{"id":45811,"date":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/45811\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8bpmi%e5%8f%8a%e5%b0%b1%e6%a5%ad%e6%95%b8%e6%93%9a%e5%bc%b7%e5%8b%81%e5%b8%b6%e5%8b%95%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e9%ab%98%e5%be%8c%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/45811\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7f8e\u570bPMI\u53ca\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u52c1\u5e36\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u9ad8\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5f98\u5f8a\u65bc0.7160\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u6301\u5e73"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5468\u56db\u8cbc\u8fd1 0.7160 \u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u5e03\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u5f8c\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0a\u5468\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u9818\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\uff08Weekly Initial Jobless Claims\uff1a\u6bcf\u5468\u65b0\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u7684\u4eba\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u8861\u91cf\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u71b1\u5ea6\uff09\u7531 212K \u5347\u81f3 215K\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u6a19\u666e\u5168\u7403\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u6307\u6578\uff08S&P Global PMIs\uff1a\u53cd\u6620\u4f01\u696d\u63a1\u8cfc\u8207\u666f\u6c23\u64f4\u5f35\/\u6536\u7e2e\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI\uff08Manufacturing PMI\uff09\u7531 52.5 \u5347\u81f3 54.1\uff0c\u670d\u52d9\u696d PMI\uff08Services PMI\uff09\u7531 49.8 \u5347\u81f3 51.3\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff08Higher yields\uff1a\u50b5\u5238\u56de\u5831\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u6709\u5229\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u52a0\u5927\u6fb3\u5143\u58d3\u529b\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u77ed\u7dda\u504f\u5411\u4ecd\u504f\u5f31<\/h3>\n

AUD\/USD \u8dcc\u5e45\u53d7\u9650\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6fb3\u6d32\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08Reserve Bank of Australia\uff0cRBA\uff1b\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff09\u56e0\u901a\u8139\u56de\u843d\u6162\uff08sticky inflation\uff1a\u7269\u50f9\u5347\u5e45\u96e3\u4ee5\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\u800c\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\u7684\u53d6\u5411\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u4ea4\u6613\u4ecd\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u8f03\u5f37\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u53ca\u5be9\u614e\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u4e3b\u5c0e\u8d70\u52e2\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u56db\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u65b9\u9762\uff0cAUD\/USD \u5831 0.7159\uff0c\u4e26\u5728 20 \u671f\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0820-period SMA\uff1a\u628a\u904e\u53bb 20 \u500b\u50f9\u683c\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u89c0\u5bdf\u77ed\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u9644\u8fd1\u4f01\u7a69\u3002\u532f\u50f9\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc 100 \u671f SMA\uff08\u8f03\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u53c3\u8003\uff090.7063\uff1b\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08RSI\uff1a\u7d04 0\u2013100 \u7684\u52d5\u80fd\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u89c0\u5bdf\u8d85\u8cb7\/\u8d85\u8ce3\uff09\u7d04 52\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u8d70\u52e2\u504f\u6574\u56fa\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728 0.7163 \u53ca 0.7167\u3002\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u5728 0.7159\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u70ba 0.7137 \u53ca 0.7133\uff1b\u66f4\u6df1\u652f\u6301\u5728 0.7063\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790\u90e8\u5206\u7531 AI \u5de5\u5177\u5354\u52a9\u5b8c\u6210\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u4e00\u5e74\u5f8c\u8da8\u52e2\u5f97\u5230\u78ba\u8a8d<\/h3>\n

\u7d04\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u540c\u671f\uff0cAUD\/USD \u65bc 0.7160 \u9644\u8fd1\u6574\u56fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f03\u5f37\u4ee4\u532f\u50f9\u53d7\u58d3\uff1bRBA \u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u70ba\u6fb3\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u62c9\u92f8\u3002\u7576\u6642\u5e02\u5834\u5448\u73fe\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u300d\u8207\u300c\u6fb3\u6d32\u6297\u901a\u8139\u300d\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u77db\u76fe\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\uff082026 \u5e74 4 \u6708 23 \u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u504f\u5f31\u8d70\u52e2\u5df2\u660e\u986f\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u73fe\u7d04 0.6550\u3002\u96a8\u7740\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u8139\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u5b63\u5ea6\u6578\u64da\u964d\u81f3 3.2%\uff0cRBA \u7684\u9df9\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834\u9010\u6b65\u964d\u6eab\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7dad\u6301\u52d5\u80fd\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5dee\u8ddd\u4ee4\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u5831\u8f03\u6301\u6709\u6fb3\u5143\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002 <\/p>\n

2025 \u5e74\u5df2\u898b\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u97cc\u6027\u4e26\u975e\u77ed\u66ab\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u9818\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\u4ecd\u7d04 22 \u842c\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u504f\u7dca\uff08tight labor market\uff1a\u4f01\u696d\u4ecd\u8f03\u96e3\u62db\u4eba\u3001\u85aa\u916c\u58d3\u529b\u8f03\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u6301\u7e8c\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0cFed\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff09\u6e1b\u606f\u58d3\u529b\u8f03\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u70ba\u5c0f\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\uff08interest rate differential\uff1a\u5169\u5730\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e4b\u5dee\uff0c\u5e38\u5f71\u97ff\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\u8207\u532f\u7387\uff09\u56e0\u6b64\u6301\u7e8c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u50be\u659c\uff1a\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08Fed funds rate\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u70ba 4.75%\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 RBA \u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff1a\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff093.85%\u3002\u6b64\u5dee\u8ddd\u63d0\u9ad8\u6301\u6709 AUD\/USD\u300c\u505a\u591a\u300d\uff08long positions\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u6cbd\u58d3\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u6b64\u73fe\u5be6\uff0c\u8207\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u722d\u8ad6\u5f62\u6210\u5c0d\u6bd4\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff1a\u652f\u4ed8\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u5f8c\uff0c\u7372\u5f97\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\/\u5230\u671f\u6642\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u628a\u63e1\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u56fa\u5b9a\uff08defined risk\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u70ba\u5df2\u4ed8\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u53c3\u8207\u532f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8a66 0.6400 \u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff1a\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u9ad8\u4f4e\uff09\u4ecd\u5c6c\u6eab\u548c\uff0c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u76f8\u5c0d\u53ef\u63a7\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u82e5\u9810\u671f\u77ed\u7dda\u56e0\u904e\u5ea6\u4e0b\u8dcc\u800c\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff1a\u671f\u6b0a\u7d04\u5b9a\u7684\u8cb7\/\u8ce3\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u5982 0.6450 \u6cbd\u51fa\u300c\u4ee5\u73fe\u91d1\u4f5c\u64d4\u4fdd\u300d\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08cash-secured puts\uff1a\u8ce3\u51fa put \u4e26\u9810\u7559\u8db3\u5920\u73fe\u91d1\uff0c\u82e5\u88ab\u884c\u4f7f\u5247\u4ee5\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u8cb7\u5165\uff1b\u53ef\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u627f\u64d4\u4e0b\u8dcc\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u8209\u53ef\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u628a\u6f5b\u5728\u8cb7\u5165\u4f4d\u5b9a\u5728\u8f03\u7406\u60f3\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u65e2\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u627f\u8a8d\u77ed\u7dda\u6216\u51fa\u73fe\u4e4f\u529b\u53cd\u5f48\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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