{"id":40240,"date":"2026-03-17T05:59:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T05:59:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40240\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T05:59:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T05:59:18","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rba%ef%bc%89%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e6%b1%ba%e8%ad%b0%e5%87%ba%e7%88%90%e5%89%8d%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8f%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%ef%bc%88aud-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40240\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u8b70\u51fa\u7210\u524d\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5148\u524d\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u4e0a\u6f321.25%\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u81f30.7060"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD \u5728\u524d\u4e00\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e0a\u6f32\u8d85\u904e 1.25% \u5f8c\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u9031\u4e8c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u5728 0.7060 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u6fb3\u5e63\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5f97\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u5728\u7a0d\u665a\u628a\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff080.25 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u5e36\u4f86\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\n\n\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f RBA \u5c07\u5b98\u65b9\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08\u9280\u884c\u9593\u9694\u591c\u501f\u8cb8\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5f9e 3.85% \u4e0a\u8abf\u5230 4.10%\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u4f7f\u5b83\u6210\u70ba G10\uff08\u5341\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\/\u5730\u5340\uff09\u4e2d\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u91cd\u65b0\u958b\u59cb\u5347\u606f\u7684\u592e\u884c\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u95dc\u6ce8\u7e3d\u88c1 Michele Bullock \u7684\u8a18\u8005\u6703\uff0c\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u5f8c\u7e8c\u65b9\u5411\uff1b\u526f\u7e3d\u88c1 Andrew Hauser \u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u3002\n\n<h3>Rba Decision And Market Focus<\/h3>\n\u8def\u900f\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u671f\u5229\u7387\u5728 3 \u6708\u9054\u5230 4.10%\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 4.35%\u3002\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u9280\u884c\uff08Westpac\uff09\u5df2\u6539\u70ba\u9810\u6e2c\u9023\u7e8c\u5347\u606f\uff1b\u9019\u7a2e\u770b\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u652f\u6490\u6fb3\u6d32\u50b5\u5238\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff08\u50b5\u5238\u5229\u606f\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff09\u8207\u6fb3\u5e63\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u5468\u908a\u7dca\u5f35\u60c5\u52e2\u964d\u6eab\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u82e5\u518d\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e45\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6e1b\u5f31\uff0c\u800c\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u8f03\u9ad8\u4e5f\u6703\u52a0\u91cd\u901a\u81a8\u7591\u616e\u3002\n\n\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74\u540c\u4e00\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u56e0\u9810\u671f RBA \u5c07\u5347\u606f\u81f3 4.10%\uff0c\u6fb3\u5e63\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\u4e4b\u5f8c RBA \u78ba\u5be6\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u4e26\u56e0\u6cb9\u50f9\u98a8\u96aa\u800c\u6210\u70ba G10 \u4e2d\u8f03\u65e9\u91cd\u65b0\u7dca\u7e2e\uff08\u4ee5\u5347\u606f\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7684\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u7576\u6642 AUD\/USD \u660e\u986f\u7ad9\u5728 0.7000 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\n\n\u5982\u4eca\u60c5\u6cc1\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u6539\u8b8a\uff0cRBA \u904e\u53bb\u516d\u500b\u6708\u628a\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 4.35%\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32 CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u5df2\u964d\u5230 3.1%\uff0c\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u5df2\u8b93\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u660e\u986f\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u958b\u59cb\u53cd\u6620\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u74b0\u5883\u8207\u53bb\u5e74\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\n\n<h3>Policy Divergence And Trading Implications<\/h3>\n\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u5f8c\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u70ba 3.5%\uff0c\u4f7f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7121\u6cd5\u50cf\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u539f\u5148\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u90a3\u9ebc\u65e9\u964d\u606f\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u4f7f AUD\/USD \u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7d04\u5728 0.6650 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f37\u4ecd\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u5f71\u97ff\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\n\n\u53bb\u5e74\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5 WTI\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u8fd1\u5e7e\u9031\u56de\u5347\u5230\u6bcf\u6876 95 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u8b93\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5224\u65b7\u66f4\u56f0\u96e3\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8b8a\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\n\n\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728 AUD\/USD \u4e0a\u5e03\u5c40\u300c\u8cb7\u6ce2\u52d5\u300d\u30023 \u500b\u6708\u671f\u6b0a\uff08\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff09\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u5347\u81f3 9.5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u65e9\u7684 7.2%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8d77\u4f0f\u3002\u50cf\u662f\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long straddle\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u3001\u4e0d\u62bc\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u638c\u63e1\u5411\u4e0a\u6216\u5411\u4e0b\u7684\u6025\u5287\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\n\n\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7acb\u5834\u6bd4 RBA \u66f4\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\uff08\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\uff09\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u532f\u50f9\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/USD \u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08put option\uff1a\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\u51fa\u6a19\u7684\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u8ce3\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08put spread\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8207\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u4e26\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e03\u5c40\u53ef\u80fd\u671d 0.6500 \u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u6210\u672c\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0b\u8868\u9054\u65b9\u5411\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD \u56de\u843d\u81f30.7060\uff01\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8RBA\u6216\u5347\u606f25bp\u3001\u6cb9\u50f9\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8\uff1b\u4f46Fed\u66f4\u9df9\u4ee4\u6fb3\u5e63\u627f\u58d3\u3002\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u5347\u81f39.5%\uff0c\u53ef\u5e03\u5c40\u8cb7\u6ce2\u52d5\u6216\u8ce3\u6b0a\u7784\u6e960.6500\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}