{"id":46713,"date":"2026-05-05T11:45:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T11:45:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46713\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T11:45:27","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T11:45:27","slug":"ing-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%ab-warren-patterson-%e5%92%8c-ewa-manthey-%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e6%b3%a2%e6%96%af%e7%81%a3%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e5%b1%80%e5%8b%a2%e5%9b%a0%e4%be%9b%e6%87%89%e6%86%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/46713\/","title":{"rendered":"ING \u5206\u6790\u5e2b Warren Patterson \u548c Ewa Manthey \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u56e0\u4f9b\u61c9\u6182\u616e\u63a8\u9ad8 ICE \u5e03\u862d\u7279\u6cb9\u50f9"},"content":{"rendered":"

ICE \u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u5728\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u885d\u7a81\u518d\u8d77\u5f8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u616e\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u61c9\u53ef\u80fd\u4e2d\u65b7\u3002ING \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u6025\u5347 5.8%\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u6bcf\u6876 114 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5831\u9053\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u505c\u706b\u5354\u8b70\u51fa\u73fe\u52d5\u6416\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u7f8e\u65b9\u6253\u64ca\u591a\u8258\u4f0a\u6717\u8239\u96bb\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u64da\u5831\u6062\u5fa9\u653b\u64ca\u9130\u570b\u57fa\u5efa\u8a2d\u65bd\uff08\u5373\u96fb\u529b\u3001\u6cb9\u6c23\u3001\u6e2f\u53e3\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u8a2d\u65bd\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

Supply Risks Push Brent Higher<\/h3>\n

\u963f\u806f\u914b\u6514\u622a\u591a\u679a\u4f0a\u6717\u5c0e\u5f48\uff0c\u5bcc\u67e5\u4f0a\u62c9\u6e2f\uff08Fujairah\uff09\u4ea6\u906d\u7121\u4eba\u6a5f\uff08\u5373\u7121\u4eba\u99d5\u99db\u98db\u884c\u5668\uff09\u8972\u64ca\u3002\u5bcc\u67e5\u4f0a\u62c9\u6e2f\u4f4d\u65bc\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u5c0d\u5916\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u822a\u9053\uff09\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5373\u4f7f\u6d77\u5cfd\u53d7\u6230\u4e8b\u53ca\u5c01\u9396\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u963f\u806f\u914b\u4ecd\u53ef\u7dad\u6301\u4e26\u589e\u52a0\u539f\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u5728\u300c\u81ea\u7531\u8a08\u5283\u300d\uff08Project Freedom\uff09\u4e0b\u5f15\u5c0e\u5546\u8239\u7a7f\u8d8a\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff1b\u6309\u7f8e\u65b9\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u5df2\u6709\u5169\u8258\u61f8\u639b\u7f8e\u570b\u65d7\u7684\u5546\u8239\u5728\u8a72\u5b89\u6392\u4e0b\u901a\u904e\u6d77\u5cfd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5831\u9053\u4ea6\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7e3d\u7d71\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\u6697\u793a\u885d\u7a81\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6301\u7e8c\u5169\u81f3\u4e09\u5468\uff1b\u4e26\u6307\u6587\u7ae0\u7531 AI \u5de5\u5177\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u518d\u7531\u7de8\u8f2f\u8986\u6838\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u4f9b\u61c9\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\u63a8\u9ad8\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff08\u5373\u56e0\u64d4\u5fc3\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u88ab\u984d\u5916\u63a8\u9ad8\uff09\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5347\u6eab\u4ee4\u300c\u8fd1\u6708\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u671f\u8ca8\u300d\uff08front-month\uff0c\u5373\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u5230\u671f\u7684\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5347\u7a7f\u6bcf\u6876 95 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u4efb\u4f55\u4e2d\u65b7\u98a8\u96aa\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u654f\u611f\u3002\u60c5\u6cc1\u4ea6\u4ee4\u4eba\u806f\u60f3\u5230\u6b64\u524d\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6d77\u4e0a\u885d\u7a81\u6642\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u66fe\u885d\u4e0a\u6bcf\u6876 114 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

