{"id":40222,"date":"2026-03-17T02:59:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T02:59:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40222\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T02:59:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T02:59:46","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rba%ef%bc%89%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%b1%ba%e8%ad%b0%e5%89%8d%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8f%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%8d%e5%bd%88-1-25-%e8%87%b3-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40222\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u524d\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\uff0f\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f48 1.25% \u81f3 0.7070\uff0c2 \u6708\u9ad8\u9ede\u7d04 0.7190 \u4e4b\u5f8c\u8d70\u52e2\u4ecd\u7136\u9707\u76ea"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD \u9031\u4e00\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 1.25%\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e0a\u9031\u4f4e\u9ede\u53cd\u5f48\u5f8c\u6536\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 0.7070\u3002\u81ea 2 \u6708\u521d\u5728\u7d04 0.7190 \u898b\u9802\u5f8c\uff0c\u8d70\u52e2\u5728\u5340\u9593\u5167\u9707\u76ea\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u4f86\u56de\u6ce2\u52d5\u3001\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u660e\uff09\uff0c\u5e38\u4e0b\u63a2\u63a5\u8fd1 0.7000 \u5f8c\u53c8\u56de\u5347\u3002  \n\n\u9031\u4e00\u6536\u76e4\u63a5\u8fd1\u8a72\u5340\u9593\u4e2d\u9593\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u7576\u65e5\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e3b\u8981\u8207\u7f8e\u5143\u6574\u9ad4\u8d70\u5f31\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6fb3\u5e63\u51fa\u73fe\u65b0\u7684\u8cb7\u76e4\u9700\u6c42\u3002  \n\n<h3>RBA \u6c7a\u8b70\u6210\u7126\u9ede<\/h3>  \n\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u9031\u4e8c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u5347\u606f 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis point\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u52d5\u55ae\u4f4d\uff1b1 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede = 0.01%\uff09\u81f3 4.10%\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u662f\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u5347\u606f\u3002  \n\n\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc 2%\u20133% \u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\uff1b\u4fee\u526a\u5e73\u5747\u901a\u81a8\uff08trimmed mean inflation\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u628a\u6975\u7aef\u9ad8\u4f4e\u6578\u64da\u6392\u9664\u5f8c\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u6838\u5fc3\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u5c07\u65bc\u9031\u56db\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u9810\u4f30\u65b0\u589e 2.03 \u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c0f\u5e45\u5347\u81f3 4.2%\u3002  \n\n\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52e2\u53d7\u5230\u300c\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u53ef\u80fd\u5c01\u9396\u300d\u7591\u616e\u964d\u6eab\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u64d4\u5fc3\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7d10\u7d04\u5dde\u5e1d\u570b\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u6307\u6578\uff08NY Empire State Manufacturing Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7d10\u7d04\u5dde\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u666f\u6c23\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u6307\u6a19\uff093 \u6708\u70ba -0.2\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u4f30\u7684 3.2\u3002  \n\n\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31 Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9031\u4e09\u7684\u6c7a\u8b70\u9810\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u5728 3.75%\uff0c\u4e26\u767c\u5e03\u6700\u65b0\u300a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9810\u6e2c\u6458\u8981\u300b\uff08Summary of Economic Projections\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31 SEP\uff1b\u5305\u542b\u5c0d\u6210\u9577\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u5931\u696d\u8207\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff09\u3002  \n\n<h3>\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u8207\u4ea4\u6613\u5e03\u5c40<\/h3>  \n\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74\u521d\uff0cAUD\/USD \u88ab\u56f0\u5728\u7d04 0.7100 \u7684\u9707\u76ea\u5340\u9593\u3002\u7576\u6642\u7684\u9a45\u52d5\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u504f\u5411\u5347\u606f\u3001\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\u66f4\u5f37\u786c\uff09\u628a\u5229\u7387\u5347\u81f3 4.10%\uff0c\u800c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u91cb\u51fa\u66ab\u505c\u5347\u606f\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u5169\u908a\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08policy divergence\uff0c\u5169\u570b\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u540c\uff09\u70ba\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u92ea\u8def\u3002  \n\n\u4e4b\u5f8c\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u8ddd\u660e\u986f\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u5c0d\u6fb3\u5e63\u6709\u5229\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u628a\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u5728 4.35% \u9ad8\u9ede\uff1b2025 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63\u901a\u81a8\u96d6\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9811\u56fa\u5728 3.4%\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5730\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5e95\u958b\u59cb\u964d\u606f\u5faa\u74b0\uff08cutting cycle\uff0c\u9023\u7e8c\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u9010\u6b65\u964d\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u628a\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08Fed Funds Rate\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9280\u884c\u9593\u9694\u591c\u62c6\u6b3e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u964d\u81f3 3.25%\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u63a5\u8fd1\u76ee\u6a19\u3002  \n\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u76f8\u5c0d\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5dee\uff08interest rate differential\uff0c\u5169\u570b\u5229\u7387\u4e4b\u5dee\uff09\u5e36\u4f86\u6b63\u5411\u5229\u5dee\u6536\u76ca\uff08positive carry\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u8ca8\u5e63\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u8ca8\u5e63\u53ef\u8cfa\u53d6\u5229\u5dee\uff09\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u505a\u591a\u6fb3\u5e63\u90e8\u4f4d\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u5df2\u986f\u793a\u8f49\u5f31\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u7f8e\u570b 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63 GDP \u6210\u9577\u50c5 1.2%\uff08GDP\uff0c\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff09\uff0c\u5ef6\u7e8c\u504f\u5f31\u3002\u9019\u652f\u6301\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u6301\u7e8c\u58d3\u6291\u7f8e\u5143\u3002  \n\n\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u6027\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff08derivative traders\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u300c\u50f9\u683c\u4f86\u81ea\u6a19\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u300d\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u8005\uff09\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u504f\u5411\u7dad\u6301 AUD\/USD \u770b\u591a\u7acb\u5834\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u532f\u50f9\u5728\u7d04 0.7480\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u57f7\u884c\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u9ad8\u65bc 0.7500 \u7684\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u53ef\u7528\u4f86\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u9650\u5b9a\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u592e\u884c\u8def\u5f91\u7dad\u6301\u53ef\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u504f\u4f4e\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD \u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 0.7070\u3001\u4ecd\u9677\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u6f32\u52e2\u591a\u9760\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411 RBA \u7e8c\u5347\u606f\u8207 Fed \u5229\u7387\u5c55\u671b\uff1b\u5229\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u3001\u6b63\u5411\u5229\u5dee\u652f\u6490\u504f\u591a\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40222"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40222\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}