{"id":46725,"date":"2026-05-05T14:20:45","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:20:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46725\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T14:20:45","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:20:45","slug":"%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%ad%89%e5%88%b8%ef%bc%9a%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8d%87%e5%8b%a2%e6%bc%b8%e5%a4%b1%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af25%e5%80%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/46725\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9053\u660e\u8b49\u5238\uff1a\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u52e2\u6f38\u5931\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u81f34.35%\uff0cBullock\u6697\u793a\u6216\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6fb3\u6d32\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u628a\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08\u53730.25\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u81f34.35%\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u5927\u81f4\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u3002\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4ee58\u7968\u8d0a\u6210\u30011\u7968\u53cd\u5c0d\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5f62\u5bb9\u884c\u9577\u8a00\u8ad6\u504f\u5411\u300c\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u8981\u5347\u7a7f0.72\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u9700\u8981\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73fe\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u4ea6\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u516c\u958b\u5e02\u5834\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08FOMC\uff0c\u5373\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8ca0\u8cac\u5236\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff09\u5167\u90e8\u504f\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53cd\u5c0d\u610f\u898b\uff08hawkish dissents\uff0c\u5373\u4e3b\u5f35\u66f4\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8072\u97f3\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u4ecd\u5177\u97cc\u6027\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u52e2\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u628a\u6fb3\u5143\u524d\u666f\u5b9a\u8abf\u70ba\u504f\u6b63\u9762\uff0c\u6307\u5728\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\u4e0b\uff0cRBA\u6216\u65bc8\u6708\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8868\u9054\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u504f\u597d\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7d10\u5143\uff08AUD\/NZD\uff09\u4e0a\u8a661.24\uff0c\u4e26\u6709\u610f\u5728\u56de\u8abf\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\uff08buying dips\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u5206\u6bb5\u5438\u7d0d\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

RBA\u767c\u51fa\u6df7\u5408\u8a0a\u865f\uff1a\u52a0\u606f\u5f8c\u537b\u914d\u5408\u504f\u9d3f\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\uff08dovish commentary\uff0c\u5373\u50be\u5411\u653e\u6162\u6216\u505c\u6b62\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u8f03\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u8868\u8ff0\uff09\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u6fb3\u5143\u6216\u9032\u5165\u6574\u56fa\u671f\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u8f03\u9069\u5408\u300c\u6cbd\u6ce2\u5e45\u300d\uff08selling volatility\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u77ed\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u3001\u6ce2\u52d5\u56de\u843d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728AUD\/USD\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u77ed\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u300d\uff08short strangles\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u6cbd\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u8207\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u8cfa\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u627f\u53d7\u532f\u50f9\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u532f\u50f9\u77ed\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u6a6b\u884c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u4ecd\u9700\u7559\u610f\u901a\u8139\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c31AUD\/USD\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u6216\u53d7\u9650\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u65bc2026\u5e745\u67081\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d24\u842c\u500b\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6709\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u9650\u5236AUD\/USD\u5347\u5e45\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u5c55\u671b\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u6cbd\u51fa\u300c\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u300d\uff08out-of-the-money call options\uff0c\u5373\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u9ad8\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u5165\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u718a\u5e02\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08bear call spreads\uff0c\u5373\u6cbd\u51fa\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u4e26\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u4e26\u628a\u6700\u5927\u8667\u640d\u5c01\u9802\uff09\uff0c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u53ef\u653e\u57280.7000\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u4e0a\u65b9\u53d7\u9650\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u805a\u7126AUD\/NZD<\/h3>\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u8a8d\u70ba\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u662f\u805a\u7126\u6fb3\u5143\u5c0d\u7d10\u5143\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u52e2\u3002\u6fb3\u6d322026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u901a\u8139\u58313.9%\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee4RBA\u627f\u53d7\u58d3\u529b\uff1b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff09\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u8f49\u5f31\u4e0b\uff0c\u5df2\u6697\u793a\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\u7d50\u675f\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08policy divergence\uff0c\u5373\u5169\u5730\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff09\u652f\u6301\u90e8\u7f72AUD\/NZD\u7684\u9577\u5009\uff08long positions\uff0c\u5373\u770b\u597d\u4e26\u6301\u6709\u8cb7\u5165\u5009\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u4ea6\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u8cb7\u5165\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u63a5\u8fd11.24\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u8139\u9577\u671f\u9ad8\u65bcRBA\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ecd\u5728\uff0c\u4f8b\u59828\u6708\u3002\u9019\u6703\u70ba\u6fb3\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ee4\u76f4\u63a5\u505a\u7a7a\u98a8\u96aa\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u63a1\u53d6\u504f\u6de1\u7684AUD\/USD\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u61c9\u8a2d\u5b9a\u6e05\u6670\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0a\u9650\uff08defined risk profiles\uff0c\u5373\u628a\u6700\u5927\u8667\u640d\u9810\u5148\u9396\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7528\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\u6216\u6b62\u8755\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56de\u9867\u4ee5\u5f80\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08\u59822024\u81f32025\u5e74\u9010\u6b65\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff09\u5f80\u5f80\u6703\u4ee4\u4ea4\u53c9\u76e4\uff08cross-currency pairs\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u70ba\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982AUD\/NZD\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u8f03\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u9810\u671f\u9019\u7a2e\u8d70\u52e2\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u4ee4\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u6708\u6301\u6709AUD\/NZD\u7684\u9060\u671f\u5408\u7d04\uff08forward contracts\uff0c\u5373\u7d04\u5b9a\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u532f\u7387\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u4ea4\u6613\u53ef\u66f4\u96c6\u4e2d\u53cd\u6620\u6fb3\u6d32\u76f8\u5c0d\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u7570\uff0c\u4e26\u964d\u4f4e\u7f8e\u5143\u6574\u9ad4\u8d70\u52e2\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u9053\u660e\u8b49\u5238\u6307\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u52e2\u8f49\u5f31\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f25\u9ede\u81f34.35%\uff0c\u884c\u9577Bullock\u653e\u98a8\u6216\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u5f8c\u7e8c\u52d5\u529b\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u6216\u8f49\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46725"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46725\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}