{"id":47586,"date":"2026-03-04T06:58:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T06:58:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39103\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T06:58:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T06:58:27","slug":"%e6%a0%b9%e6%93%9a%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e6%95%b8%e6%93%9a%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b-redbook-%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8%e5%b9%b4%e5%a2%9e%e7%8e%87%e7%94%b1-6-7-%e5%8a%a0%e9%80%9f%e8%87%b3-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/47586\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b Redbook \u6307\u6578\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u7531 6.7% \u52a0\u901f\u81f3 7%"},"content":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b Redbook \u6307\u6578\u5728 2 \u6708 27 \u65e5\u5e74\u589e\u81f3 7%\u3002\u524d\u4e00\u6b21\u8b80\u6578\u70ba 6.7%\u3002\n\nRedbook 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7%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u6c11\u773e\u8cfc\u8cb7\u5546\u54c1\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u7e3d\u984d\uff09\u964d\u6eab\u5e45\u5ea6\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5927\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5f37\u5ea6\u6703\u524a\u5f31\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6b63\u5728\u660e\u986f\u964d\u6eab\u3001\u56e0\u6b64\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u8a2d\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u6703\u964d\u606f\u300d\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u3002\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\n\n<h3>\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6642\u9ede\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/h3>\n\u9019\u500b\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u80fd\u55ae\u7368\u770b\uff1b\u9084\u8981\u642d\u914d 2026 \u5e74 2 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SOFR\uff1a\u6709\u64d4\u4fdd\u9694\u591c\u878d\u8cc7\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u5229\u7387\u57fa\u6e96\u7684\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\uff09\uff0c\u7b49\u65bc\u76f4\u63a5\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u5c0d\u5bec\u9b06\uff08\u964d\u606f\uff09\u7684\u9810\u671f\u904e\u65bc\u6fc0\u9032\u3002\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u9060\u671f\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\uff08forward curve\uff1a\u986f\u793a\u672a\u4f86\u4e0d\u540c\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u6e96\u7684\u66f2\u7dda\uff09\u4e0a\u79fb\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5229\u7387\u5728\u8f03\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\n\n\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8def\u5f91\uff08\u672a\u4f86\u5347\u964d\u606f\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u5347\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c 2025 \u5e74\u5e95\u592e\u884c\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u660e\u6642\u7684\u9707\u76ea\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u8cb7\u5165 VIX \u6307\u6578\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08VIX call\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff1bVIX \u662f\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\/\u6ce2\u52d5\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u662f\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u616e\u5347\u9ad8\u6642\u53d7\u76ca\uff1b\u9019\u7b49\u65bc\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u6d88\u5316\u5f37\u52c1\u6578\u64da\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9707\u76ea\u52a0\u5287\u3002\n\n\u8f03\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u7684\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c55\u671b\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u66f4\u91cd\u8996\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u50be\u5411\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6216\u5347\u606f\uff09\u901a\u5e38\u4e5f\u5229\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5c0d\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u505a\u591a\uff08long\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u90e8\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8cb7\u5165\u8ffd\u8e64\u7f8e\u5143\u7684 ETF 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\u53ef\u80fd Q2 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