{"id":52380,"date":"2026-07-23T11:52:44","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T11:52:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/uncategorized\/52380\/"},"modified":"2026-07-23T11:52:44","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T11:52:44","slug":"ing%ef%bc%9a%e9%a0%90%e8%a8%88%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%b0%87%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%96%bc2-25%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e9%80%9a%e8%84%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/52380\/","title":{"rendered":"ING\uff1a\u9810\u8a08\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u65bc2.25%\uff0c\u53d7\u6cb9\u50f9\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u66209\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u9810\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ING \u7684 Michiel Tukker \u9810\u671f\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u5373\u5c07\u8209\u884c\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u7dad\u6301\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u65bc 2.25% \u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u8996 9 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u73fe\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u7d04 23 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08bp\uff09\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\uff1b\u5118\u7ba1 ECB \u904e\u5f80\u6163\u4f8b\u662f\u63d0\u524d\u91cb\u653e\u653f\u7b56\u8a0a\u865f\uff08telegraph\uff09\u4ee5\u5f15\u5c0e\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u672c\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u672a\u6709\u53cd\u6620\u52a0\u606f\u5b9a\u50f9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5373\u6642\u8abf\u6574\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0d\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8f03\u9577\u671f\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u70ba\u5728\u76ee\u6a19\u9644\u8fd1\u4fdd\u6301\u7a69\u56fa\uff0c10 \u5e74\u671f\u901a\u8139\u6389\u671f\uff08inflation swap\uff09\u5728\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u5f8c\u56de\u5347\u81f3 2.2%\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u7f3a\u4e4f\u652f\u6301\u77ed\u671f\u6536\u7dca\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u5009\u4f4d\u5df2\u6697\u793a\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e09\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4e0b\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u52a0\u606f 25bp \u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5c3e\u90e8\u98a8\u96aa\uff08tail risk\uff09\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u89e3\u8b80\u70ba\u628a 9 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u63d0\u524d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u51fa\u73fe\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u8f49\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>ECB Rate Path and Inflation Drivers<\/h3>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u61c9\u9810\u671f\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u7dad\u6301\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u65bc 2.25% \u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4f46\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u9700\u70ba 9 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u4f5c\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u5f98\u5f8a\u65bc\u6bcf\u6876\u7d04 83 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u80fd\u6e90\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u4ecd\u9ad8\uff0c\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u70ba 9 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u5b9a\u50f9\u7d04 23bp\uff0c\u4ee4\u4efb\u4f55\u5373\u6642\u62bc\u6ce8\u504f\u9d3f\uff08dovish\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u98a8\u96aa\u6975\u9ad8\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u5efa\u8b70\u8207\u76ee\u524d\u504f\u9df9\uff08hawkish\uff09\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\u5c0d\u7740\u5e79\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e09\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340 10 \u5e74\u671f\u901a\u8139\u6389\u671f\u5229\u7387\u7d04\u70ba 2.2%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u9577\u671f\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u66ab\u4ecd\u76f8\u5c0d\u7a69\u56fa\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5009\u4f4d\u4ea6\u610f\u5473\u4e00\u65e6\u6cb9\u50f9\u7a81\u7136\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f01\u5716\u6436\u5148\u62bc\u6ce8\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u300c\u6253\u5169\u908a\u300d\uff08whipsaw\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n<h3>Risk Management and Tactical Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\u4e0b\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u610f\u5916\u52a0\u606f 25bp \u7684\u5c3e\u90e8\u98a8\u96aa\u96d6\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f46\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u82e5\u771f\u7684\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u8996\u4e4b\u70ba\u628a 9 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\u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6cb9\u50f9\u5347\u6eab\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8ECB\u4e0b\u6b21\u7dad\u6301\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u73872.25%\uff0c\u4f46\u5df2\u70ba9\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u5b9a\u50f9\u7d0423bp\uff1b\u77ed\u671f\u7a81\u8972\u52a025bp\u5c6c\u5c3e\u90e8\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u96e3\u6539\u8def\u5f91\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50790,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" 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