{"id":40484,"date":"2026-03-19T11:58:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:58:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40484\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T11:58:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:58:57","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%e5%8a%a9%e6%94%bb%e5%be%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e7%ab%99%e7%a9%a9%ef%bc%8c%e7%84%a6%e9%bb%9e%e8%bd%89%e5%90%91%e5%8d%b3%e5%b0%87%e5%88%b0%e4%be%86%e7%9a%84%e6%ad%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40484\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u52a9\u653b\u5f8c\u7f8e\u5143\u7ad9\u7a69\uff0c\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u7684\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8207\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u6c7a\u7b56"},"content":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u9031\u4e09\u7f8e\u570b\u6642\u6bb5\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\uff0c\u7dad\u6301\u76e4\u6574\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7b49\u5f85\u745e\u58eb\u570b\u5bb6\u9280\u884c\uff08SNB\uff09\u3001\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff08BoE\uff09\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u884c\u4e8b\u66c6\u5247\u6709\u6bcf\u9031\u521d\u9818\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u91d1\u4eba\u6578\uff08Initial Jobless Claims\uff0c\u6307\u6bcf\u9031\u65b0\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u88dc\u52a9\u7684\u4eba\u6578\uff09\u8207 1 \u6708\u65b0\u5c4b\u92b7\u552e\uff08New Home Sales\uff0c\u6307\u65b0\u5efa\u4f4f\u5b85\u92b7\u552e\u91cf\uff09\u3002\n\n\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.5%\u20133.75%\u3002\u5229\u7387\u9ede\u9663\u5716\uff0f\u7d93\u6fdf\u9810\u6e2c\u6458\u8981\uff08SEP\uff0c\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff09\u4ecd\u986f\u793a 2026 \u8207 2027 \u5404\u6709 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08bps\uff0c\u57fa\u9ede\uff1b1 \u57fa\u9ede\uff1d0.01%\uff09\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff1b7 \u4f4d\u5b98\u54e1\u9810\u671f\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0d\u964d\u606f\uff0c1 \u4f4d\u5b98\u54e1\u9810\u6e2c\u660e\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\u3002\n\n<h3>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u653f\u7b56\u8a0a\u865f\uff1a\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u4e45\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u6a94<\/h3>\n\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u4f30 2026 \u5e74\u5e95\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08PCE\uff0cFed \u504f\u597d\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u70ba 2.7%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 12 \u6708\u7684 2.4%\uff0c\u6263\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u6838\u5fc3 PCE\uff08core PCE\uff0c\u8f03\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u4e5f\u9810\u4f30\u70ba 2.7%\u3002\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u81a8\uff1b\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u6539\u5584\u505c\u6eef\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u4e0d\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08USD Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0d\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u9031\u4e09\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd1 0.7%\uff0c\u9031\u56db\u65e9\u76e4\u5b88\u5728 100.00 \u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff08BoJ\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u5728 0.75%\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d 1 \u4f4d\u59d4\u54e1\u4e3b\u5f35\u5347\u606f 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\uff0f\u65e5\u5713\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 160.00 \u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7d04 159.50\u3002\n\n\u6fb3\u6d32 2 \u6708\u5c31\u696d\u589e\u52a0 48.9K\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684 20.3K\uff0c\u4f46\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5f9e 4.1% \u5347\u81f3 4.3%\u3002\u6fb3\u5e63\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5728 0.7050 \u4e0b\u65b9\u4ea4\u6613\uff1b\u82f1\u570b\u5931\u696d\u7387\u7dad\u6301 5.2%\uff0c\u85aa\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\uff08wage growth\uff0c\u5de5\u8cc7\u5e74\u589e\u7387\uff09\u5f9e 4.1% \u653e\u7de9\u81f3 3.8%\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBP\/USD\uff09\u4f4e\u65bc 1.3300\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u70ba 3.75%\u3002\n\n\u6b50\u5143\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 0.8% \u4e0b\u8dcc\u5f8c\u4ecd\u5b88\u5728 1.1450 \u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u8dcc\u7834 5,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e26\u4e0b\u63a2\u81f3 4,800 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u5728\u5148\u524d\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd1 4% \u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u7d04 3.5%\uff0c\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1\u6bcf\u6876 95.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\n\n<h3>\u5229\u7387\u3001\u5916\u532f\u8207\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u69cb\u60f3<\/h3>\n\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u91cb\u51fa\u300c\u5229\u7387\u5728\u9ad8\u6a94\u7dad\u6301\u66f4\u4e45\u300d\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u5f62\u6210\u652f\u6490\u3002\u5e74\u521d\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u504f\u9ecf\u8457\uff08persistent\uff0c\u6307\u4e0d\u6613\u56de\u843d\uff09\uff0c2026 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u5546\u54c1\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u70ba 3.1%\uff1b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u65b0\u589e 28 \u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u504f\u5f37\uff0c\u4f7f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u7f3a\u4e4f\u964d\u606f\u7406\u7531\u3002\n\n\u5728\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f37\u3002\u4e00\u500b\u76f4\u63a5\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u8cb7\u9032\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u4ee3\u865f\uff09\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u8cb7\u65b9\u6709\u6b0a\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\uff09\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u7a81\u7834 101.00\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u8ce3\u51fa\u73fe\u91d1\u64d4\u4fdd\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08cash-secured puts\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u8ce3\u6b0a\u4e26\u4fdd\u7559\u8db3\u5920\u73fe\u91d1\u627f\u63a5\u6a19\u7684\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8868\u9054\u770b\u591a\u3002\n\n\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4e5f\u9762\u81e8\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u5df2\u6709\u59d4\u54e1\u8868\u614b\u3002\u56de\u770b 2025 \u5e74\u5e95\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5168\u570b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u591a\u6b21\u5728 2.5% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u55ae\u4e00\u59d4\u54e1\u7684\u5347\u606f\u4e3b\u5f35\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5167\u90e8\u770b\u6cd5\u5dee\u7570\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u8fd1\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\uff0f\u65e5\u5713\u5df2\u5230\u63a5\u8fd1 2024 \u5e74\u4e2d\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7576\u5c40\u9032\u884c\u53e3\u982d\u5e72\u9810\uff08verbal intervention\uff0c\u5b98\u54e1\u767c\u8a00\u5f71\u97ff\u532f\u7387\uff09\u6216\u5be6\u969b\u9032\u5834\u5e72\u9810\uff08physical intervention\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u8cb7\u8ce3\u5916\u532f\uff09\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c2022 \u5e74\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff08derivative traders\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u9032\u50f9\u5916\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money puts\uff0c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u4f5c\u70ba\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u7136\u53cd\u8f49\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u9632\u7bc4\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u610f\u5916\u8f49\u5411\u8207\u5b98\u65b9\u5e72\u9810\u3002\n\n\u5f37\u52e2\u7f8e\u5143\u6703\u58d3\u6291\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9ec3\u91d1\u5df2\u8dcc\u7834\u91cd\u8981\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u5361\u3002\u5229\u7387\u8f03\u9ad8\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\u6301\u6709\u300c\u4e0d\u751f\u5229\u606f\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u300d\uff08non-yielding assets\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9ec3\u91d1\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u672c\uff08opportunity cost\uff0c\u9078\u64c7\u67d0\u65b9\u6848\u800c\u653e\u68c4\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u6536\u76ca\uff09\uff0c\u4f7f\u91d1\u50f9\u627f\u58d3\u3002\u539f\u6cb9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u6cb9\u50f9\u8d70\u5f37\u52a0\u6df1\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\u7684\u64d4\u6182\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u62c9\u92f8\u3002\n\n\u9ec3\u91d1\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65b9\u5411\u504f\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u9032\u9ec3\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\u7684\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff0c\u638c\u63e1\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u504f\u5f37\u8207\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\u7684\u58d3\u6291\u4e4b\u9593\u62c9\u626f\uff1b\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728 WTI \u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u8ce3\u51fa\u9435\u5140\u9df9\uff08iron condor\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u8207\u8cb7\u5165\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\u3001\u62bc\u6ce8\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u5340\u9593\u5167\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\uff09\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u9707\u76ea\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6bcf\u6876 90\u2013100 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\n\n\u6b50\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u50be\u5411\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u8207\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u6eab\u5feb\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u5169\u5730\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u81a8\uff08headline inflation\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u7e3d\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u90fd\u4f4e\u65bc 3.0%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5176\u7acb\u5834\u8f03\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e0d\u90a3\u9ebc\u5f37\u786c\u3002\n\n\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u3001\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u58d3\u6291\u6b50\u5143\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u82f1\u938a\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u5728\u5169\u500b\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cb7\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08call spreads\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u4f4e\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8cb7\u6b0a\u4e26\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9ad8\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u8cb7\u6b0a\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u5728\u9810\u671f\u8d70\u5f31\u6216\u76e4\u6574\u6642\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u504f\u5f37\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u4e0b\u63a7\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content 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