{"id":39616,"date":"2026-03-10T01:00:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T01:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39616\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T01:00:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T01:00:18","slug":"%e7%94%b1%e6%96%bc%e4%b8%ad%e6%9d%b1%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e5%b1%80%e5%8b%a2%e6%8c%81%e7%ba%8c%ef%bc%8cwti-%e5%8e%9f%e6%b2%b9%e4%b8%8a%e6%bc%b2%e7%b4%84-5%ef%bc%8c%e6%8e%a9%e8%93%8b%e4%ba%86%e6%b3%a2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/39616\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7531\u65bc\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u6301\u7e8c\uff0cWTI \u539f\u6cb9\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 5%\uff0c\u63a9\u84cb\u4e86\u6ce2\u52d5\u5287\u70c8\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6642\u6bb5"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e00\uff0cWTI\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff09\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 5%\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u4e00\u5ea6\u8df3\u5347\u7a81\u7834 $110.00\uff0c\u4e26\u885d\u4e0a $113.00 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u5275 2022 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2.4%\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u6578\u64da\u3002EIA\uff08\u7f8e\u570b\u80fd\u6e90\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7f72\uff09\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58\u4e5f\u5c07\u65bc\u9031\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\uff1b\u524d\u6b21\u5831\u544a\u5eab\u5b58\u589e\u52a0 350 \u842c\u6876\u3002\n\nWTI \u4ea4\u6613\u5728\u7d04 $93.15 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u652f\u6490\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u5340\u57df\uff09\u5728 $88.50 \u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u963b\u529b\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u58d3\u56de\u843d\u7684\u5340\u57df\uff09\u5728 $95.00 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f $98.00 \u8207 $100.00\u300250 \u65e5 EMA\uff08\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u7528\u8f03\u91cd\u6b0a\u91cd\u8a08\u7b97\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u5e73\u5747\uff09\u7d04\u70ba $66.35\uff0c200 \u65e5 EMA \u7d04\u5728 $63.55\u3002\n\n\u55ae\u65e5\u81ea $113 \u4e0a\u65b9\u6025\u8dcc\u5230 $93\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7279\u5fb5\u662f\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u6ce2\u52d5\u300d\u3002\u539f\u6cb9\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u8cb7\u65b9\u7528\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u63db\u53d6\u5728\u671f\u9650\u5167\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\/\u8ce3\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5f9e\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u9810\u671f\uff09\u5927\u5e45\u98c6\u5347\uff1bOVX\uff08CBOE \u539f\u6cb9\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u539f\u6cb9\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u5728 70 \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u5275 2022 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\u3002\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u76f4\u63a5\u8cb7\u9032\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08put\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u6216\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call\uff0c\u770b\u6f32\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u6210\u672c\u975e\u5e38\u9ad8\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u7528\u66f4\u9032\u968e\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\n\n<h3>\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0b\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n\u5728\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u6301\u7e8c\u95dc\u9589\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff08\u4f9b\u9700\u7b49\u771f\u5be6\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u591a\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6bcf\u65e5 2,000 \u842c\u6876\u7684\u904b\u8f38\u88ab\u5361\u4f4f\u3002\u8fd1\u671f OPEC+\uff08\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f38\u51fa\u570b\u7d44\u7e54\u8207\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7522\u6cb9\u570b\u806f\u76df\uff09\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8a72\u7d44\u7e54\u771f\u6b63\u53ef\u7acb\u5373\u52d5\u7528\u7684\u9592\u7f6e\u7522\u80fd\uff08spare capacity\uff0c\u53ef\u5feb\u901f\u52a0\u7522\u7684\u591a\u9918\u7522\u91cf\uff09\u4f4e\u65bc\u6bcf\u65e5 200 \u842c\u6876\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u5f4c\u88dc\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u65b7\u3002\u9019\u662f\u300c\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u7f3a\u53e3\u300d\uff0c\u652f\u6490\u6cb9\u50f9\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5f80\u4e0a\u8d70\u3002\n\n\u7531\u65bc\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u6210\u672c\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u725b\u5e02\u8cb7\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08bull call spread\uff1a\u8cb7\u9032\u8f03\u4f4e\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u4f46\u4e5f\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u7372\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u62bc\u6ce8\u7e8c\u6f32\u7684\u540c\u6642\u628a\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u6210\u672c\u63a7\u5236\u4f4f\u3002\u82e5\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u6e2c\u5230\u7d04 $88.50 \u7684\u6280\u8853\u652f\u6490\u5340\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u7684\u9032\u5834\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u88f8\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08naked put\uff1a\u53ea\u8ce3\u51fa\u8ce3\u6b0a\u3001\u6c92\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u90e8\u4f4d\u5c0d\u6c96\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u627f\u53d7\u5de8\u5927\u8667\u640d\uff09\u98a8\u96aa\u6975\u9ad8\uff0c\u61c9\u907f\u514d\u3002\n\n2022 \u5e74\u4fc4\u70cf\u885d\u7a81\u5f8c\u4e5f\u51fa\u73fe\u904e\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\uff0cWTI \u4e5f\u66fe\u77ed\u66ab\u7ad9\u4e0a $100\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u6b21\u5c01\u9396\u7684\u662f\u5168\u7403\u95dc\u9375\u822a\u9053\uff0c\u5c6c\u65bc\u66f4\u76f4\u63a5\u3001\u5be6\u9ad4\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u901a\u5e38\u6bd4\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff08\u4ee5\u653f\u7b56\u9650\u5236\u4ea4\u6613\uff09\u66f4\u5927\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u50cf 1970 \u5e74\u4ee3\u90a3\u7a2e\u300c\u4f9b\u61c9\u88ab\u76f4\u63a5\u79fb\u9664\u300d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7684\u9ad8\u6cb9\u50f9\u3002\n\n\u9031\u4e09\u7684\u7f8e\u570b CPI \u662f\u91cd\u8981\u98a8\u96aa\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1b\u8fd1\u671f\u80fd\u6e90\u5927\u6f32\u6703\u660e\u986f\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u514b\u91cc\u592b\u862d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u5373\u6642\u9810\u6e2c\u6a21\u578b\uff08Inflation Nowcasting\uff0c\u7528\u5373\u6642\u8cc7\u6599\u4f30\u7b97\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u5df2\u9810\u4f30 2 \u6708\u6574\u9ad4\u6578\u5b57\u53ef\u80fd\u8df3\u5347\u5230 3.0% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff09\u8f49\u5411\u66f4\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\/\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u58d3\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u3002\u9577\u671f\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0d\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u9ad8\u6cb9\u50f9\u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u58d3\u6291\u9700\u6c42\uff08\u9700\u6c42\u88ab\u7834\u58de\uff0cdemand destruction\uff1a\u56e0\u50f9\u683c\u6216\u5229\u7387\u592a\u9ad8\u800c\u4f7f\u6d88\u8cbb\u6e1b\u5c11\uff09\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd\u8b77\u822a\u8a08\u756b\u5e36\u4f86\u300c\u975e\u9ed1\u5373\u767d\u300d\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff1a\u50f9\u503c\u4f86\u81ea\u6a19\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u5982\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5fc5\u9808\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002\u82e5\u884c\u52d5\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u77ed\u66ab\u7de9\u89e3\u6050\u614c\u4e26\u5f15\u767c\u6cb9\u50f9\u6025\u8dcc\uff1b\u82e5\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u90e8\u968a\u767c\u751f\u8ecd\u4e8b\u63a5\u89f8\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u53ef\u80fd\u98c6\u7834\u8fd1\u671f $113 \u9ad8\u9ede\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5de8\u5927\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u9577\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long straddle\uff1a\u540c\u4e00\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u52d2\u5f0f\uff08long strangle\uff1a\u8cb7\u9032\u8f03\u9ad8\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8f03\u4f4e\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u6210\u70ba\u62bc\u6ce8\u300c\u4e0d\u8ad6\u6f32\u8dcc\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5927\u52d5\u300d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f46\u6210\u672c\u4ecd\u5f88\u9ad8\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5c01\u9396\u5f15\u7206\u4f9b\u61c9\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0cWTI 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