{"id":43780,"date":"2026-03-31T00:42:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T00:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/43780\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T00:42:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T00:42:35","slug":"ing-%e7%9a%84-taborsky-%e8%aa%8d%e7%82%ba%ef%bc%8c%e9%9a%a8%e8%91%97%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e8%88%87%e5%9c%b0%e7%b7%a3%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e6%83%a1%e5%8c%96%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%ef%bc%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/43780\/","title":{"rendered":"ING \u7684 Taborsky \u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u60e1\u5316\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50\u8ca8\u5e63\u8d70\u5f31"},"content":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50\uff08CEE\uff09\u8ca8\u5e63\u9762\u81e8\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\uff0c\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u9810\u671f\u4e2d\u9322\u9280\u884c\u6703\u5347\u606f\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u9032\u5165\u300c\u907f\u96aa\u300d\uff08risk-off\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6e1b\u5c11\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3001\u8f49\u5411\u8f03\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f\u7684\u300c\u5b9a\u50f9\u300d\uff08rate hike pricing\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7528\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u672a\u4f86\u5347\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u8207\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u4e5f\u627f\u53d7\u66f4\u5927\u58d3\u529b\u3002\n\n\u672c\u9031\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u6703\u900f\u904e\u66f4\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u8207\u66f4\u300c\u5e73\u5766\u7684\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u300d\uff08flatter yield curves\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u8207\u9577\u671f\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u7e2e\u5c0f\uff0c\u5e38\u898b\u65bc\u6210\u9577\u7591\u616e\u4e0a\u5347\u6216\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u7dca\u6642\uff09\u53cd\u6620\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7d44\u5408\u9810\u8a08\u6703\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50\u5916\u532f\u3002\n\n<h3>Key Data Releases This Week<\/h3>\n\u6ce2\u862d 3 \u6708\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u9810\u8a08\u9031\u4e8c\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5f9e 2.1% \u5347\u81f3 3.5%\u3002\u9019\u5c07\u9ad8\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\n\n\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50 3 \u6708\u300c\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578\u300d\uff08PMI\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u88fd\u9020\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u666f\u6c23\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u6307\u6a19\uff1b50 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u4ee3\u8868\u64f4\u5f35\u300150 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u4ee3\u8868\u840e\u7e2e\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u9031\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u3002\u9810\u8a08\u4e0d\u6703\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u4f0a\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u4f46\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u5411\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u3002\n\n\u571f\u8033\u5176\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u9031\u56db\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u6708\u589e\u7387\u9810\u8a08\u5f9e 3.0% \u653e\u7de9\u81f3 2.2%\u3002\u5728\u71c3\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u885d\u64ca\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u9810\u8a08\u5f9e 31.5% \u5347\u81f3 32.2%\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50\u5e02\u5834\u958b\u76e4\u9032\u5165\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f\u5b9a\u50f9\u627f\u53d7\u66f4\u591a\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\u4e4b\u4e00\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u6bcf\u6876 95 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3001\u70ba\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\u6703\u62d6\u7d2f\u5340\u57df\u8cc7\u7522\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u5c0d\u4e2d\u6771\u6b50\u8ca8\u5e63\u5b9c\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002\n\n<h3>Implications For Cee Currencies<\/h3>\n\u9019\u7a2e\u58d3\u529b\u652f\u6301\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8b8a\u5e73\uff0c\u4e26\u8b93\u6ce2\u862d\u8332\u7f85\u63d0\uff08PLN\uff09\u8207\u5308\u7259\u5229\u798f\u6797\uff08HUF\uff09\u7b49\u8ca8\u5e63\u627f\u58d3\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5347\u606f\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u5c07\u9762\u81e8\u8003\u9a57\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u901a\u81a8\u9ecf\u6027\uff08persistent inflation\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u4e0d\u6613\u56de\u843d\uff09\u8feb\u4f7f\u592e\u884c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u4e0b\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u300c\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish stance\uff0c\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u5347\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u7dca\u7e2e\uff09\u3002\u6ce2\u862d\u570b\u5bb6\u9280\u884c\uff08National Bank of Poland\uff09\u8fd1\u671f\u300c\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u300d\uff08hawkish hold\uff0c\u4e0d\u964d\u606f\u3001\u4e26\u91cb\u51fa\u504f\u7dca\u8a0a\u865f\uff09\u51f8\u986f\u9019\u7a2e\u5169\u96e3\u3002\n\n\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411\u672c\u9031\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6ce2\u862d 3 \u6708\u901a\u81a8\u30022 \u6708\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u610f\u5916\u4e0a\u884c\u81f3 5.1% \u5f8c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f 3 \u6708\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c07\u63a8\u5347\u66f4\u591a\u7dca\u7e2e\u9810\u671f\u4e26\u5c0d PLN \u5f62\u6210\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u76f8\u8f03 2025 \u5e74\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u8f03\u6eab\u548c\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u660e\u986f\u5347\u6eab\u3002\n\n\u653e\u773c\u6574\u500b\u5340\u57df\uff0c2 \u6708\u6700\u65b0\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI \u5df2\u986f\u793a\u666f\u6c23\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u6ce2\u862d\u3001\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8207\u6377\u514b\u90fd\u4f4e\u65bc 50\u3002\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u885d\u64ca\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684 3 \u6708 PMI 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