{"id":46567,"date":"2026-05-04T13:06:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T13:06:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46567\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T13:06:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T13:06:18","slug":"%e9%9c%8d%e7%88%be%e6%9c%a8%e8%8c%b2%e6%b5%b7%e5%b3%bd%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e5%b1%80%e5%8b%a2%e5%8d%87%e6%ba%ab%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e8%bf%bd%e6%8d%a7%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/46567\/","title":{"rendered":"\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u5347\u6eab\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8ffd\u6367\u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u6599\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u63a8\u52d5\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u903c\u8fd10.7215"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5468\u4e00\u4e9e\u6d32\u65e9\u6bb5\u5347\u81f3\u7d040.7215\u3002\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u6fb3\u6d32\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff09\u5468\u4e8c\u52a0\u606f\uff08\u5373\u4e0a\u8abf\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4ee4\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8def\u900f\u6307\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4f30\u8a08RBA\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u63a5\u8fd180%\u3002\u6fb3\u6d323\u6708\u6574\u9ad4\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u91cf\u5ea6\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u53474.6%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6e2c\u76844.7%\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc\u592e\u884c\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n

Rba Expectations Lift The Aussie<\/h3>\n

\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u5e36\u52d5\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0a\u5347\u6642\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u504f\u597d\u8f03\u7a69\u5b9a\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u6216\u9650\u5236AUD\/USD\u5347\u5e45\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u5831\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e00\u8d77\u5728\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u5f15\u5c0e\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\u7acb\u8239\u96bb\u7d93\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5916\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f0a\u6717\u5b98\u54e1\u7a31\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u7f8e\u65b9\u4ecb\u5165\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u65b0\u6d77\u4e8b\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u5c07\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u9055\u53cd\u505c\u706b\u5354\u8b70\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6d88\u606f\u589e\u52a0\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u5011\u8a18\u5f97\u57282025\u5e745\u6708\u521d\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u76f8\u540c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8RBA\u6703\u66f4\u9032\u53d6\uff08\u5373\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u5730\u52a0\u606f\uff09\u3002\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u525b\u5347\u81f34.6%\uff0c\u5728\u9810\u671f\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e0b\uff0cAUD\/USD\u4e0a\u8a660.7215\u3002\u7576\u6642\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u601d\u8def\u662f\u505a\u591a\u6fb3\u5143\uff08\u5373\u9810\u671f\u6fb3\u5143\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u8cb7\u5165\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u4ee4\u90e8\u7f72\u66f4\u8907\u96dc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73fe\u6642\u60c5\u6cc1\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u5df2\u4ee4\u7d93\u6fdf\u964d\u6eab\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u5b63\u5ea6CPI\u986f\u793a\u901a\u8139\u56de\u843d\u81f32.8%\uff0c\u5df2\u5728RBA\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\u4e4b\u5167\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\uff08\u6263\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u7b49\u6ce2\u52d5\u9805\u76ee\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u901a\u8139\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u7dad\u6301\u57283.7%\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u91cb\u653e\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u624d\u8003\u616e\u6e1b\u606f\uff08\u5373\u4e0b\u8abf\u5229\u7387\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

Policy Divergence And Downside Risks<\/h3>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u64f4\u5927\uff1aRBA\u504f\u300c\u9d3f\u6d3e\u300d\uff08\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u5bec\u9b06\u3001\u6e1b\u6162\u6216\u505c\u6b62\u52a0\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u6536\u7dca\u3001\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u5c0dAUD\/USD\u69cb\u6210\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u6211\u5011\u898b\u5230\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u671f\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u8fd1\u5468\u75319%\u5347\u81f312.5%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u70ba\u8f03\u5927\u6ce2\u52d5\u4f5c\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u90e8\u7f72\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u6fb3\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\u7684\u5009\u4f4d\uff08\u5373\u505a\u6de1\u6fb3\u5143\u6216\u505a\u7a7aAUD\/USD\uff09\u8f03\u70ba\u5408\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

\u985e\u4f3c2025\u5e74\u7684\u4e2d\u6771\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u4f86\u81ea\u5357\u6d77\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u722d\u7aef\u3002\u82e5\u5c40\u52e2\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u6216\u8f49\u5411\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901fAUD\/USD\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57fa\u65bc\u4e0a\u8ff0\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u6b63\u8003\u616e\u63a1\u7528\u5982\u300c\u770b\u6de1\u8a8d\u6cbd\u50f9\u5dee\u300d\uff08bear put spread\uff1a\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u6cbd\u51fa\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u5229\u6f64\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6db5\u84cb6\u6708\u53ca7\u6708\u5230\u671f\uff08expiry\uff1a\u671f\u6b0a\u5408\u7d04\u5230\u671f\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u628a\u63e1\u56e0\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u7570\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4AUD\/USD\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4e26\u9810\u5148\u9650\u5b9a\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u5373\u6700\u58de\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8667\u640d\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u8cbf\u6613\u7dca\u5f35\u7a81\u7136\u7de9\u548c\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u532f\u50f9\u6025\u901f\u53cd\u5f48\uff08snap-back rally\uff1a\u5feb\u901f\u56de\u5347\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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