{"id":40060,"date":"2026-03-13T23:58:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T23:58:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/40060\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T23:58:30","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T23:58:30","slug":"%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91%e9%80%a3%e8%b7%8c%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e9%80%b1%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e4%b8%8a%e6%bc%b2%e5%8a%a0%e5%8a%87%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e7%96%91%e6%85%ae%e4%b8%a6%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e5%8d%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/40060\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec3\u91d1\u9023\u8dcc\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9031\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u52a0\u5287\u901a\u81a8\u7591\u616e\u4e26\u63a8\u5347\u5347\u606f\u9810\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"\u9ec3\u91d1\u9031\u4e94\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9031\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u6230\u722d\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u64d4\u6182\uff0c\u4e26\u63a8\u9ad8\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\uff08\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\uff09\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002XAU\/USD\uff08\u9ec3\u91d1\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u5728\u7d04 5,040 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4ecd\u5728 5,000\u20135,200 \u7f8e\u5143\u5340\u9593\u5167\u3002\n\n\u81ea\u7f8e\u4ee5\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u958b\u6230\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u8981\u9053\uff09\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u4f0a\u6717\u4f0a\u65af\u862d\u9769\u547d\u885b\u968a\u5c01\u9396\u3002IEA\uff08\u570b\u969b\u80fd\u6e90\u7e3d\u7f72\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u5834\u885d\u7a81\u9020\u6210\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u5834\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\uff08\u4f9b\u7d66\u7a81\u7136\u5927\u6e1b\uff09\u3002\n\n<h3>\u592e\u884c\u9810\u671f\u8f49\u5411<\/h3>\n\u6230\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u539f\u672c\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u6703\u964d\u606f\u5169\u6b21\uff1b\u4f46\u6839\u64da Bloomberg 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\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b 10 \u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff0810-year yield\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u516c\u50b5\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u7d04 4.25%\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e94\u9031\u9ad8\u9ede\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u6838\u5fc3 PCE\uff08Core PCE\uff0c\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6392\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\uff091 \u6708\u6708\u589e 0.4%\u3001\u5e74\u589e 3.0%\uff1b\u7b2c 4 \u5b63 GDP\uff08\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u6210\u9577 0.7%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc 1.4% \u7684\u9810\u4f30\u3002\n\n\u5728 4 \u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u4e0a\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8dcc\u7834 100 \u671f SMA\uff08\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u7528\u4e00\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\u5224\u65b7\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u7d04 5,163 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e26\u6e2c\u8a66 200 \u671f SMA \u7d04 5,083 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price\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u7d04\u5b9a\u7684\u8cb7\u8ce3\u50f9\u683c\uff09\uff0c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u70ba 2026 \u5e74 4 \u6708\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4f86\u62bc\u6ce8\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2\u8ce3\u58d3\u3002\u5f9e\u5716\u8868\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u52d5\u80fd\uff08momentum\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u9032\u529b\uff09\u78ba\u5be6\u5728\u6e1b\u5f31\uff0c\u6280\u8853\u9762\u4e5f\u504f\u5411\u9019\u500b\u65b9\u5411\u3002\n\n<h3>\u7b56\u7565\u6027\u914d\u7f6e\u60f3\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u8b93\u4eba\u60f3\u8d77\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u63a8\u5347\u505c\u6eef\u6027\u901a\u81a8\uff08stagflation\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u75b2\u5f31\u4f46\u7269\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff09\u3002\u76ee\u524d WTI\uff08West Texas Intermediate\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u7d1a\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u5df2\u7ad9\u4e0a\u6bcf\u6876 150 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