{"id":52642,"date":"2026-07-27T18:22:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T18:22:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/uncategorized\/52642\/"},"modified":"2026-07-27T18:22:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T18:22:37","slug":"%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%82%b5%e6%81%af%e6%96%bc7%e6%9c%88%e6%8b%8b%e5%94%ae%e5%be%8c%e6%80%a5%e5%8d%87%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e9%80%b2%e4%b8%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/52642\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u6d32\u50b5\u606f\u65bc7\u6708\u62cb\u552e\u5f8c\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u53cd\u5411\u4ea4\u6613"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>7\u6708\u5168\u7403\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u62cb\u552e\u6f6e\u63a8\u9ad8\u897f\u6b50\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u53ca\u534a\u6838\u5fc3\u5e02\u5834\u76842\u5e74\u671f\u53ca10\u5e74\u671f\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u56db\u5468\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u5347\u7d0430\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u6216\u65bc9\u6708\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620\u6700\u9072\u65bc\u660e\u5e742\u6708\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u8abf\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u81f32.75%\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002\u60df\u8fd1\u671f\u6280\u8853\u8d70\u52e2\u5931\u5b88\uff0c\u4ee4\u5df2\u767c\u5c55\u5e02\u5834\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u80cc\u666f\u504f\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u660e\u5e742\u6708\u5347\u81f32.75%\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u5c07\u7d04\u670950\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u843d\u5165\u9650\u5236\u6027\u5340\u57df\u3002\u6b64\u89c0\u9ede\u5efa\u57fa\u65bc\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u589e\u9577\u8f49\u5f37\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u901a\u8139\u6548\u61c9\uff1b\u82e5\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u4eca\u6b21\u6025\u5347\u5df2\u4ee42\u5e74\u671f\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u5347\u81f32.83%\uff0c\u800c\u50b5\u5238\u53ca\u6389\u671f\u7b49\u5229\u7387\u7522\u54c1\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u6025\u5347\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5009\u4f4d\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u62bc\u6ce8\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5206\u6790\u4ea6\u5f9e\u5916\u570d\u56e0\u7d20\u9023\u7d50\u532f\u50f9\u89d2\u5ea6\uff1a\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u518d\u5ef6\u4f38\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u843d\uff0cEUR\/USD 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squeeze\uff09\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8ca8\u5e63\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u504f\u9032\u53d6\u7684\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u628a\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u63a8\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c6c\u727d\u5f37\u3002\u5fb7\u570b10\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\uff08Bund\uff09\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u8fd1\u65e5\u4e00\u5ea6\u89f8\u53ca2.55%\uff0c2\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\uff08Schatz\uff09\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u4ea6\u903c\u8fd12.85%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u616e\u901a\u8139\u5177\u9ecf\u6027\u3002\u9664\u975e\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7a81\u7136\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u5728\u5982\u6b64\u5177\u9650\u5236\u6027\u7684\u5b73\u606f\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u5229\u7387\u672a\u5fc5\u5bb9\u6613\u4f01\u7a69\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Recommendations and Precedent for Mean Reversion<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u5efa\u8b70\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u90e8\u7f72\u5b73\u606f\u56de\u843d\uff1a\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u6b50\u5143\u5229\u7387\u6389\u671f\uff08EUR IRS\uff09\u505a\u300c\u6536\u56fa\u5b9a\u300d\uff08receive fixed\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8cb7\u5165Bund\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u914d\u7f6e\u4e0b\uff0cEUR\/USD 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