{"id":40328,"date":"2026-03-18T02:59:40","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T02:59:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40328\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T02:59:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T02:59:40","slug":"ocbc-%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%b8%ab%e5%a0%b1%e5%91%8a%e7%a8%b1%ef%bc%8cusd-thb-%e6%9c%88%e5%ba%a6%e4%b8%8a%e6%bc%b2-4%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e8%88%87%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40328\/","title":{"rendered":"OCBC \u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u5831\u544a\u7a31\uff0cUSD\/THB \u6708\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6f32 4%\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u8207\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u964d\u63a8\u5347\u4e0a\u884c\u98a8\u96aa"},"content":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\uff0f\u6cf0\u9296\uff08USD\/THB\uff09\u672c\u6708\u8fc4\u4eca\u5df2\u4e0a\u6f32\u8d85\u904e 4%\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u5834\u4e0b\u8abf\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u77ed\u671f\u964d\u606f\uff08\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u4e5f\u8b93\u6cf0\u570b\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\uff08terms of trade\uff1a\u51fa\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\u76f8\u5c0d\u9032\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\uff1b\u6bd4\u7387\u8b8a\u5dee\u4ee3\u8868\u8cb7\u9032\u53e3\u66f4\u8cb4\u3001\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\uff09\u60e1\u5316\u3002\n\n\u83ef\u50d1\u9280\u884c\uff08OCBC\uff09\u8a8d\u70ba\u6cf0\u9296\u5c0d\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\uff08risk sentiment\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u9858\u4e0d\u9858\u610f\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff09\u7279\u5225\u654f\u611f\u3002USD\/THB \u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u591a\u982d\uff08bullish\uff1a\u504f\u5411\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6280\u8853\u6307\u6a19\uff08technical indicators\uff1a\u7528\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u6210\u4ea4\u7b49\u8cc7\u6599\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u986f\u793a\u5df2\u8d85\u8cb7\uff08overbought\uff1a\u77ed\u671f\u6f32\u592a\u5feb\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u6a94\uff09\u3002\n\n\u91d1\u50f9\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6cb9\u50f9\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\u885d\u64ca\uff08terms-of-trade shock\uff1a\u56e0\u9032\u53e3\u80fd\u6e90\u8b8a\u8cb4\u800c\u7a81\u7136\u60e1\u5316\uff09\u8207\u66f4\u5f37\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u6cf0\u9296\u77ed\u671f\u4ecd\u6709\u58d3\u529b\u3002OCBC \u4e5f\u628a\u6cf0\u9296\u8d70\u5f31\u8207\u7f8e\u5143\u6574\u9ad4\u8d70\u52e2\u53ca\u5340\u57df\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u9023\u52d5\u8d77\u4f86\u3002\n\n\u95dc\u65bc\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff1a\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u822a\u9053\uff09\u7684\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u652f\u6490\u6cf0\u9296\uff1b\u4f46\u5f8c\u7e8c\u4ecd\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\uff08geopolitics\uff1a\u570b\u969b\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u5730\u7406\u56e0\u7d20\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff09\u3002\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\uff08support levels\uff1a\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u8cb7\u76e4\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff09\u70ba 32.10\uff08200 \u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1a\u904e\u53bb 200 \u5929\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca 61.8% \u6590\u6ce2\u90a3\u5951\u56de\u64a4\uff1a\u7528\u5e38\u898b\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4f30\u7b97\u56de\u6a94\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u8207 31.90\uff0850% \u6590\u6ce2\u90a3\u5951\u56de\u64a4\uff09\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u5728 USD\/THB \u770b\u5230\u719f\u6089\u7684\u578b\u614b\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c\u6211\u5011\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u521d\u6240\u89c0\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u6cf0\u9296\u518d\u6b21\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u52e2\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff08derivative traders\uff1a\u4ea4\u6613\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u9060\u671f\u7b49\u5408\u7d04\u7684\u4eba\uff09\u5e36\u4f86\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u53d7\u5230\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u63a8\u52d5\uff1b\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u822c\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u610f\u5916\u9ad8\u81f3 3.1%\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u964d\u4f4e\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8fd1\u671f\u964d\u606f\u7684\u671f\u5f85\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\uff08Brent crude oil futures\uff1a\u4ee5\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u70ba\u6a19\u7684\u3001\u7d04\u5b9a\u672a\u4f86\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5728\u4e2d\u6771\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\u5347\u6eab\u4e0b\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u6876 