{"id":40310,"date":"2026-03-17T22:58:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:58:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40310\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T22:58:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:58:25","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b52%e9%80%b1%e6%9c%9f%e5%9c%8b%e5%ba%ab%e5%88%b8%e6%8b%8d%e8%b3%a3%e4%b8%ad%ef%bc%8c%e6%ae%96%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%94%80%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b33-485%ef%bc%8c%e9%ab%98%e6%96%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40310\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7f8e\u570b52\u9031\u671f\u570b\u5eab\u5238\u62cd\u8ce3\u4e2d\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u6500\u5347\u81f33.485%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u76843.345%"},"content":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u4ee5 3.485% \u7684\u6a19\u552e\u5229\u7387\u62cd\u8ce3 52 \u9031\u671f\u570b\u5eab\u5238\uff08Treasury bills\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31 T-bills\uff1b\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u767c\u884c\u3001\u671f\u9650\u8f03\u77ed\u7684\u501f\u64da\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e0a\u4e00\u5834\u62cd\u8ce3\u7684 3.345%\u3002\n\n\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee5\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff08yield\uff1b\u7528\u66f4\u767d\u8a71\u8aaa\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u501f\u9322\u6210\u672c\uff0f\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\u300d\uff09\u501f\u5230 1 \u5e74\u671f\u8cc7\u91d1\u3002\u5f9e 3.345% \u4e0a\u5347\u5230 3.485%\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 0.140 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08percentage points\uff1b\u6307\u300c\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u300d\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 0.14%\u300d\u90a3\u7a2e\u76f8\u5c0d\u589e\u5e45\uff09\u3002\n\n<h3>\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u300c\u66f4\u9ad8\u3001\u66f4\u4e45\u300d<\/h3>\n\u8fd1\u671f 52 \u9031\u671f\u570b\u5eab\u5238\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5347\u5230 3.485%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u5728\u53cd\u6620\uff08pricing in\uff1b\u610f\u601d\u662f\u300c\u5df2\u628a\u67d0\u7a2e\u9810\u671f\u7b97\u9032\u50f9\u683c\u300d\uff09\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u5167\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\u9019\u500b\u8b8a\u5316\u767c\u751f\u5728\u4e0a\u9031\u516c\u5e03\u7684 2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0cCPI\uff1b\u8861\u91cf\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5831\u544a\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff1b\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\uff08core inflation\uff1b\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u5f8c\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u70ba 3.1%\uff0c\u964d\u6eab\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u9019\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0cFed\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u606f\uff08rate cut\uff1b\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\u7684\u671f\u5f85\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u504f\u65e9\u3002\n\n\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\uff08interest rate futures\uff1b\u4ee5\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u6e96\u70ba\u6a19\u7684\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u8f49\u8b8a\u5f88\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u6839\u64da CME FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff08\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u696d\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u63d0\u4f9b\u3001\u7528\u671f\u8ca8\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5347\u964d\u606f\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u5de5\u5177\uff09\uff0c2026 \u5e74 5 \u6708\u5347\u606f\uff08rate hike\uff1b\u63d0\u9ad8\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5df2\u8df3\u5347\u5230 40% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u76f8\u8f03\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u7d04 15% \u6709\u660e\u986f\u6539\u8b8a\u3002\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u5f9e\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e2d\u7372\u5229\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8cb7\u9032\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5 ETF\uff08Treasury bond ETFs\uff1b\u8ffd\u8e64\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\uff09\u5982 TLT \u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08puts\uff1b\u4e00\u7a2e\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u901a\u5e38\u8f03\u6709\u5229\uff09\u3002\n\n\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8f03\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6703\u58d3\u4f4e\u4f30\u503c\uff08valuations\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u9858\u610f\u7d66\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u6e96\uff09\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5f71\u97ff\u6210\u9577\u80a1\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u3002NASDAQ 100 \u81ea\u62cd\u8ce3\u7d50\u679c\u5f8c\u5df2\u56de\u6a94 2%\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7372\u5229\uff08future earnings projections\uff1b\u5c0d\u516c\u53f8\u672a\u4f86\u8cfa\u9322\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u9810\u4f30\uff09\u7684\u8a55\u50f9\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u770b\u5230\u5e02\u5834\u589e\u52a0\u8cb7\u9032\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6578\u7684\u77ed\u5929\u671f\u8ce3\u6b0a\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff08short-term put options\uff1b\u5230\u671f\u6642\u9593\u8f03\u8fd1\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u4f5c\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\uff08hedging\uff1b\u964d\u4f4e\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u6ce2\u52d5\u8207\u4e0b\u8dcc\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff09\u3002\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u5efa\u7acb\u4f60\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u5e33\u6236<\/a>\u00a0\u4e26\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>52\u9031\u7f8e\u50b5\u6a19\u552e\u5229\u7387\u885d3.485%\u5275\u5347\u52e2\uff1a\u501f\u9322\u66f4\u8cb4\u3001\u5229\u7387\u300c\u66f4\u9ad8\u66f4\u4e45\u300d\u9810\u671f\u5347\u6eab\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u6eab\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u6216\u5ef6\u5f8c\u3002\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u907f\u96aa\u8ce3\u6b0a\u3001\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\u53d7\u77da\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40310"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40310\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}