u7528\u4f86\u6bd4\u8f03\u5404\u570b\u901a\u81a8\u7684\u7d71\u4e00\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u964d\u81f3 2.5%\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5dee\u7570\u4f7f\u82f1\u570b\u76ee\u524d 4.0% \u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08bank rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u6bd4 ECB \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u518d\u878d\u8cc7\u5229\u7387\uff08main refinancing rate\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u5411\u592e\u884c\u501f\u9322\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5229\u7387\uff09\u9ad8 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis points\uff0c1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.01%\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\uff08options market\uff0c\u7528\u5408\u7d04\u8cb7\u8ce3\u672a\u4f86\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u5e02\u5834\uff09\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5f9e\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u5728\u770b\u8dcc\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff08downside strikes\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff09\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u9810\u671f\u82f1\u938a\u53ef\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; 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