{"id":40527,"date":"2026-03-19T21:58:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T21:58:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40527\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T21:58:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T21:58:35","slug":"%e6%8b%89%e5%8d%9a%e9%8a%80%e8%a1%8c%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%b2%e8%92%82%e8%8a%ac%e3%83%bb%e5%ba%ab%e6%99%ae%e6%9b%bc%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%8b%b1%e6%a0%bc%e8%98%ad%e9%8a%80%e8%a1%8c%e5%b0%87%e5%88%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40527\/","title":{"rendered":"\u62c9\u535a\u9280\u884c\u7684\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u30fb\u5eab\u666e\u66fc\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u683c\u862d\u9280\u884c\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.75%\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u7591\u616e\u518d\u8d77\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u8a9e\u6c23\u504f\u5411\u9df9\u6d3e"},"content":{"rendered":"\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u628a\u300c\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u300d\uff08Bank Rate\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.75%\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2\u300c\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\u300d\uff08energy shock\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u7a81\u7136\u5927\u6f32\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u885d\u64ca\uff09\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u6e2c\u5f8c\uff0c\u50b3\u9054\u66f4\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u58d3\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7684\u7acb\u5834\u3002\u300c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u300d\uff08Monetary Policy Committee, MPC\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u6c7a\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7684\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u5df2\u6e96\u5099\u597d\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5\u3002\n\n\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u9304\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u6a5f\u300d\uff08energy crisis\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u61c9\u6216\u50f9\u683c\u554f\u984c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\uff09\u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u653f\u7b56\u8a0e\u8ad6\u91cd\u9ede\uff0c\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411\u300c\u901a\u81a8\u9ecf\u8457\u5ea6\uff0f\u6301\u7e8c\u6027\u300d\uff08inflation persistence\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u964d\u4e0b\u4f86\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u6de1\u5316\u5c0d\u300c\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u8f49\u5f31\u300d\uff08weakening labour market\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u8207\u85aa\u8cc7\u52d5\u80fd\u8b8a\u5dee\uff09\u7684\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002\u901a\u81a8\u98a8\u96aa\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u70ba\u8f03\u504f\u300c\u5916\u90e8\u885d\u64ca\u300d\uff08external shock\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u570b\u5916\u6216\u4f9b\u61c9\u7aef\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u300c\u570b\u5167\u56e0\u7d20\u300d\uff08domestically driven\uff0c\u6e90\u81ea\u672c\u570b\u9700\u6c42\u6216\u5de5\u8cc7\u7b49\uff09\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\n\n<h3>Rabobank Outlook And Risks<\/h3>\n\u8377\u862d\u5408\u4f5c\u9280\u884c\uff08Rabobank\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u6703\u6709\u4e00\u6b21\u5347\u606f 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis point\uff0c1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.01%\uff0c25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.25 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 4 \u6708\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u300c\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u5f31\u300d\uff08UK demand weak\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u504f\u5f31\uff09\u6642\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u300c\u7dca\u7e2e\u300d\uff08tightening\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u6216\u6536\u56de\u8cc7\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u9700\u6c42\u66f4\u88ab\u58d3\u7e2e\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u66f4\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\u60e1\u5316\u300d\uff08terms-of-trade squeeze\uff0c\u9032\u53e3\u8b8a\u66f4\u8cb4\u3001\u63db\u5230\u7684\u5916\u570b\u5546\u54c1\u8b8a\u5c11\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u63013.75%\u537b\u66f4\u9df9\u6d3e\uff01\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u6e2c\uff0cMPC\u7a31\u901a\u81a8\u82e5\u7e8c\u9ecf\u8457\u5c07\u884c\u52d5\uff1bRabobank\u4f304\u6708\u6216\u5347\u606f1\u78bc\uff0c\u4f46\u8b66\u544a\u9700\u6c42\u6050\u66f4\u75b2\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40527"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40527\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}