{"id":40262,"date":"2026-03-17T10:58:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40262\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T10:58:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:58:29","slug":"%e9%9a%a8%e8%91%97%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b0%8d%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e7%9a%84%e9%a0%90%e6%9c%9f%e6%b6%88%e9%80%80%ef%bc%8cxag-usd-%e5%9c%a8%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e6%97%a9%e7%9b%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40262\/","title":{"rendered":"\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6d88\u9000\uff0cXAG\/USD \u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u65e9\u76e4\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u65bc\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 80.80 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u7dad\u6301\u75b2\u5f31"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9031\u4e8c\u6b50\u6d32\u65e9\u76e4\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8\uff08troy ounce\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u91cd\u91cf\u55ae\u4f4d\uff09\u5728 80.80 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FedWatch Tool\uff08\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u7684\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\u8ffd\u8e64\u5de5\u5177\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u5728\u9031\u4e09\u6703\u8b70\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.50%\u20133.75% \u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\n\n<h3>\u5229\u7387\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u8207\u767d\u9280<\/h3>\n\u5982\u679c\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5c07\u662f\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff08pause\uff0c\u66ab\u505c\u5347\u606f\u6216\u964d\u606f\uff09\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08Reserve Bank of Australia\uff0cRBA\uff09\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u7684 3 \u6708\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\uff0c\u628a\u5b98\u65b9\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08Official Cash Rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5f9e 3.85% \u5347\u81f3 4.10%\u3002\n\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of Japan\uff09\u9810\u671f\u5728\u9031\u56db\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387 0.75% \u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff08Treasury yields\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff09\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u7372\u5f97\u652f\u6490\u3002\n\n\u539f\u6cb9\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u591a\u8258\u6cb9\u8f2a\u5b89\u5168\u901a\u904e\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u8981\u9053\uff09\uff0c\u4e14\u4e3b\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u9810\u671f\u5c07\u91cb\u51fa\u77f3\u6cb9\u5132\u5099\uff08petroleum reserves\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6301\u6709\u7684\u7dca\u6025\u7528\u6cb9\uff09\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u4f9b\u61c9\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u9577 Scott Bessent \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5141\u8a31\u4f0a\u6717\u6301\u7e8c\u7d93\u7531\u8a72\u6d77\u5cfd\u904b\u8f38\u539f\u6cb9\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7e3d\u7d71 Donald Trump \u6b63\u5c0b\u6c42\u570b\u969b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u8b77\u7576\u5730\u5546\u696d\u904b\u8f38\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\n\n\u76ee\u524d\u767d\u9280\u5728 80.80 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u5448\u73fe\u62c9\u92f8\u3002\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u8207\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u70ba\u767d\u9280\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6490\uff1b\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u7dad\u6301\u5f37\u786c\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u58d3\u529b\u3002\n\n<h3>\u503c\u5f97\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u53ef\u80fd\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.75% \u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u8b93\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u50f9\u503c\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u8cc7\u7522\u5982\u767d\u9280\u3001\u5229\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u9762\u81e8\u66f4\u9ad8\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u56de\u9867 2024 \u5e74\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u66ab\u505c\u52d5\u4f5c\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u5e38\u51fa\u73fe\u9707\u76ea\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u8986\u731c\u6e2c\u592e\u884c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u77ed\u671f\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6e05\u695a\u7684\u55ae\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u3002\n\n\u5728\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u300c\u5403\u6ce2\u52d5\u300d\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u8ce6\u4e88\u8cb7\u8ce3\u6b0a\u5229\u3001\u4f46\u975e\u7fa9\u52d9\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u5408\u9069\u3002\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff08volatility indices\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u7dca\u5f35\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3\u7d04 18.5\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u76f8\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u8207\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u52d2\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u76f8\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\u8207\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff09\u3002\u9019\u985e\u90e8\u4f4d\u53ef\u5728\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u516c\u544a\u5f8c\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u7834\u6216\u4e0b\u7834\u6642\u7372\u5229\u3002\n\n\u4e5f\u8981\u5bc6\u5207\u8ffd\u8e64\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u6d88\u606f\u986f\u793a\u6cb9\u8f2a\u5b89\u5168\u901a\u904e\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5f8c\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 105 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u9031\u4e00\u5ea6\u885d\u7834 110 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\uff08geopolitical\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u5730\u5340\u885d\u7a81\uff09\u4e8b\u4ef6\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u5f15\u767c\u901a\u81a8\u6050\u614c\u3002\u82e5\u5340\u57df\u518d\u5ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u5e72\u64fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u77ed\u671f\u614b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\n\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u628a\u5229\u7387\u5347\u81f3 4.10% \u4e5f\u4e0d\u61c9\u5ffd\u8996\uff0c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u5168\u7403\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u4ecd\u672a\u53d7\u63a7\u3002\u6b64\u8209\u6e90\u81ea\u6fb3\u6d32\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\u7684 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