{"id":15155,"date":"2025-02-11T06:45:49","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T06:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/notification\/15155.html"},"modified":"2025-02-11T06:45:49","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T06:45:49","slug":"%e4%b8%8b%e5%91%a8%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b%ef%bc%9a%e9%97%9c%e7%a8%85%e4%bd%bf%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e4%b8%8d%e5%ae%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/analysis\/15155\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0b\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u95dc\u7a05\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u7dca\u5f35\u4e0d\u5b89"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/shutterstock_1276458436.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16635\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\" \/><\/figure><p>\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\u8003\u9a57\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u61c9\u5c0d\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u592e\u884c\u6c7a\u7b56\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u5510\u7d0d\u5fb7\u00b7\u5ddd\u666e\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u884c\u95dc\u7a05\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u9707\u52d5\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5fb5\u6536\u7684\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u8ca8\u5e63\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p><p>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u5ef6\u9072\u5be6\u65bd\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66ab\u6642\u7684\u7de9\u89e3\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b<strong>\u8207\u7f8e\u570b<\/strong><strong>\u4ecd\u6df1\u9677<\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2025\/02\/04\/business\/china-us-trade-retaliation-hnk-intl\/index.html\">\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u8cbf\u6613\u722d\u7aef<\/a><\/strong>\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u63a1\u53d6\u5831\u5fa9\u6027\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u80fd\u6e90\u51fa\u53e3\u5fb5\u6536 15% \u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5c0d 72 \u7a2e\u88fd\u6210\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536 10% \u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u3002<\/p><p>\u8b93\u554f\u984c\u66f4\u52a0\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VXZ6EkqStN\">\u64a4\u92b7\u4e86\u53d6\u6d88\u6700\u4f4e\u9650\u5ea6\u6f0f\u6d1e\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a<\/a><\/strong>\uff0c\u8a72\u6f0f\u6d1e\u5148\u524d\u5141\u8a31\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u7684\u5c0f\u984d\u5546\u54c1\u7e5e\u904e\u95dc\u7a05\u3002<\/p><p>\u95dc\u7a05\u554f\u984c\u50cf\u4e00\u7247\u70cf\u96f2\u7c60\u7f69\u8457\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/B7qFQb3IFf\">\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c<\/a>\u6b63\u5728\u8abf\u6574\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8a66\u5716\u5e73\u8861\u901a\u81a8\u98a8\u96aa\u548c\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u3002 <\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u592e\u884c\u516c\u4f48\u5229\u7387<\/h2><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/jobs-report-surprise-could-upend-fed-rate-cut-bets-in-coming-months\">\u806f\u6e96<\/a><\/strong>\u6703\u9810\u8a08\u5c07<strong>\u964d\u606f50\u500b\u57fa\u9ede<\/strong>\uff0c\u52302025\u5e74\u5e95\u5c07\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3<strong>4.00%<\/strong> \u3002<\/p><p>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5f7c\u5cb8\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/iXKOcJRxlB\">\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c<\/a><\/strong>\u6b63\u6e96\u5099\u555f\u52d5\u66f4<strong>\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u5bec\u9b06\u9031\u671f<\/strong>\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u964d\u606f<strong>100\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c<\/strong>\u6700\u7d42\u5229\u7387\u81f3<strong>2.15%<\/strong> \u3002<strong>\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/strong>\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u5df2\u964d\u81f3<strong>2.4%<\/strong> \uff0c\u70ba\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u523a\u6fc0\u6210\u9577\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u9593<\/strong><strong>\u5229\u5dee\u64f4\u5927<\/strong>\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4<strong>\u6b50\u5143\u8d70\u5f31<\/strong>\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5\u8cc7\u672c\u6d41\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/18lzKMXB0s\">\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c<\/a><\/strong>\u4e5f\u6b63\u5728\u8abf\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u9810\u8a08<strong>\u964d\u606f 75 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u5230\u5e74\u5e95\u6700\u7d42\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u671b<\/strong>\u9054\u5230<strong>4.00%<\/strong> \u3002\u82f1\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6b63\u5728\u653e\u7de9\uff0c<strong>\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u7dca\u5f35\u8de1\u8c61<\/strong>\u3002\u82f1\u938a\u4ecd\u7136\u9762\u81e8\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u5c0d<strong>\u82f1\u570b\u812b\u6b50\u76f8\u95dc\u8cbf\u6613\u4e2d\u65b7<\/strong>\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u4ee5\u53ca<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/ckgy1lerlpko\">\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u82f1\u570b\u5546\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05<\/a><\/strong>\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u65e5\u672c<\/strong>\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u4e2d\u4ecd\u5c6c\u7570\u985e\u3002\u9810\u8a08<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/rates-bonds\/boj-will-keep-raising-rates-if-prices-move-forecast-cbank-official-says-2025-02-05\/\">\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c<\/a><\/strong>\u5c07<strong>\u5347\u606f<\/strong><strong>75\u500b\u57fa\u9ede<\/strong>\uff0c <strong>2025\u5e74<\/strong>\u5c07\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3<strong>1.00%<\/strong> \u3002\u9019\u6a19\u8a8c\u8457\u65e5\u672c\u9577\u671f\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u767c\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u53d7<strong>\u901a\u81a8\u8abf\u6574\u5f8c\u7684\u85aa\u8cc7\u6210\u9577<\/strong>\u548c\u66f4<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/business\/2025\/02\/07\/economy\/december-household-spending\/\">\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u524d\u666f<\/a><\/strong>\u63a8\u52d5\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c<strong>\u65e5\u672c\u51fa\u53e3\u7522\u696d<\/strong>\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u7684<strong>\u58d3\u529b<\/strong>\uff0c<strong>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8feb\u91cd\u65b0\u8003\u616e<\/strong>\u7dca\u7e2e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8173\u6b65\u3002 <\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u672c\u9031\u5e02\u5834<\/h2><p>\u7531\u65bc\u5b58\u5728\u5982\u6b64\u591a\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u900f\u904e\u5716\u8868\u4f86\u5c0b\u627e\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u5834\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002<strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08USDX\uff09<\/strong>\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u6ce2\u52d5\u5340\u9593\u5167\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4e00\u5ea6\u89f8\u53ca<strong>108.35<\/strong> \uff0c\u96a8\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u3002\u82e5\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u5728\u6b64\u6c34\u5e73\u76e4\u6574\uff0c\u5247\u4ecd\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65<strong>\u770b\u8dcc\u81f3 107.70<\/strong> \uff0c\u800c\u7a81\u7834<strong>108.65<\/strong>\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u65b0\u9ede\u71c3\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5f37\u52e2\u3002<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-7-1024x548.