{"id":44317,"date":"2026-04-07T21:13:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T21:13:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44317\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T21:13:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T21:13:22","slug":"ing-%e7%9a%84-chris-turner-%e9%a0%90%e6%9c%9f%e6%96%b0%e8%a5%bf%e8%98%ad%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%b0%87%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%96%bc-2-25%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%a3%e9%a2%a8%e5%81%8f%e9%b4%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/44317\/","title":{"rendered":"ING \u7684 Chris Turner \u9810\u671f\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u65bc 2.25%\uff0c\u53e3\u98a8\u504f\u9d3f\uff0c\u50c5\u63d0\u4f9b\u6700\u4f4e\u9650\u5ea6\u6307\u5f15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ING \u9810\u671f\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08Reserve Bank of New Zealand\uff0cRBNZ\uff0c\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u592e\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08policy rate\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u7528\u4f5c\u5f71\u97ff\u6574\u9ad4\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u7dad\u6301\u5728 2.25%\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u4ea6\u9810\u671f\u4eca\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u4e0d\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u65b0\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u53ea\u6703\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u9650\u5ea6\u6307\u5f15\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\uff08market pricing\uff0c\u5373\u4ee5\u91d1\u878d\u7522\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff09\u53cd\u6620\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u7a7a\u9593\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u5408\u5171\u52a0\u606f 65 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08bp\uff1b\u57fa\u9ede\u662f\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u52d5\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c1bp = 0.01 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u5373 65bp = 0.65 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Rbnz Outlook And Nzd Implications<\/h3>\n<p>\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u5143\uff08New Zealand Dollar\uff0cNZD\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u8dd1\u8f38\u6fb3\u5143\uff08Australian Dollar\uff0cAUD\uff09\uff0c\u8207\u5546\u54c1\uff08commodities\uff0c\u5373\u539f\u6750\u6599\u5982\u91d1\u5c6c\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\uff09\u5c0d\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8f03\u5f37\u3001\u5c0d\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5f31\u6709\u95dc\u3002\u5831\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u975e RBNZ \u767c\u51fa\u66f4\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u5373\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u5426\u5247 NZD \u7684\u843d\u5f8c\u8868\u73fe\u6216\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\u5167\u5bb9\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u5354\u52a9\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u4e26\u7531\u7de8\u8f2f\u8986\u6838\uff1b\u7f72\u540d\u70ba FXStreet Insights Team\uff0c\u6574\u5408\u4e0d\u540c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u89c0\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u96a8\u7740 RBNZ \u660e\u65e5\u958b\u6703\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301 2.25%\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8a9e\u6c23\u504f\u300c\u9d3f\u6d3e\u300d\uff08dovish\uff0c\u5373\u50be\u5411\u6e1b\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u5bec\u9b06\u3001\u5c0d\u52a0\u606f\u8f03\u5be9\u614e\uff09\u3002\u9451\u65bc\u7e3d\u88c1 Breman \u4ee5\u5f80\u5df2\u591a\u6b21\u8868\u614b\u504f\u9d3f\uff0c\u7a81\u7136\u8f49\u70ba\u9df9\u6d3e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u5143\u6709\u8f49\u5f31\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6578\u64da\u652f\u6301\u592e\u884c\u4fdd\u6301\u5be9\u614e\uff1a\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u5b63\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation\uff0c\u5373\u6574\u9ad4\u7269\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u964d\u81f3 2.8%\uff0c\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1 RBNZ \u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\uff1b\u800c\u4e0a\u5b63\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff08GDP\uff0c\u5373\u7d93\u6fdf\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u986f\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b8c\u5168\u505c\u6eef\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6697\u793a\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Approaches For Aud Nzd<\/h3>\n<p>\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u770b\u6cd5\u610f\u5473\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc NZD \u6301\u5e73\u6216\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\u8cb7\u5165 NZD\/USD \u6cbd\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff1b\u671f\u6b0a\u662f\u300c\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u300d\uff0c\u8b93\u8cb7\u65b9\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\/\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\u51fa\u6216\u8cb7\u5165\uff1b\u6cbd\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u76f8\u95dc\u532f\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\uff0c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u9078\u5728 4 \u6708\u5e95\u6216 5 \u6708\uff0c\u6216\u53ef\u7528\u4f5c\u6355\u6349\u6703\u8b70\u5f8c\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u98a8\u96aa\u76f8\u5c0d\u6709\u9650\uff08\u6700\u591a\u640d\u5931\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u53ef\u628a\u63e1\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6216\u5728\u65bc\u300c\u5947\u7570\u679c\u300d\uff08kiwi\uff0c\u5373 NZD \u66b1\u7a31\uff09\u514c\u6fb3\u5143\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u843d\u5f8c\u3002\u9019\u8da8\u52e2\u7531\u6fb3\u6d32\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u5de5\u696d\u985e\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u5e36\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u4ee5\u4e73\u88fd\u54c1\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u7f3a\u4e4f\u540c\u7b49\u652f\u6301\u3002\u5728 RBNZ \u6c92\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u610f\u5916\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u5206\u5316\u6599\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6fb3\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u66f4\u5f37\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5169\u7a2e\u8ca8\u5e63\u8d70\u52e2\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u50f9\u683c\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u7dad\u6301\u65bc\u6bcf\u5678 120 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u8139\u66f4\u300c\u9ecf\u6027\u300d\uff08stickier\uff0c\u5373\u8f03\u96e3\u56de\u843d\uff09\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u5831 3.4%\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u6fb3\u6d32\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08Reserve Bank of Australia\uff0cRBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff09\u7acb\u5834\u8f03 RBNZ \u66f4\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2025 \u5e74\u4ea6\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff1a\u6fb3\u6d32\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b66\u60d5\uff0c\u800c RBNZ \u5df2\u958b\u59cb\u91cb\u51fa\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f49\u5f31\u7684\u6182\u616e\u3002\u5169\u570b\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u8ddd\uff08policy gap\uff0c\u5373\u5229\u7387\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u5dee\u7570\uff09\u73fe\u6642\u4f3c\u4e4e\u518d\u6b21\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u90e8\u7f72 AUD\/NZD \u4ea4\u53c9\u532f\u7387\uff08cross exchange rate\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u4ee5\u5169\u7a2e\u8ca8\u5e63\u76f4\u63a5\u514c\u63db\u7684\u532f\u7387\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5c6c\u8f03\u5408\u7406\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u76f8\u95dc\u8cc7\u7522\u5982\u532f\u7387\u3001\u5229\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/NZD \u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\uff08futures contracts\uff1b\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u5316\u5408\u7d04\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8cb7\u5165\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff1b\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u532f\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u6fb3\u6d32\u76f8\u5c0d\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u512a\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ING \u7684 Chris Turner 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