{"id":52755,"date":"2026-07-28T18:51:52","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T18:51:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/uncategorized\/52755\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T18:51:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T18:51:52","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e5%93%a5%e5%80%ab%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9e%e6%8a%ab%e7%b4%a2%ef%bc%88usd-cop%ef%bc%89%e4%bc%81%e7%a9%a9%e6%96%bc%e6%8e%a5%e8%bf%912019%e5%b9%b4%e4%bd%8e%e4%bd%8d%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/52755\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\uff08USD\/COP\uff09\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc\u63a5\u8fd12019\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u53ca\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u8b70\u606f\u5728\u5373\uff0c\u54e5\u570b\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u6301\u7e8c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/COP \u73fe\u5831 3,204.9\uff0c\u8655\u65bc\u63a5\u8fd1 2019 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u672a\u898b\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u5468\u4e00\u6536\u5e02\u5831 3,191.5\uff0c\u4ee4\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u5728\u7d04 10 \u5468\u5167\u7d2f\u8dcc 16%\u30027 \u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\u70ba 3,186.3\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\u8d70\u52e2\u53cd\u5f48 0.42%\uff1b13 \u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff09\u4f4d\u65bc 3,237\uff0c\u81ea 5 \u6708\u4e2d\u4ee5\u4f86\u4e00\u76f4\u9650\u5236\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u7dda\u96a8\u6a5f RSI\uff08Stoch RSI\uff09\u5831 86.51\u30022026 \u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u70ba 5 \u6708 19 \u65e5\u7684 3,800.73\u3002\u5c55\u671b\u5f8c\u5e02\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\u5c07\u65bc\u660e\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u5247\u65bc\u5468\u4e94\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u70ba 3.50\u20133.75%\uff1bCME FedWatch \u986f\u793a\u7d04\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u6a5f\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u7d04\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 3.75\u20134.00%\u3002\u6574\u9ad4 CPI \u70ba 3.5%\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3 CPI \u70ba 2.6%\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u65bc 5 \u6708\u5831 3.4%\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff09\u73fe\u5831 101.511\uff0c\u524d\u503c 101.640\uff0cStoch RSI \u5831 99.89\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\uff08DANE\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u7684 6 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6309\u5e74 IPC \u70ba 6.14%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u9910\u98f2\u53ca\u9152\u5e97\uff089.59%\uff09\u53ca\u91ab\u7642\uff088.39%\uff09\u5e36\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u300c\u4f4f\u5bbf\u3001\u6c34\u3001\u96fb\u529b\u53ca\u71c3\u6c23\u300d\uff08alojamiento, agua, electricidad y gas\uff09\u70ba 5.02%\u3002\u6700\u5927\u8ca2\u737b\u9805\u76ee\u70ba\u6709\u670d\u52d9\u53ca\u81ea\u52a9\u9910\u98f2\u5834\u6240\u7528\u9910\uff080.74 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u3001\u63a8\u7b97\u79df\u91d1\uff08imputed rent\uff0c0.62 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u53ca\u57ce\u5e02\u4ea4\u901a\uff080.51 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u3002\u670d\u52d9\u985e\u4f54\u7c43\u5b50\u6bd4\u91cd 57.46%\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u5347 0.29%\uff1b\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u6bd4\u91cd 4.92%\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u8dcc 0.12%\u3002\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u901a\u8139\u70ba 4.77%\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 2025 \u5e74\u540c\u671f\u70ba 3.74%\u3002BanRep \u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u70ba 12.00%\uff0c\u81ea 2 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u7d2f\u8a08\u52a0\u606f 275 \u57fa\u9ede\uff1b\u6309 6.14% \u901a\u8139\u8a08\uff0c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\uff08ex-post real rate\uff09\u70ba 5.86%\u3002\u95dc\u9375\u6280\u8853\u6c34\u5e73\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728 3,237.1 \u53ca 3,400\u20133,455\uff1b\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u65bc 3,186.3\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u70ba 2,992.7 \u53ca 2,689.4\u3002WTI \u73fe\u5831 81.28\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 13 \u65e5 EMA \u70ba 82.43\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Technical Overview And Near-Term Trading View<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u95dc\u6ce8 USD\/COP \u65bc 3,204.9 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6295\uff0c\u70ba 2019 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u672a\u898b\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6b64\u524d 10 \u5468\u6025\u632b\u7d04 16%\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5468\u7dda\u52d5\u80fd\u6975\u5ea6\u8d85\u8ce3\uff0c\u96a8\u6a5f RSI \u4f4e\u898b 1.14\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u77ed\u7dda\u6216\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u6307\u5411 3,237 \u6216 3,400 \u7684\u963b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5b9c\u5229\u7528\u8a72\u77ed\u66ab\u53cd\u5f48\u90e8\u7f72\u65b0\u7684\u6cbd\u7a7a\u5009\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u9006\u52e2\u5c0d\u6297\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0b\u884c\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u95dc\u9375\u50ac\u5316\u5291\u5305\u62ec\u660e\u65e5\u7684\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6703\u8b70\u53ca\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e BanRep \u8b70\u606f\u3002\u73fe\u6642 CME FedWatch \u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u7dad\u6301 3.50\u20133.75% \u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u70ba 66%\uff0c\u60df\u4e00\u65e6\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u9df9\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u6216\u8fc5\u901f\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f BanRep \u6216\u5c07\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 12.50%\uff0c\u4ee5\u61c9\u5c0d\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u97cc\u7684\u5167\u9700\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Inflation Drivers And Options Strategy<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u90e8\u5206\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u901a\u8139\u50c5\u70ba\u77ed\u66ab\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u4f46 DANE \u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u570b\u5167\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u624d\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u58d3\u529b\u4f86\u6e90\u3002\u9910\u98f2\u901a\u8139\u9054 9.59%\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u9805\u76ee\u4ea6\u5c0d\u6307\u6578\u8ca2\u737b 0.62 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u901a\u8139\u5177\u8f03\u5f37\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u9054\u5230\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684 5.86%\uff0c\u6599\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u70ba\u62ab\u7d22\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u671f\u6b0a\u4ea4\u6613\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5efa\u8b70\u4ee5\u77ed\u671f\u9650\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call\uff09\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u6355\u6349\u77ed\u7dda\u6025\u5347\uff08short squeeze\uff09\u4e0a\u8a66 3,237 \u963b\u529b\u7dda\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u7576\u53cd\u5f48\u52d5\u529b\u6e1b\u5f31\u5f8c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8f03\u504f\u597d\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9577\u5e74\u671f\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5 2,800\u20133,000 \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u652f\u6301\u5340\u4f5c\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u6975\u7aef\u7684\u5957\u606f\uff08carry\uff09\u74b0\u5883\u5f80\u5f80\u4ee4\u62ab\u7d22\u65bc\u4e2d\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u901a\u5e38\u5c6c\u53ef\u4f9b\u6cbd\u51fa\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/trade-now\/\">\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\u6025\u5347\uff0cUSD\/COP \u903c\u8fd12019\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c10\u5468\u7d2f\u8dcc16%\u5f8c\u6216\u6280\u8853\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u805a\u7126\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u53caBanRep\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u670d\u52d9\u901a\u8139\u504f\u97cc\u652f\u6490\u9ad8\u606f\u5957\u606f\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u5b9c\u6cbd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50727,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52755","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\u6025\u5347\uff0cUSD\/COP 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content=\"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\uff08USD\/COP\uff09\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc\u63a5\u8fd12019\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u53ca\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u8b70\u606f\u5728\u5373\uff0c\u54e5\u570b\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u6301\u7e8c - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\u6025\u5347\uff0cUSD\/COP \u903c\u8fd12019\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c10\u5468\u7d2f\u8dcc16%\u5f8c\u6216\u6280\u8853\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u805a\u7126\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u53caBanRep\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u670d\u52d9\u901a\u8139\u504f\u97cc\u652f\u6490\u9ad8\u606f\u5957\u606f\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u5b9c\u6cbd\u3002\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/52755\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T18:51:52+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T18:51:52+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta 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