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BoE Inflation Outlook And Labor Signals<\/h3>\n\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08MPC\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u6c7a\u5b9a\u82f1\u570b\u5229\u7387\u7684\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff09\u628a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0a\u4fee\u5230\u7d04 3.5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 2 \u6708\u7684 2.0%\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u5e36\u52d5\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u82f1\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u597d\u58de\u4e0d\u4e00\uff1aILO \u5931\u696d\u7387\uff08\u570b\u969b\u52de\u5de5\u7d44\u7e54\u5b9a\u7fa9\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff09\u70ba 5.2%\uff0c\u512a\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684 5.3%\uff1b\u5c31\u696d\u8b8a\u52d5\u589e\u52a0 8.4 \u842c\u4eba\uff1b\u4e0d\u542b\u734e\u91d1\u7684\u85aa\u8cc7\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7de9\u81f3 3.8%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u524d\u503c 4.1%\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.50%\u20133.75%\uff0c\u4ecd\u9810\u4f30\u4eca\u5e74\u6703\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u300c\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u300d\uff08\u6bcf\u4f4d\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u7684\u500b\u5225\u9810\u6e2c\u5206\u5e03\u5716\uff09\u986f\u793a 19 \u4f4d\u5b98\u54e1\u4e2d\u6709 7 \u4f4d\u8a8d\u70ba 2026 \u5e74\u4e0d\u6703\u964d\u606f\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u65b0\u5c4b\u92b7\u552e\u6708\u6e1b 17.6%\u3002\n\n\u82f1\u938a\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7d04\u5728 1.3427\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc 50 \u65e5 EMA\uff08\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u8996\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\uff091.3452\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 200 \u65e5 EMA\uff08\u8f03\u9577\u671f\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5747\u7dda\uff09\u7d04 1.3373\u3002\u91cd\u8981\u50f9\u4f4d\u5305\u62ec 1.3550\u30011.3620\/1.3650\u30011.3375\u30011.3320\u30011.3250\u3002\n\n

Options Volatility And Trading Positioning<\/h3>\n\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u8b93\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u6ce2\u52d5\u5ea6\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\uff1a\u82f1\u938a\/\u7f8e\u5143 1 \u500b\u6708\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08\u5f9e\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u56de\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u7d04\u5728 9.5%\u3002\u5c0d\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u8868\u793a\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08\u8cb7\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u9700\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u504f\u8cb4\uff1b\u82e5\u9810\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728\u91cd\u8981\u652f\u6490\u4e0b\u65b9\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money put\uff0c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u4f86\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u3002\u4fdd\u8b77\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u80cc\u666f\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u4e0b\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u8f03\u5927\u73fe\u8ca8\u90e8\u4f4d\uff08\u76f4\u63a5\u6301\u6709\u8ca8\u5e63\u6216\u5373\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u90e8\u4f4d\uff09\u7684\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u907f\u96aa\u3002\n\n\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u8a8d\u70ba\u590f\u5b63\u524d\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc 60%\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\uff08\u6703\u8b70\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5167\u5bb9\u6458\u8981\uff09\u66f4\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u5f9e\u6280\u8853\u9762\uff08\u4ee5\u50f9\u683c\u5716\u8868\u8207\u6307\u6a19\u5224\u65b7\u8d70\u52e2\uff09\u770b\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u521d\u9650\u5236\u6f32\u52e2\u7684 1.3650\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u652f\u6490\u5340\uff1b\u82e5\u6301\u7e8c\u8dcc\u7834\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee3\u8868\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u56de\u6a94\uff08\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4fee\u6b63\uff09\uff0c\u82e5\u80fd\u5b88\u4f4f\uff0c\u7126\u9ede\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u5230 1.3800 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\n\n\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u885d\u7a81\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff09\u4ecd\u662f\u532f\u5e02\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u8b8a\u6578\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u53ef\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u7ffb\u8f49\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u591a\u982d\u90e8\u4f4d\uff08\u770b\u6f32\u3001\u6301\u6709\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u90e8\u4f4d\uff09\u9032\u884c\u907f\u96aa\u8f03\u70ba\u7a69\u59a5\u3002\u8cb7\u5165\u77ed\u5929\u671f\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u8f03\u8fd1\u7684 put\uff09\uff0c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u63a5\u8fd1 1.3600\uff0c\u53ef\u4f5c\u70ba\u8f03\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u5e02\u5834\u7a81\u7136\u91cd\u65b0\u89e3\u8b80\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u5bec\u9b06\uff08dovish\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u964d\u606f\u6216\u653e\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u6216\u7f8e\u5143\u610f\u5916\u6025\u5347\u3002\n

\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 – \u9ede\u64ca\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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