95 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u70ba\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u4f86\u9996\u6b21\u3002\u6cf0\u570b\u662f\u6de8\u9032\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u570b\uff08net oil importer\uff1a\u9032\u53e3\u6cb9\u91cf\u5927\u65bc\u51fa\u53e3\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u4e0d\u5229\u5176\u7d93\u6fdf\u524d\u666f\u3002\n\n\u5728\u9019\u4e9b\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u80fd\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u6cf0\u9296\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u8cb7\u5165 USD\/THB \u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff1a\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\uff0f\u8ce3\u51fa\u6cf0\u9296\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u4e14\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff1a\u5408\u7d04\u7d04\u5b9a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u7d04\u5728 37.00\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u8f03\u5c11\u8cc7\u91d1\u653e\u5927\u4e0a\u6f32\u90e8\u4f4d\u7684\u66dd\u96aa\uff08leveraged exposure\uff1a\u4ee5\u8f03\u5c0f\u6210\u672c\u53d6\u5f97\u8f03\u5927\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u6548\u679c\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u628a\u6700\u5927\u8667\u640d\u9650\u5236\u5728\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08option premium\uff1a\u8cb7\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u3002\u6b64\u4f5c\u6cd5\u8f03\u9069\u5408\u7528\u5728\u532f\u50f9\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0a\u6f32\u52d5\u80fd\uff08momentum\uff1a\u5ef6\u7e8c\u539f\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6280\u8853\u9762\u986f\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u504f\u71b1\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u6cf0\u9296\u662f\u5340\u5167\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u5168\u7403\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u9019\u9ede\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u4e5f\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u654f\u611f\u5ea6\u610f\u5473\uff1a\u82e5\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u518d\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u6216\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u91cb\u51fa\u66f4\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u504f\u5411\u5347\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u3001\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u7684\u610f\u5916\u8a0a\u865f\uff0cUSD\/THB \u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5feb\u3002\u82e5\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u9810\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u74b0\u5883\u8f03\u652f\u6301\u504f\u591a\u90e8\u4f4d\u3002\n\n\u60f3\u907f\u96aa\uff08hedge\uff1a\u7528\u53e6\u4e00\u7b46\u4ea4\u6613\u964d\u4f4e\u539f\u672c\u90e8\u4f4d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u6216\u63a1\u53d6\u53cd\u5411\u770b\u6cd5\uff08contrarian\uff1a\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u4e3b\u6d41\u65b9\u5411\u76f8\u53cd\uff09\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u6216\u53ef\u628a\u76ee\u524d\u6c34\u6e96\u8996\u70ba\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u9060\u671f\u5408\u7d04\uff08forward contracts\uff1a\u5169\u65b9\u7d04\u5b9a\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u56fa\u5b9a\u532f\u7387\u514c\u63db\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u5728\u8f03\u6709\u5229\u7684\u532f\u7387\u4e0a\u8ce3\u51fa\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u8981\u76f8\u4fe1\u6cb9\u50f9\u6703\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u6216\u5168\u7403\u98a8\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u6703\u660e\u986f\u6539\u5584\uff1b\u76ee\u524d\u770b\u4e0d\u51fa\u9019\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u6b63\u671d\u6709\u5229\u6cf0\u9296\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8f49\u8b8a\u3002\n\n\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u540c\u6b65\u8d70\u5f37\u52a0\u4e0a\u6cb9\u50f9\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e38\u63a8\u52d5\u532f\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u5373\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u7559\u610f 36.20 \u9019\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868 50 \u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0850-day moving average\uff1a\u904e\u53bb 50 \u5929\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u7121\u6cd5\u5b88\u4f4f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u77ed\u66ab\u505c\u6b47\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u98a8\u96aa\u4ecd\u6307\u5411\u6cf0\u9296\u77ed\u671f\u504f\u5f31\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6cf0\u9296\u53c8\u8981\u8dcc\uff1fFed\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u9000\u71d2\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u8207\u6cb9\u50f9\u98c6\u5347\u60e1\u5316\u6cf0\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\uff0cUSD\/THB\u672c\u6708\u6f32\u903e4%\u4ecd\u504f\u591a\uff1b\u95dc\u6ce836.20\u300132.10\/31.90\u652f\u6490\u8207\u8cb7\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40328"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40328\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}