{"id":39462,"date":"2026-03-06T22:58:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:58:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39462\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T22:58:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:58:15","slug":"miran-%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%e9%80%9a%e5%b8%b8%e6%9c%83%e5%bf%bd%e8%a6%96%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e6%b3%a2%e5%8b%95%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%a6%e4%b8%94%e5%9c%a8%e8%a7%a3%e8%ae%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/39462\/","title":{"rendered":"Miran \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u5ffd\u8996\u6cb9\u50f9\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5728\u89e3\u8b80\u55ae\u6708\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u6642\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u8b39\u614e"},"content":{"rendered":"\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u30fb\u7c73\u862d\uff08Stephen Miran\uff09\uff0c\u806f\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u7406\u4e8b\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff09\u7684\u7406\u4e8b\uff08governor\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u5236\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\uff09\uff0c\u9031\u4e94\u5c0d CNBC \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0d\u592a\u9858\u610f\u628a\u592a\u591a\u6bd4\u91cd\u653e\u5728\u55ae\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u4e0a\u3002\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u770b\u6cd5\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u4ed6\u5982\u4f55\u601d\u8003\u653f\u7b56\u3002\n\n\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u6821\u6e96\uff08miscalibrated\uff0c\u610f\u601d\u662f\u8a2d\u5b9a\u4e0d\u6e96\u3001\u8207\u5be6\u969b\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\uff09\u6709\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff08monetary policy\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u7528\u5229\u7387\u8207\u8cc7\u91d1\u4f9b\u7d66\u5f71\u97ff\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff09\u592a\u7dca\uff08too tight\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u504f\u9ad8\u3001\u58d3\u6291\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u88dc\u5145\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u8b93\u4ed6\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u9d3f\u6d3e\uff08dovish\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u964d\u606f\u3001\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u3002\n\n<h3>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53cd\u61c9\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u8a0a\u865f<\/h3>\n\u7c73\u862d\u8aaa\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u6cb9\u50f9\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\uff08rents\uff09\u6c92\u6709\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\uff08inflation pressure\uff0c\u7269\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u63a8\u529b\uff09\u3002\n\n\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\uff08neutral rate\uff0c\u65e2\u4e0d\u523a\u6fc0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6291\u5236\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u5927\u7d04\u5728 2.5% \u5230 2.75%\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5f88\u96e3\u505a\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u4ed6\u6703\u4ee5\u7559\u4efb\u8005\uff08holdover\uff0c\u4efb\u671f\u5df2\u5230\u4f46\u7e7c\u7e8c\u66ab\u4ee3\uff09\u8eab\u5206\u7e7c\u7e8c\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u6709\u4eba\u901a\u904e\u78ba\u8a8d\uff08confirmed\uff0c\u6307\u7d93\u6b63\u5f0f\u4efb\u547d\/\u6838\u51c6\uff09\u63a5\u66ff\u4ed6\u7684\u5e2d\u4f4d\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; 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