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16636\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>\u9ec3\u91d1<\/strong>\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u5230\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u7a81\u7834\u4e86<strong>2,870 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u7684\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff0c\u96a8\u5f8c\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u91cd\u65b0\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\u3002\u5982\u679c\u91d1\u50f9\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5c07\u95dc\u6ce8<strong>2,943 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c<\/strong>\u4ee5\u78ba\u8a8d\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u901a\u81a8\u64d4\u6182\u548c\u5168\u7403\u98a8\u96aa\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c<strong>\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f5c\u70ba\u5c0d\u6c96\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u826f\u597d\u5de5\u5177<\/strong>\u3002<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-6-1024x550.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16634\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>\u6cb9\u50f9<\/strong>\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5c0b\u627e\u65b9\u5411\uff0cWTI \u539f\u6cb9\u6e2c\u8a66<strong>71.00 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u50f9\u683c\u4fdd\u6301\u9019\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e0a\u884c\u52e2\u982d\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63a8\u52d5<strong>\u50f9\u683c\u91cd\u65b0\u6e2c\u8a66 76.50 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c0d\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u64d4\u6182\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9650\u88fd\u6cb9\u50f9\u6f32\u5e45\uff0c\u4f7f\u6cb9\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u76e4\u6574\u968e\u6bb5\u3002<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-5-1024x551.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16633\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>\u6a19\u666e 500 \u6307\u6578<\/strong>\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u6301\u7e8c\u76e4\u6574\uff0c<strong>\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u5728 6,000 \u9ede\u9644\u8fd1<\/strong>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8cb7\u5bb6\u4ecb\u5165\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411<strong>6,190 \u548c 6,330<\/strong> \u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u8cbf\u6613\u98a8\u96aa\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u6709\u66f4\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u8a72\u6307\u6578<strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u96e3\u4ee5\u7dad\u6301\u770b\u6f32\u52e2\u982d<\/strong>\u3002<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-4-1024x548.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16632\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63<\/strong>\u4e00\u76f4\u8655\u65bc\u7a84\u5e45\u5340\u9593\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u6e2c\u8a66<strong>102,475<\/strong>\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u9ad8\u9ede\u3002\u5982\u679c\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u4ecd\u7136\u7336\u8c6b\u4e0d\u6c7a\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8dcc\u81f3<strong>94,770<\/strong> \uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u518d\u6b21\u5617\u8a66\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u5982\u679c<strong>102,475<\/strong>\u4fdd\u6301\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff0c<strong>\u5728\u51fa\u73fe\u65b0\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u52e2\u982d\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c<\/strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3<strong>91,227<\/strong>\u6216<strong>89,146<\/strong> \u3002 <\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u672c\u9031\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4e8b<\/h2><p><strong>\u9031\u4e8c<\/strong>\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/about\/people\/andrew-bailey\/biography\">\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u8c9d\u5229<\/a><\/strong>\u5c07\u767c\u8868\u8b1b\u8a71\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u65e9\u76e4\u6709\u671b\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u672a\u80fd\u5b88\u4f4f<strong>1.2300<\/strong>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u767c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u7576\u65e5\u665a\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\uff0c <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-02-08\/inflation-is-proving-sticky-as-fed-chair-powell-heads-to-the-hill\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e<\/a><\/strong>\u5c07\u767c\u8868\u8b49\u8a5e\uff0c\u9810\u8a08<strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u5c07\u5148\u5411\u4e0a\u76e4\u6574\u518d\u8d70\u4f4e<\/strong>\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u9031\u4e09<\/strong>\u5c07\u516c\u4f48<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/charts\/consumer-price-index\/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm\">\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da<\/a><\/strong>\uff0c<strong>\u9810\u8a08\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5c07\u9054\u52302.9%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u76843.2%<\/strong> \u3002<strong>\u9810\u8a08\u6574\u9ad4CPI\u70ba2.9%<\/strong> \uff0c\u8207\u4e0a\u6708\u6301\u5e73\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u9810\u8a08\u4e0d\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u91cd\u5927\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u5c07\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u9031\u56db<\/strong>\uff0c <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/statistics\/series\/households\/household-inflation-expectations\">\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f<\/a><\/strong>\uff08\u4e4b\u524d\u70ba 2.12%\uff09\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u7126\u9ede\uff0c\u540c\u6642<strong>\u82f1\u570b\u7684 GDP \u6578\u64da<\/strong>\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301<strong>\u74b0\u6bd4\u589e\u9577 0.10%<\/strong> \u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c<strong>\u745e\u58ebCPI\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5728-0.10%<\/strong> \uff0c<strong>\u7f8e\u570bPPI\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u57280.20%<\/strong> 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