{"id":39770,"date":"2026-03-11T08:02:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T08:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39770\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T08:02:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T08:02:56","slug":"%e7%b4%90%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%ba%a4%e6%8a%95%e6%96%bc0-5930%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e4%bd%8e%e6%96%bc0-5950%ef%bc%8c%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%b6%a8%e9%81%bf%e6%8a%b5%e6%b6%88%e5%9b%a02026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/39770\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7d10\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4ea4\u6295\u65bc0.5930\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc0.5950\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u8da8\u907f\u62b5\u6d88\u56e02026\u5e74\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u592e\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff09\u5347\u606f\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d10\u5143\u8d70\u5f37"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e09\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\uff0cNZD\/USD \u4ea4\u6613\u5728\u7d04 0.5930\uff0c\u56de\u5410\u65e9\u524d\u6f32\u5e45\u5f8c\u4ecd\u4f4e\u65bc 0.5950\u3002\u7d10\u5e63\u4e00\u5ea6\u7372\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u5834\u52a0\u5927\u62bc\u6ce8 2026 \u5e74\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u592e\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff0c\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\uff08\u63d0\u9ad8\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u8207\u570b\u5167\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u64d4\u6182\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u3002\n\n\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u8207\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u822a\u904b\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\uff08IEA\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u80fd\u6e90\u6a5f\u69cb\uff09\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u616e\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u5132\u5099\u91cb\u653e\uff08\u91cb\u51fa\u5404\u570b\u6230\u7565\u5132\u6cb9\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u4f9b\u7d66\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u7684\u904b\u8f38\u53d7\u963b\u4ecd\u5728\u6301\u7e8c\u3002\n\n<h3>Rbnz Rate Expectations And Inflation Outlook<\/h3>\n\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u9810\u671f\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u901a\u81a8\u6703\u6bd4\u592e\u884c\u9810\u4f30\u66f4\u96e3\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u5c07 2026 \u5e74\u7684\u5347\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7d0d\u5165\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002\u9019\u8207\u4e0a\u6708 RBNZ \u7684\u6697\u793a\u4e0d\u540c\uff1b\u7576\u6642 RBNZ \u8868\u793a\u5b98\u65b9\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08OCR\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\uff09\u5168\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u7d04 2.25%\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u7565\u70ba\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\uff08\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u9047\u5230\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\u504f\u597d\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u56e0\u4e2d\u6771\u5c40\u52e2\u5347\u6eab\u800c\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u8f49\u5f37\u3002\u5510\u7d0d\uff0e\u5ddd\u666e\u9031\u4e00\u6df1\u591c\u8868\u793a\u885d\u7a81\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u7d50\u675f\uff1b\u4f46\u8def\u900f\u793e\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u9031\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\u5728\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u5f37\uff0c\u8ac7\u5224\u524d\u666f\u6709\u9650\u3002\n\nRBNZ \u7684\u901a\u81a8\u76ee\u6a19\u70ba 1% \u5230 3%\uff0c\u4e26\u4ee5\u63a5\u8fd1 2% \u7684\u4e2d\u9593\u503c\u70ba\u91cd\u9ede\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u4e73\u88fd\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u4e5f\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u7d10\u5e63\uff08Kiwi\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u5143\u7684\u5e38\u7528\u7a31\u547c\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u6574\u9ad4\u9858\u4e0d\u9858\u610f\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u8b8a\u5316\u4e5f\u5e38\u5e36\u52d5 NZD\u3002\n\nNZD\/USD \u76ee\u524d\u53d7\u5169\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u62c9\u626f\uff1a\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u4f7f\u532f\u50f9\u627f\u58d3\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff1b\u672c\u5730\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f\u5247\u63a8\u52d5\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u6ce2\u52d5\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8d77\u4f0f\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6b0a\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u8207\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff1b\u7121\u8ad6\u4e0a\u6f32\u6216\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u8d70\u52e2\u5920\u5927\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5229\uff09\u4f86\u628a\u63e1\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\n\n<h3>Near Term Trading Strategy And Volatility<\/h3>\n\u77ed\u671f\u5167\uff0c\u65b9\u5411\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u56e0\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u5347\u6eab\u5e36\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u8fd1\u671f\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u6876 95 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4ee5\u907f\u96aa\u70ba\u4e3b\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u77ed\u671f\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08put option\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u76ee\u6a19\u6307\u5411\u8dcc\u7834 0.5900\u3002\n\n\u4f46\u4ecd\u9700\u7559\u610f\u532f\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u5f62\u6210\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u5834\u4e5f\u5728\u5b9a\u50f9\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u6e96\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08Reserve Bank of New Zealand\uff0c\u5373 RBNZ\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\u3002\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\uff08Stats NZ\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u6a5f\u69cb\uff09\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u5b63\u901a\u81a8\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u822c\u5bb6\u5ead\u8cfc\u7269\u7c43\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u4ecd\u5728 4.5%\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u9ad8\u65bc RBNZ \u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u5f37\u5316\u504f\u5411\u5347\u606f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u82e5 NZD\/USD \u51fa\u73fe\u8f03\u5927\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u5e03\u5c40\u8f03\u9577\u5929\u671f\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call option\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u4e5f\u770b\u904e\u985e\u4f3c\u8d70\u52e2\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u64d4\u6182\u4e2d\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5148\u8b93\u7d10\u5e63\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u570b\u5167\u4e73\u88fd\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u5f37\u52c1\u53c8\u8b93\u8da8\u52e2\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u8f49\u3002\u9019\u6bb5\u6b77\u53f2\u8d70\u52e2\u652f\u6301\u6211\u5011\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3b\u5c0e\u6578\u9031\uff0c\u4f46\u672c\u5730\u7d93\u6fdf\u56e0\u7d20\u7d42\u6703\u91cd\u65b0\u5f71\u97ff\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u504f\u7a7a\u7acb\u5834\u9700\u8b39\u614e\u63a7\u7ba1\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u60c5\u7dd2\u8f49\u8b8a\u6642\u6e96\u5099\u8abf\u6574\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7d10\u5e63\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u56de0.5930\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f\u6490\u5834\u3001\u4f46\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u63a8\u5347\u907f\u96aa\u7f8e\u5143\u58d3\u76e4\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u98a8\u96aa\u653e\u5927\u6ce2\u52d5\uff1b\u77ed\u7dda\u504f\u7a7a\u770b0.5900\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u53ef\u4f3a\u6a5f\u5e03\u5c40\u9577\u5929\u671f\u8cb7\u6b0a\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39770"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39770\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}