{"id":40323,"date":"2026-03-18T01:58:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T01:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40323\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T01:58:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T01:58:58","slug":"%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e9%9a%a8%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%b1%e8%80%8c%e4%b8%8a%e6%bc%b2%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e9%9d%9c%e5%be%85%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40323\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u96a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u800c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u975c\u5f85\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u66f4\u65b0"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e8c\uff0cEUR\/USD \u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5929\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u95dc\u6ce8\u9ede\u5f9e\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6230\u722d\u8f49\u5411\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31 Fed\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff08European Central Bank\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31 ECB\uff1b\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\uff08\u5169\u7a2e\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u532f\u7387\u7d44\u5408\uff09\u5728\u76e4\u4e2d\u4f4e\u9ede\u7d04 1.1466 \u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u63a5\u8fd1 1.1546\u3002\n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08US Dollar Index\uff0cDXY\uff1b\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5c0d\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u5f37\u5f31\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5728\u65e9\u76e4\u672a\u80fd\u5b88\u4f4f 100 \u4e4b\u4e0a\u5f8c\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7d04 99.50\u3002Fed \u5c07\u65bc\u9031\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5340\u9593\u5728 3.50%\u20133.75%\u3002\n\n<h3>Fed \u6307\u5f15\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9<\/h3>\n\u5e02\u5834\u95dc\u6ce8 Fed \u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8207\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u53ea\u628a\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7d04 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis points\uff0cbp\uff1b\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u52d5\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.01 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\u7684\u964d\u606f\u7d0d\u5165\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6230\u722d\u524d\u7684\u8d85\u904e 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u3002\n\nCME FedWatch\uff08\u7528\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d Fed \u5347\u964d\u606f\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f Fed \u5728 4 \u6708\u30016 \u6708\u8207 7 \u6708\u90fd\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u30029 \u6708\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6642\u9593\u9ede\uff0c\u6a5f\u7387\u7d04 50.8%\u3002\n\nFed \u4e5f\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u66f4\u65b0\u7248\u7684\u300a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9810\u6e2c\u6458\u8981\u300b\uff08Summary of Economic Projections\uff0cSEP\uff1bFed \u5c0d\u6210\u9577\u3001\u5c31\u696d\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff09\u8207\u9ede\u9663\u5716\uff08dot plot\uff1b\u7531\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u7684\u500b\u5225\u9810\u4f30\u6240\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u5716\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6b50\u5143\u5340\uff0cECB \u9031\u56db\u958b\u6703\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u4e09\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08\u592e\u884c\u7528\u4f86\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u5229\u7387\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u5229\u7387\uff09\u90fd\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\n\n\u6cb9\u50f9\u8d70\u9ad8\u53ef\u80fd\u62d6\u6162\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6210\u9577\u4e26\u4f7f\u901a\u81a8\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u4f9d\u8cf4\u80fd\u6e90\u9032\u53e3\u3002\u885d\u7a81\u7206\u767c\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f ECB \u6703\u4e00\u8def\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\u5230 2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u986f\u793a\u6700\u65e9\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 7 \u6708\u5347\u606f\u3002\n\n<h3>\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u81a8\u8207 ECB \u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n\u9031\u4e09\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u4e5f\u6210\u70ba\u7126\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba ECB \u6c7a\u8b70\u5728\u5373\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; 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