Trading Approaches For Higher Volatility<\/h3>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u672c\u5df2\u504f\u7dca\uff08\u5373\u4f9b\u61c9\u8207\u9700\u6c42\u5dee\u8ddd\u5c0f\u3001\u7de9\u885d\u4e0d\u8db3\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u65b0\u805e\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u80fd\u6e90\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7f72\uff08EIA\uff09\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58\u300c\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u8dcc\u300d310 \u842c\u6876\uff08drawdown\uff0c\u5373\u5eab\u5b58\u6e1b\u5c11\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u7f3a\u4e4f\u61c9\u5c0d\u4f9b\u61c9\u885d\u64ca\u7684\u7de9\u885d\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4ea6\u8a18\u5f97 2025 \u5e74\u963f\u806f\u914b\u57fa\u5efa\u9047\u8972\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5bcc\u67e5\u4f0a\u62c9\u6e2f\uff09\u7a81\u986f\u51fa\u53e3\u8def\u7dda\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u5728\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5167\uff0c\u4ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5a01\u8105\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\u610f\u5473\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u300c\u4e0a\u5347\u98a8\u96aa\u4fdd\u8b77\u300d\uff08\u5373\u7528\u671f\u6b0a\u5c0d\u6c96\u6cb9\u50f9\u518d\u6025\u5347\uff09\u3002CBOE \u539f\u6cb9\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578 OVX\uff08\u4ee5\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u5df2\u5347\u81f3\u534a\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d 42\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u300c\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u300d\u6216\u300c\u671f\u6b0a\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\uff08options premiums\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u6b63\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u8cb7\u5165\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u300c\u8fd1\u671f\u671f\u6b0a\u8a8d\u8cfc\u300d\uff08call options\uff0c\u5373\u770b\u5347\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u6709\u52a9\u6355\u6349\u4e0a\u884c\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8f03\u6613\u63a7\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u725b\u5e02\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08bull call spread\uff1a\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u5347\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u5347\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u9650\u5236\u6700\u9ad8\u76c8\u5229\uff09\u3002\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u8868\u614b\u53ef\u8fc5\u901f\u626d\u8f49\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b64\u505a\u6cd5\u8f03\u5be9\u614e\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u4ea6\u898b\u904e\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff1a\u5b98\u65b9\u6307\u885d\u7a81\u6642\u9593\u8868\u6216\u5f88\u77ed\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u4fe1\uff0c\u4ee4\u50f9\u683c\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u6025\u5347\u6025\u8dcc\u300d\uff08whipsaw\uff0c\u5373\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u5167\u5927\u5e45\u4f86\u56de\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c55\u671b\u5f8c\u5e02\uff0c\u9700\u95dc\u6ce8\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u7684\u822a\u904b\u6d41\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u822a\u904b\u4fdd\u96aa\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u64da\u5831\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u8a72\u5340\u6cb9\u8f2a\u7684\u300c\u6230\u722d\u98a8\u96aa\u4fdd\u8cbb\u300d\uff08war risk premium\uff1a\u56e0\u6230\u4e8b\u98a8\u96aa\u800c\u984d\u5916\u6536\u53d6\u7684\u4fdd\u8cbb\uff09\u5df2\u500d\u589e\uff1b\u9019\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u98a8\u96aa\u89c0\u611f\u7684\u5373\u6642\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u63a8\u52d5\u6cb9\u50f9\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u5c40\u52e2\u4e00\u89f8\u5373\u767c\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u6182\u616e\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad8ICE\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u6cb9\u50f9\u3002ING\u5206\u6790\u5e2bWarren Patterson\u53caEwa Manthey\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u6ce2\u52d5\u6216\u52a0\u5287\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46713\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}