{"id":46141,"date":"2026-04-28T16:01:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T16:01:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46141\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T16:01:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T16:01:08","slug":"%e6%b8%a3%e6%89%93%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%b8%ab%e6%96%99%e8%8b%b1%e5%80%ab%e9%8a%80%e8%a1%8c%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e6%81%af%e7%8e%873-75%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%a6%e5%9c%a82026%e5%b9%b4%e5%85%a8%e7%a8%8b%e7%b6%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/46141\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6e23\u6253\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u6599\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u606f\u73873.75%\uff0c\u4e26\u57282026\u5e74\u5168\u7a0b\u7dad\u6301\u7dca\u7e2e\u6027\u66ab\u505c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6e23\u6253\u9280\u884c\uff08Standard Chartered\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u5e2bChristopher Graham\u53caJohn Davies\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\uff08Bank of England\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u65bc4\u670830\u65e5\u6703\u8b70\u628a\u5b98\u65b9\u5229\u7387\uff08base rate\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u57283.75%\uff0c\u4e26\u4f30\u8a08\u4eca\u5e74\u5167\u6703\u66ab\u505c\u8abf\u6574\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5011\u5f62\u5bb9\u73fe\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5c6c\u300c\u504f\u7dca\u300d\uff08restrictive\uff0c\u5373\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u964d\u6eab\u4f5c\u7528\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u6307\u51fa\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff08macroeconomic\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\uff09\u8f49\u5f31\u3001\u52de\u5de5\u5e02\u5834\uff08labour market\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u53ca\u85aa\u916c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff09\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ca1\u653f\u652f\u6301\uff08fiscal support\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u900f\u904e\u958b\u652f\u6216\u6e1b\u7a05\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5169\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u689d\u4ef6\u82072022\u5e74\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5148\u89c0\u671b\u518d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

Policy Signals And Near Term Risks<\/h3>\n

\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u671f\u5927\u591a\u6578\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08Monetary Policy Committee\uff0c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u8ca0\u8cac\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u5c0f\u7d44\uff09\u6210\u54e1\u6703\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u89c0\u5bdf\u4e2d\u6771\u5c40\u52e2\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u6216\u6709\u4e00\u81f3\u5169\u540d\u6210\u54e1\u53ef\u80fd\u50be\u5411\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u671f\u884c\u9577\u8c9d\u5229\uff08Governor Bailey\uff09\u5c07\u5f37\u8abf\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8139\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82e5\u885d\u7a81\u6301\u7e8c\u66f4\u4e45\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\uff08tightening\uff0c\u5373\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5011\u628a\u524d\u666f\u82072011\u5e74\u6bd4\u8f03\uff1a\u7576\u5e74\u6cb9\u50f9\u5347\u7a7f\u6bcf\u6876120\u7f8e\u5143\uff08USD 120\/bbl\uff1bbbl\u6307\u300c\u6876\u300d\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u5e38\u7528\u55ae\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u901a\u8139\uff08consumer price inflation\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u822c\u7269\u50f9\u5347\u5e45\uff09\u9ad8\u65bc5%\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u7a31\u5167\u5bb9\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u4e26\u7d93\u7de8\u8f2f\u5be9\u95b1\u3002<\/p>\n

Trading Implications For The Current Cycle<\/h3>\n

\u56de\u9867\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u652f\u6301\u9019\u4e00\u53d6\u5411\uff1a\u82f1\u570b\u901a\u8139\u5176\u5f8c\u57282025\u5e74\u5e95\u964d\u81f32.4%\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff08unemployment\uff09\u5247\u5347\u81f34.5%\u3002\u628a\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c0d\u71672011\u5e74\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u4ea6\u5177\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c\uff1a\u7576\u5e74\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u57fa\u6e96\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e4b\u4e00\uff09\u5347\u7a7f\u6bcf\u6876120\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u4ecd\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57280.50%\uff0c\u56e0\u5176\u8a8d\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u4e0a\u885d\u5c6c\u77ed\u66ab\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5efa\u7acb\u4f60\u7684VT Markets\u771f\u5be6\u5e33\u6236<\/a>\u00a0\u53ca\u00a0\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u3002 <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6e23\u6253\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u9810\u6e2c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u5c07\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u7dad\u6301\u606f\u73873.75%\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2026\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u5ef6\u7e8c\u7dca\u7e2e\u6027\u66ab\u505c\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u805a\u7126\u901a\u8139\u8207\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u53ca\u50b5\u5e02\u6216\u8fce\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46141\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}