\u5927\u83ef\u9280\u884c\uff08UOB\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f8c\u5c07\u8f49\u70ba\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u4eca\u65e5\u6599\u65bc158.50\u81f3159.20\u4e4b\u9593\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u52d5\u91cf\u6307\u6a19\uff08Momentum indicators\uff0c\u5373\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u5347\u8dcc\u529b\u5ea6\u53ca\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u6280\u8853\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5927\u81f4\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u77ed\u7dda\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u4e0d\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n
\u65e9\u524d\u89c0\u9ede\u70ba\uff0c\u7576\u532f\u50f9\u5728159.10\u9644\u8fd1\u6642\uff0cUSD\/JPY\u6216\u65bc158.20\u81f3159.60\u4e4b\u9593\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\u5176\u5f8c\u532f\u50f9\u5728158.54\u81f3159.20\u4e4b\u9593\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4e26\u4ee5158.79\u6536\u5e02\uff0c\u53470.11%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u4f861\u81f33\u5468\uff0cUOB\u7dad\u6301\u65e9\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\uff0cUSD\/JPY\u6599\u7dad\u6301\u65bc157.55\u81f3160.50\u7684\u5340\u9593\u5167\u3002\u8a72\u770b\u6cd5\u662f\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f8c\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u672a\u6709\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6587\u7ae0\u7a31\u5167\u5bb9\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u88fd\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e26\u7d93\u7de8\u8f2f\u5be9\u95b1\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9451\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671fUSD\/JPY\u5c07\u6574\u56fa\uff08Consolidation\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u660e\u78ba\u4e0a\u4e0b\u754c\u5167\u53cd\u8986\u4e0a\u843d\u3001\u66ab\u7f3a\u65b9\u5411\uff09\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08Derivatives\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u503c\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u76f8\u95dc\u8cc7\u7522\u5982\u532f\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u4ee5\u300c\u4f4e\u6ce2\u5e45\u53d7\u60e0\u300d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468157.55\u81f3160.50\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u70ba\u6b64\u63d0\u4f9b\u8f03\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u6846\u67b6\uff1b\u800c\u52d5\u91cf\u6307\u6a19\u6301\u5e73\u4ea6\u610f\u5473\u62bc\u6ce8\u55ae\u908a\u5927\u5347\u6216\u5927\u8dcc\u7684\u52dd\u7b97\u672a\u5fc5\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9019\u610f\u5473\u300c\u6cbd\u51fa\u6ce2\u5e45\u300d\uff08Selling volatility\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff09\u6216\u5c6c\u53ef\u884c\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8ce3\u51fa\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff08Strike price\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u7d04\u5b9a\u8cb7\u8ce3\u532f\u50f9\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u9ad8\u65bc160.50\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08Call option\uff0c\u5373\u8ce6\u4e88\u8cb7\u5165\u6b0a\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ce3\u51fa\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc157.55\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08Put option\uff0c\u5373\u8ce6\u4e88\u8ce3\u51fa\u6b0a\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u5728\u532f\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u5167\u6642\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08Premium\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u8cb7\u65b9\u652f\u4ed8\u3001\u8ce3\u65b9\u6536\u53d6\u7684\u8cbb\u7528\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fd1\u671f\u5e02\u5834\u6578\u64da\u4ea6\u652f\u6301\u6b64\u89c0\u9ede\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d\u3002USD\/JPY\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08One-month implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u532f\u7387\u6ce2\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u5df2\u7531\u4e0a\u5468\u52d5\u76ea\u6642\u903e11%\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\u7d048.7%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u518d\u70ba\u77ed\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u8d70\u52e2\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u4ee4\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u5728\u76f8\u5c0d\u4e0a\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56de\u98672025\u5e74\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u5834\u61f7\u7591\u51fa\u73fe\u5916\u532f\u5e72\u9810\uff08Intervention\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u8ce3\u5916\u5e63\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u532f\u50f9\uff09\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u6025\u5347\u5f8c\u4ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff1a\u521d\u6bb5\u6025\u5287\u6ce2\u52d5\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u5f80\u5f80\u9032\u5165\u6578\u5468\u6574\u56fa\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f8c\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u300c\u51b7\u537b\u671f\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\uff08Fundamentals\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8139\u3001\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u7b49\u5b8f\u89c0\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u4ea6\u50be\u5411\u652f\u6301\u77ed\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\uff08Core inflation\uff0c\u5373\u6263\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u7b49\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u901a\u8139\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u7d042.1%\u4fdd\u6301\u5e73\u7a69\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff09\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u53d6\u614b\u504f\u300c\u8010\u5fc3\u300d\uff08\u5373\u77ed\u671f\u4e0d\u6025\u65bc\u52a0\u6e1b\u606f\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6b20\u7f3a\u660e\u78ba\u50ac\u5316\u5291\uff08Catalyst\uff0c\u5373\u80fd\u89f8\u767c\u660e\u986f\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6216\u6578\u64da\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5927\u8dcc\u6216\u6025\u5347\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6599\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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