{"id":40250,"date":"2026-03-17T07:59:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T07:59:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40250\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T07:59:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T07:59:14","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rba%ef%bc%89%e5%b0%87%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8a%e8%aa%bf-25-%e5%80%8b%e5%9f%ba%e9%bb%9e%e8%87%b3-4-10-%e4%b9%8b%e5%be%8c%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40250\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u81f3 4.10% \u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5 AUD\/USD \u5411 0.7060 \u903c\u8fd1"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e8c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\uff0cAUD\/USD \u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1 0.7060\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5e63\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u7559\u610f\u683c\u6797\u5a01\u6cbb\u6642\u9593 4:30 \u7684 RBA \u8a18\u8005\u6703\uff0c\u5c0b\u627e\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\uff08\u4e4b\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\u6216\u964d\u606f\uff09\u7684\u7dda\u7d22\u3002\n\nRBA \u6703\u5f8c\u628a\u5b98\u65b9\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08Official Cash Rate\uff0c\u53ef\u7406\u89e3\u70ba\u592e\u884c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4e0a\u8abf 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis points\uff0c1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.01%\uff0c25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.25%\uff09\uff0c\u5f9e 3.85% \u5347\u5230 4.10%\u3002RBA \u7e3d\u88c1 Michele Bullock \u5c07\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u7a0d\u665a\u8aaa\u660e\u9019\u9805\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\n\n<h3>Rba Decision And Market Focus<\/h3>\n\u63a5\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411\u9031\u4e09\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u6c7a\u8b70\u3002\u9810\u671f Fed \u5728\u70ba\u671f\u5169\u5929\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u7d50\u675f\u6642\uff0c\u5c07\u628a\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff08benchmark rate\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5229\u7387\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53c3\u8003\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5340\u9593\u5728 3.50% \u5230 3.75%\u3002\n\n\u81ea\u4f0a\u6717\u6230\u722d\u7206\u767c\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u56e0\u6b64\u5ef6\u5f8c\u539f\u672c\u9810\u671f\u7684\u964d\u606f\u6642\u9593\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\uff08Goldman Sachs\uff09\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u53d6\u6d88\u4e86 6 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u6539\u70ba\u9810\u671f 9 \u6708\u8207 12 \u6708\u964d\u606f\uff1b\u5148\u524d\u9810\u671f\u662f 6 \u6708\u8207 9 \u6708\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\u901a\u81a8\uff08inflation\uff0c\u7269\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8d70\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\n\n\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74 3 \u6708\uff0cRBA \u628a\u4e3b\u8981\u5229\u7387\u5347\u5230 4.10%\uff0c\u800c Fed \u7576\u6642\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684 3.75%\u3002\u7576\u6642\u4f0a\u6717\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\u63a8\u5347\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u4f7f\u901a\u81a8\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u96e3\u5224\u65b7\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u8b93\u5169\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u51fa\u73fe\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4e5f\u9010\u6b65\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u3002\n\n\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\uff0cFed \u70ba\u4e86\u58d3\u5236\u6301\u7e8c\u6027\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u88ab\u8feb\u6bd4\u539f\u5148\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u7a4d\u6975\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u628a\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u7684 5.50%\u3002RBA \u4e5f\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\uff08tightening\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6216\u6e1b\u5c11\u5bec\u9b06\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u901f\u5ea6\u8f03\u6162\uff0c\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u524d\u5728 4.35%\u3002\u7f8e\u6fb3\u5229\u5dee\uff08interest rate differential\uff0c\u5169\u570b\u5229\u7387\u5dee\uff09\u64f4\u5927\u3001\u4e14\u504f\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u662f AUD\/USD \u5f9e 2025 \u5e74\u521d 0.7000 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u56de\u843d\u5230\u5982\u4eca\u7d04 0.6550 \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\n\n<h3>Inflation And Rate Path Uncertainty<\/h3>\n\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\u4e14\u4e0d\u6613\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u822c\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u986f\u793a\u5e74\u589e 3.2%\uff0c\u4ecd\u660e\u986f\u9ad8\u65bc Fed \u7684 2% \u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u9019\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u96d6\u9810\u671f\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u4ecd\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u3002CME FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff08\u6839\u64da\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d Fed \u653f\u7b56\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u4f30\u8a08 6 \u6708\u524d\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u7d04 60%\uff0c\u4f46\u6703\u96a8\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u5feb\u901f\u6539\u8b8a\u3002\n\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e5f\u9762\u81e8\u985e\u4f3c\u554f\u984c\uff0cCPI \u7d04\u5728 3.4%\uff0c\u8b93 RBA \u5f88\u96e3\u8003\u616e\u653e\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\uff08easing\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u6216\u589e\u52a0\u5bec\u9b06\uff09\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba Fed \u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u9ede\u66f4\u4e45\uff0c\u6301\u7e8c\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u95dc\u9375\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\uff08commodity prices\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9435\u7926\u7802\uff09\u8fd1\u671f\u4e5f\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u9435\u7926\u7802\u5c0d\u6fb3\u5e63\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5f8c\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5df2\u8dcc\u5230\u6bcf\u5678 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002\n\n\u5728\u5169\u570b\u901a\u81a8\u504f\u9ad8\u4f46\u9010\u6b65\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0cAUD\/USD \u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0a\u4e0b\u4e0b\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5229\u7528\u9019\u7a2e\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u91cd\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\uff08\u5982\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u570b PCE \u901a\u81a8\u5831\u544a\uff09\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u770b\u6f32\u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff09\u6216\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u770b\u6f32\u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff09\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u597d\u8655\u662f\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u532f\u50f9\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u731c\u5c0d\u65b9\u5411\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u5efa\u7acb\u4f60\u7684 VT Markets \u5373\u6642\u5e33\u6236<\/a>\u00a0\u4e26\u7acb\u5373\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u3002 <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6fb3\u5e63\u70ba\u4f55\u8dcc\uff1fRBA \u5347\u606f\u81f3 4.10% \u5f8c\uff0cAUD\/USD \u4ecd\u56de\u843d\u81f3 0.7060\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7dca\u76ef\u8a18\u8005\u6703\u8207 Fed \u6c7a\u8b70\uff1b\u7f8e\u6fb3\u5229\u5dee\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u9435\u7926\u7802\u75b2\u5f31\u63a8\u5347\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40250\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}