{"id":20932,"date":"2025-05-16T05:50:23","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T05:50:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/20932\/"},"modified":"2025-05-16T05:50:23","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T05:50:23","slug":"%e9%97%9c%e7%a8%85%e4%bc%91%e6%88%b0%e6%8f%90%e6%8c%af%e6%83%85%e7%b7%92%ef%bc%8c%e5%93%a1%e5%b7%a5%e4%bc%81%e6%a5%ad%e5%8f%97%e7%9b%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/analysis\/20932\/","title":{"rendered":"\u95dc\u7a05\u4f11\u6230\u63d0\u632f\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u54e1\u5de5\u4f01\u696d\u53d7\u76ca"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Image_fx-2025-05-16T130402.470-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22441\" \/>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8981\u9ede\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n    \n    <li>\u7531\u65bc\u7f8e\u5143\u666e\u904d\u75b2\u8edf\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u60c5\u7dd2\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u96e2\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8dcc\u81f3 7.1989\u3002<\/li>\n    \n    \n    <li>\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u9280\u884c\u5c07\u4e2d\u9593\u50f9\u8a2d\u5b9a\u70ba7.1938\uff0c\u6bd4\u8fd1\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u4f86\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/li>\n    \n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p>\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8edf\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e 90 \u5929\u95dc\u7a05\u4f11\u6230\u5354\u8b70\u5f8c\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u6539\u5584\u7684\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u9031\u4e94\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\/\u96e2\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8dcc\u7834 7.20\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u63a5\u8fd1 7.1989\uff0c\u5728\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u73fe\u8ca8\u532f\u7387\u4e5f\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u5831\u50f9\u70ba 7.2020\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u672c\u9031\u65e9\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5c0e\u7dfb\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4eca\u5e74\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u70ba\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5728\u5167\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u8ca8\u5e63\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8d70\u5f37\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u548c\u745e\u9280\u7b49\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/05\/13\/investment-banks-lift-china-growth-outlook-after-surprise-trade-deal-with-us.html\">\u4e0a\u8abf\u4e86\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b2025\u5e74GDP\u7684\u9810\u6e2c<\/a>\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u662f\u9810\u8a08\u95dc\u7a05\u964d\u7d1a\u5f8c\u8cbf\u6613\u6d41\u91cf\u548c\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u5c07\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u9019\u589e\u5f37\u4e86\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4eba\u6c23\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u9280\u884c\uff08PBOC\uff09\u4e5f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-05-14\/pboc-daily-yuan-support-below-estimates-for-first-time-this-year\">\u5c0d\u5176\u6307\u5c0e\u65b9\u91dd\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u7d30\u5fae\u8abf\u6574<\/a>\u3002\u9031\u4e94\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u5b9a\u65bc7.1938\uff0c\u8207\u8def\u900f\u793e\u6a21\u578b\u4f30\u8a08\u503c\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u70ba\u6578\u6708\u4f86\u6700\u5c0f\u3002\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u9019\u986f\u793a\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u6b63\u8a66\u5716\u904f\u5236\u55ae\u5411\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e26\u7dad\u6301\u8ca8\u5e63\u7a69\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5df4\u514b\u840a\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u8b66\u544a\u7a31\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8dcc\u7834 7.15 \u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u51fa\u53e3\u8f49\u63db\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u6d41\u5165\u91d1\u984d\u53ef\u80fd\u9054\u5230 1000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u2014\u2014\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u8b39\u614e\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u52a0\u901f\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3 7.00 \u7684\u9032\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u4fdd\u6301\u8b39\u614e\u3002\u5357\u83ef\u671f\u8ca8\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u77ed\u671f\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u5229\u597d\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u65e6\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u53ef\u80fd\u5c07\u6062\u5fa9\u96d9\u5411\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5c0d\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u5f8c\u671f\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u5f9e\u76e4\u4e2d\u9ad8\u9ede<strong>7.2155<\/strong>\u8dcc\u81f3\u6536\u76e4\u50f9<strong>7.1989<\/strong>\u3002\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u4ecd\u7136\u5927\u81f4\u5340\u9593\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4f46\u65e5\u5167\u7d50\u69cb\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u770b\u8dcc\u50be\u5411\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u672a\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\u5728<strong>7.2050<\/strong>\u963b\u529b\u5340\u57df\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4e26\u8dcc\u7834 15 \u5206\u9418\u5716\u4e0a\u7684<strong>5 \u548c 10 \u9031\u671f\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-16-1024x438.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22440\" \/>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" style=\"text-align: center;\">\n    <em>\u5716\u7247\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5f9e 7.2155 \u7684\u9ad8\u9ede\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u56e0\u770b\u8dcc\u58d3\u529b\u56de\u6b78\uff0c\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u5728 7.1950 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5982<\/em>\n    <em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets \u61c9\u7528\u7a0b\u5f0f<\/a><\/em>\u6240\u793a\n<\/p>\n\n<p>MACD \u52d5\u91cf\u5df2\u7565\u5fae\u8f49\u70ba\u8ca0\u503c\uff0c\u8a0a\u865f\u7dda\u4ea4\u53c9\u652f\u6490\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u50f9\u683c\u6e2c\u8a66\u4e86<strong>7.1950<\/strong>\u652f\u6490\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u7565\u5fae\u7a69\u5b9a\u4e0b\u4f86\u3002\u82e5\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u672a\u80fd\u6062\u5fa9\u81f3<strong>7.2000\u20137.2020<\/strong>\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u5247\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3<strong>7.1900 \u7684<\/strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7a81\u7834<strong>7.2060<\/strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u767c\u770b\u6f32\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u8b39\u614e\u9810\u6e2c<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4Jc20seqcy\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6c92\u6709\u66f4\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411<\/a>\u548c\u66f4\u5177\u9ad4\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u6f32\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728 7.15 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