{"id":40380,"date":"2026-03-18T12:59:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:59:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40380\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:59:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:59:14","slug":"%e6%b8%a3%e6%89%93%e9%8a%80%e8%a1%8c%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%ab%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%ef%bc%9a%e6%8c%81%e7%ba%8c%e7%9a%84%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e8%a1%9d%e6%93%8a%e5%b0%87%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40380\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6e23\u6253\u9280\u884c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8b66\u544a\uff1a\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u5c07\u63a8\u5347\u5168\u7403\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u4e14\u5f80\u5f80\u5148\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\uff1b\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u903c\u8fd1\u6bcf\u6876135\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u5e38\u5e38\u63a8\u5347\u5168\u7403\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e38\u5e38\u767c\u751f\u5728\u5168\u7403\u666f\u6c23\u8870\u9000\u4e4b\u524d\u3002\u6839\u64da\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u81ea 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CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u822c\u5bb6\u5ead\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u5546\u54c1\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u5316\uff09\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9054 3.9%\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u5728\u6bcf\u6876\u7d04 118 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u6574\u7406\u3002\u9019\u8868\u793a\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u518d\u6b21\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u81a8\uff08headline inflation\uff0c\u6307\u5305\u542b\u80fd\u6e90\u8207\u98df\u54c1\u7b49\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u5728\u5167\u7684\u300c\u7e3d\u901a\u81a8\u300d\uff09\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u7684\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u6bcf\u6876\u7d04 135 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u91cd\u8981\u8f49\u6298\u9ede\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u8aaa\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5feb\u901f\u5f9e\u300c\u5bb3\u6015\u901a\u81a8\u300d\u8f49\u6210\u300c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u4e94\u6b21\u5168\u7403\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\uff08\u4e0d\u542b 2020 \u75ab\u60c5\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u56db\u6b21\u5728\u8870\u9000\u524d\u6cb9\u50f9\u81f3\u5c11\u7ffb\u500d\u3002\n\n\u9019\u610f\u5473\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff08traders\uff0c\u9032\u884c\u77ed\u4e2d\u671f\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u53c3\u8207\u8005\uff09\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u9032\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u9577\u5929\u671f\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08long-dated call options\uff1a\u5230\u671f\u6642\u9593\u8f03\u9577\u7684\u300c\u8cb7\u6b0a\u300d\uff0c\u8b93\u4f60\u7528\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u7528\u4f86\u62bc\u6ce8\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u4ee5\u638c\u63e1\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u885d\u5411 135 \u7684\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u8cb7\u9032\u50f9\u5916\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money puts\uff1a\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u6bd4\u73fe\u50f9\u66f4\u4e0d\u5229\u3001\u56e0\u6b64\u8f03\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u300c\u8ce3\u6b0a\u300d\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6216\u4f5c\u4fdd\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u8ce3\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08put spreads\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8207\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u3001\u4e5f\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u7372\u5229\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u56e0\u61c9\u5f8c\u7e8c\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u9700\u6c42\u88ab\u58d3\u4e0b\uff08demand destruction\uff0c\u6307\u9ad8\u50f9\u683c\u4f7f\u6d88\u8cbb\u8207\u7528\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\u800c\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u843d\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u677f\u584a\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8d77\u4f0f\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u9019\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u6c34\u6e96\u9644\u8fd1\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\n\n\u98a8\u96aa\u6703\u56e0\u592e\u884c\u800c\u66f4\u5927\uff1a\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u73fe\u5728\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u6642\u4ecd\u9078\u64c7\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\uff08tighten policy\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u6307\u5347\u606f\u6216\u6e1b\u5c11\u5e02\u5834\u8cc7\u91d1\u4f9b\u7d66\uff09\u3002\u4e0a\u9031\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u9ad4\u7cfb\uff09\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u504f\u5411\u5347\u606f\u7684\u8ac7\u8a71\uff08hawkish commentary\uff0c\u6307\u614b\u5ea6\u8f03\u5f37\u786c\u3001\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u5c31\u5f88\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1 2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u5168\u7403\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI\uff08\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u666f\u6c23\uff1b\u4f4e\u65bc 50 \u901a\u5e38\u4ee3\u8868\u666f\u6c23\u6536\u7e2e\uff09\u5df2\u843d\u5165\u6536\u7e2e\u5340\u9593\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8cb7\u9032\u4e3b\u8981\u80a1\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08equity indices\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a19\u666e 500\uff09\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u6216\u8cb7\u5165 VIX \u671f\u8ca8\uff08VIX futures\uff1a\u4ee5\u300c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\u300d\u70ba\u6a19\u7684\u7684\u671f\u8ca8\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u8a08\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8f03\u7a69\u7576\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5c0d\u6c96\uff08hedge\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u6574\u9ad4\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u9020\u6210\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content 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