{"id":40258,"date":"2026-03-17T09:58:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40258\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T09:58:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:58:29","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%b1%ba%e7%ad%96%e5%be%8c%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8f%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e6%94%b6%e5%be%a9%e6%97%a9%e5%89%8d%e5%a4%a7%e9%83%a8%e5%88%86%e8%b7%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40258\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6c7a\u7b56\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\u6536\u5fa9\u65e9\u524d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u5e03\u6d1b\u514b\u7e3d\u88c1\u7c21\u5831\u6703\u5f8c\u5347\u5411 0.7085"},"content":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u6c7a\u8b70\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0c\u56de\u88dc\u4e86\u591a\u6578\u65e9\u76e4\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u7e3d\u88c1 Michele Bullock \u7684\u8a18\u8005\u6703\u5f8c\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u7d04 0.7085\u3002RBA \u5c07\u5b98\u65b9\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08Official Cash Rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5f71\u97ff\u8cb8\u6b3e\u8207\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4e0a\u8abf 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis points\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u52d5\u55ae\u4f4d\uff1b1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff1d0.01%\uff09\u81f3 4.1%\uff0c9 \u4f4d\u59d4\u54e1\u4e2d\u6709 5 \u4f4d\u652f\u6301\u9019\u9805\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\n\nRBA \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u63a8\u5347\u71c3\u6599\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u82e5\u6cb9\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5e36\u52d5\u901a\u81a8\uff08inflation\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u7269\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u3002Bullock \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u5df2\u7d93\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u65bc\u4f9b\u7d66\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u60f3\u8cb7\u7684\u8d85\u904e\u80fd\u4f9b\u61c9\u7684\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4ecd\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8b93\u901a\u81a8\u56de\u5230\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\u3002\n\n<h3>RBA \u4e4b\u5f8c\u7684\u6280\u8853\u9762<\/h3>\n\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9031\u4e09\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u8b70\u524d\u51fa\u73fe\u77ed\u66ab\u4fee\u6b63\uff08corrective move\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u6a94\u6574\u7406\uff09\u5f8c\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u5f37\u3002\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5b88\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u7684 20 \u65e5 EMA\uff08Exponential Moving Average\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1b\u8f03\u91cd\u8996\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u7dda\uff09\u7d04 0.7060 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u504f\u591a\u6c1b\u570d\u4ecd\u5728\u3002\n\n14 \u65e5 RSI\uff08Relative Strength Index\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6a19\uff1b\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u6f32\u8dcc\u52d5\u80fd\uff09\u5f9e 60.00\u201380.00 \u5340\u9593\u56de\u843d\u5f8c\uff0c\u9032\u5165 40.00\u201360.00 \u5340\u9593\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u52d5\u80fd\u8f03\u70ba\u5e73\u7a69\u3002\u4e0a\u65b9\u58d3\u529b\u5728 0.7100 \u8207 0.7120\u20130.7150 \u5340\u57df\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u770b\u5411 0.72 \u4e2d\u6bb5\u8207 0.7300\u3002\n\n\u4e0b\u65b9\u652f\u6490\u5728 0.6944 \u8207\u7d04 0.6900\u3002\u82e5\u8dcc\u7834 0.6900\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u63a2 0.6770\u20130.6800\u3002\n\n<h3>\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f2a RBA \u9031\u671f\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u60f3\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\u4f86\u5230 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\uff0c\u60c5\u52e2\u518d\u5ea6\u8b8a\u5f97\u8907\u96dc\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u901a\u81a8\u56de\u843d\u5f8c\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u5b63 CPI\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff1b\u8861\u91cf\u6c11\u751f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u5316\uff09\u610f\u5916\u4e0a\u884c\u81f3 3.4%\uff0c\u8b93 RBA \u5de6\u53f3\u70ba\u96e3\u3002\u540c\u6642\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e5f\u5f9e\u6b77\u53f2\u4f4e\u9ede\u8d70\u9ad8\u81f3 4.2%\uff0cRBA \u9700\u8981\u5728\u58d3\u5236\u9ecf\u8457\u6027\u901a\u81a8\uff08sticky inflation\uff0c\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u6613\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u964d\u5f97\u6162\uff09\u8207\u652f\u6490\u8f49\u51b7\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u4e4b\u9593\u53d6\u6368\u3002\n\n\u9019\u7a2e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u9707\u76ea\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5920\uff09\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options straddle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff1b\u53ea\u8981\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u3001\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u9650\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u628a\u63e1 RBA \u82e5\u610f\u5916\u518d\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u6216\u56e0\u5c31\u696d\u58d3\u529b\u660e\u78ba\u8f49\u5411\u9d3f\u6d3e\uff08dovish\uff0c\u50be\u5411\u964d\u606f\u6216\u504f\u5bec\u9b06\uff09\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9\u3002\n\n\u82e5\u4f60\u8a8d\u70ba RBA \u4ecd\u6703\u512a\u5148\u8655\u7406\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u62bc\u6ce8\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\u4e5f\u5408\u7406\u3002\u53ef\u7528\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\uff08futures contracts\uff0c\u7d04\u5b9a\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u5316\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5728\u7a81\u7834\u8fd1\u671f 0.6750 \u58d3\u529b\uff08resistance\uff0c\u4e0a\u65b9\u5e38\u51fa\u73fe\u8ce3\u58d3\u7684\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u5f8c\u505a\u591a\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u82e5\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u53ef\u53c3\u8003 0.7100 \u7b49\u6b77\u53f2\u58d3\u529b\u4f4d\u4f5c\u70ba\u8f03\u9577\u671f\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u524d\u666f\u8b93\u4ea4\u6613\u66f4\u8907\u96dc\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u504f\u9ecf\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u6700\u65b0 CPI \u964d\u81f3 2.8%\uff0c\u4f7f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u66f4\u516c\u958b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u66ab\u505c\u5347\u606f\uff08pause\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\uff09\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08policy divergence\uff0c\u4e00\u908a\u504f\u7dca\u7e2e\u3001\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\u504f\u4e2d\u6027\u6216\u5bec\u9b06\uff09\u63d0\u9ad8\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u9ad8\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u3002\n\n\u82e5\u770b\u591a\u6fb3\u5143\u4f46\u60f3\u63a7\u7ba1\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u56fa\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u53d6\u4ee3\u76f4\u63a5\u505a\u671f\u8ca8\u3002\u8cb7\u5165\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb7\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08call spreads\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u4f4e\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u3001\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff1b\u7528\u4f86\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u3001\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u7372\u5229\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u53ef\u5efa\u7acb\u53ef\u63a7\u98a8\u96aa\u90e8\u4f4d\uff0c\u5f9e\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u53d7\u76ca\uff1b\u82e5 RBA \u66f4\u91cd\u8996\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e26\u767c\u51fa\u504f\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u8072\u660e\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u9650\u5236\u640d\u5931\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5728RBA\u5347\u606f25bp\u81f34.1%\u5f8c\u53cd\u5f48\u81f30.7085\uff1b\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u672a\u89e3\u3002\u6280\u8853\u9762\u5b880.7060\u504f\u591a\uff0c\u963b0.7100\/0.7150\u3001\u64900.6900\u30022026\u6ce2\u52d5\u6216\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u8de8\u5f0f\u3001\u50f9\u5dee\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40258\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}