{"id":40211,"date":"2026-03-17T01:59:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:59:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40211\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T01:59:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:59:17","slug":"%e9%9a%a8%e8%91%97%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e7%a9%a9%ef%bc%8c%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b3%e6%8e%a5%e8%bf%91-1-1500%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e9%9d%9c%e5%be%85%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/40211\/","title":{"rendered":"\u96a8\u8457\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u7a69\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1 1.1500\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u975c\u5f85\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e00 EUR\/USD \u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e00\u6ce2\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u66ab\u505c\u6574\u7406\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5\u532f\u50f9\u81ea\u9031\u4e94\u5275\u4e0b\u7684 7 \u500b\u6708\u4f4e\u9ede\u56de\u5347\u3002EUR\/USD \u4ea4\u6613\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 1.1497\uff0c\u6f32\u8fd1 0.70%\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u7d04\u5728 99.85\uff0c\u9031\u4e94\u66fe\u89f8\u53ca 10 \u500b\u6708\u9ad8\u9ede 100.54\u3002\n\n\u8207\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6230\u722d\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\uff08\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u504f\u597d\u8f03\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u4ecd\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9650\u5236 EUR\/USD \u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6f32\u5e45\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7b49\u5f85\u672c\u9031\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff08ECB\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u6703\u8b70\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\n\n<h3>\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u6307\u5f15\u8207\u6cb9\u50f9\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8<\/h3>\n\u7126\u9ede\u5728\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\uff08Christine Lagarde\uff0cECB \u7e3d\u88c1\uff09\u8207\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\uff08Jerome Powell\uff0cFed \u4e3b\u5e2d\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6307\u5f15\uff08\u6703\u5f8c\u8ac7\u8a71\u8207\u8072\u660e\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u53d7\u5e72\u64fe\u63a8\u9ad8\u6cb9\u50f9\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u7591\u616e\u3002\u5728\u885d\u7a81\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f ECB \u6703\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5230 2026 \u5e74\uff1b\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\uff08price in\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5df2\u5148\u884c\u53cd\u61c9\uff09\u6700\u665a 7 \u6708\u5c07\u5347\u606f\u3002\n\n\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u53ea\u53cd\u6620\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f 1 \u6b21\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u81f3\u5c11 2 \u6b21\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5c07\u95dc\u6ce8\u660e\u7d30\u5229\u7387\u9ede\u9663\u5716\uff08Dot Plot\uff0c\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u4f30\u5206\u5e03\uff09\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u9810\u6e2c\u6458\u8981\uff08Summary of Economic Projections\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u6210\u9577\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u5931\u696d\u8207\u5229\u7387\u9810\u6e2c\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65b7\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u3002\n\n\u6280\u8853\u9762\u4e0a\uff0cEUR\/USD \u81ea 1 \u6708 27 \u65e5\u89f8\u53ca 1.2082 \u5f8c\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u4e14\u4f4e\u65bc 50 \u65e5\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff0c\u904e\u53bb N \u5929\u6536\u76e4\u50f9\u7684\u5e73\u5747\uff1b\u6b64\u8655\u70ba 1.1740\uff09\u8207 100 \u65e5 SMA\uff081.1690\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6a19\uff08RSI\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6f32\u8dcc\u52d5\u80fd\u7684\u6280\u8853\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5f9e 24 \u56de\u5347\u5230\u7d04 34\uff1bMACD\uff08\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u6582\u767c\u6563\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5224\u65b7\u8da8\u52e2\u8207\u52d5\u80fd\uff09\u4ecd\u70ba\u8ca0\u503c\u3002\u963b\u529b\uff08\u4e0a\u65b9\u8f03\u96e3\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u5728 1.1600 \u8207 1.1700\uff1b\u652f\u6490\uff08\u4e0b\u65b9\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u5728 1.1411\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u662f 1.1350\u3002\n\n<h3>\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u8207\u4ea4\u6613\u542b\u610f<\/h3>\nFed \u8207 ECB \u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08\u5169\u8005\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u540c\uff09\u660e\u986f\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u6392\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u5e74\u589e\u7387\uff08year-over-year\uff0c\u540c\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff09\u70ba 3.1%\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f Fed \u7dad\u6301\u7dca\u7e2e\u7acb\u5834\uff08restrictive stance\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u58d3\u6291\u9700\u6c42\uff09\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u5c1a\u672a\u51fa\u73fe\u5be6\u969b\u964d\u606f\u3002\u9019\u8207\u53bb\u5e74\u521d\u5e02\u5834\u539f\u672c\u9810\u671f\u81f3\u5c11\u6703\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u5f62\u6210\u660e\u986f\u843d\u5dee\u3002\n\n\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u627f\u53d7\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u7684\u58d3\u529b\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63 GDP\uff08\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff09\u50c5\u6210\u9577 0.1%\uff0c\u52c9\u5f37\u907f\u958b\u6280\u8853\u6027\u8870\u9000\uff08\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u5b63\u7d93\u6fdf\u840e\u7e2e\uff09\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340 HICP\uff08\u8abf\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u7528\u65bc\u8de8\u570b\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u81f3 2.6% \u4e14\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0cECB \u91cb\u51fa\u66f4\u660e\u986f\u7684\u5bec\u9b06\u50be\u5411\uff08easing bias\uff0c\u8f03\u504f\u5411\u964d\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4e5f\u53cd\u6620 6 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u6a5f\u7387\u7d04 75%\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u504f\u5f31\u4f7f\u6b50\u5143\u6301\u7e8c\u627f\u58d3\u3002\n\n\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u50f9\u503c\u4f86\u81ea\u6a19\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u5982\u532f\u7387\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u74b0\u5883\u8f03\u9069\u5408\u505a\u5340\u9593\uff08range\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u4e0a\u4e0b\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u9707\u76ea\uff09\u4f46\u504f\u7a7a\u3002\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff1b\u8cb7\u65b9\u6709\u6b0a\u4ee5\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u3001\u8ce3\u65b9\u6536\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u4f46\u627f\u64d4\u7fa9\u52d9\uff09\uff0c\u5c07\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u7d04\u5b9a\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8a2d\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u820a\u652f\u6490 1.1000 \u9644\u8fd1\u53ef\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6b64\u50f9\u4f4d\u5982\u4eca\u6210\u70ba\u660e\u986f\u963b\u529b\u3002\u82e5 EUR\/USD \u6a6b\u76e4\u6216\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u8a72\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u8207\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u52e2\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\n\n\u8003\u91cf\u592e\u884c\u6703\u8b70\u524d\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u662f\u5e03\u5c40\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e14\u98a8\u96aa\u53d7\u9650\uff08limited risk\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u53ef\u4e8b\u5148\u78ba\u5b9a\uff09\u7684\u8f03\u7a69\u5065\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u8cb7\u5165\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9 1.0500\u3001\u5230\u671f\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4f86\u62bc\u6ce8\u8da8\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002\u9019\u53ef\u628a\u63e1\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52d5\u80fd\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u754c\u5b9a\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u3002\n\n\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u4ecd\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5730\u7de3\u7dca\u5f35\u6301\u7e8c\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u5728\u91cd\u8981\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u5f8c\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5373\u5c07\u767c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u570b CPI\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff09\u4f7f\u7528\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u50f9\u683c\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u9810\u6e2c\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u5f9e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u4e2d\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b50\u5143\u53cd\u5f48\u8fd10.7%\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6f32\u52e2\u66ab\u6b47\u4f46\u907f\u96aa\u4ecd\u6490\u76e4\u3002Fed\u3001ECB\u6703\u8b70\u8207\u6cb9\u50f9\u901a\u81a8\u6210\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u6280\u8853\u504f\u7a7a\u3001\u5340\u9593\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u95dc\u6ce8\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u8207\u6ce2\u52d5\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40211"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40211\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}