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\n\n\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u82e5\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u9577\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u6a94\uff0c\u5de5\u8cc7\u8207\u5b9a\u50f9\u884c\u70ba\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u300c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6548\u61c9\u300d\uff08second-round effects\uff0c\u56e0\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u5f15\u767c\u52a0\u85aa\u8207\u518d\u5ea6\u8abf\u50f9\uff0c\u8b93\u901a\u81a8\u66f4\u96e3\u964d\uff09\u6703\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u9304\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u82e5\u885d\u64ca\u66f4\u5927\u6216\u66f4\u4e45\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\uff08restrictive policy stance\uff0c\u8b93\u501f\u8cb8\u8b8a\u8cb4\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u9700\u6c42\u8207\u901a\u81a8\uff09\uff1b\u82e5\u885d\u64ca\u77ed\u66ab\uff0c\u6216\u7d93\u6fdf\u51fa\u73fe\u66f4\u591a\u9592\u7f6e\u7522\u80fd\uff08economic 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