{"id":39901,"date":"2026-03-12T11:58:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T11:58:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39901\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T11:58:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T11:58:22","slug":"%e4%b8%89%e8%8f%b1%e6%97%a5%e8%81%af%e9%87%91%e8%9e%8d%ef%bc%88mufg%ef%bc%89%e7%9a%84%e9%99%b3%e5%8b%9e%e5%9f%83%e5%be%b7%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%9a%e9%9a%a8%e8%91%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%8b%89%e5%85%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/39901\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e09\u83f1\u65e5\u806f\u91d1\u878d\uff08MUFG\uff09\u7684\u9673\u52de\u57c3\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u96a8\u8457\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u8207\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u98a8\u96aa\u84cb\u904e\u570b\u969b\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\uff08IEA\uff09\u91cb\u653e\u5132\u5099\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u6cb9\u50f9\u7a81\u783490\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u6bcf\u6876\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u7ad9\u4e0a 90 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u64d4\u5fc3\u8207\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u53ca\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff09\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u64d4\u6182\u84cb\u904e\u4e86\u570b\u969b\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\uff08IEA\uff0cInternational Energy Agency\uff0c\u53ef\u7406\u89e3\u70ba\u5404\u570b\u5408\u4f5c\u76e3\u6e2c\u8207\u5354\u8abf\u80fd\u6e90\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6a5f\u69cb\uff09\u8a08\u756b\u5f9e\u7dca\u6025\u5132\u5099\uff08emergency reserves\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6216\u6a5f\u69cb\u70ba\u4e86\u61c9\u5c0d\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u800c\u5132\u5b58\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\uff09\u91cb\u653e 4 \u5104\u6876\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u5831\u5c0e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7684\u6cb9\u6e2f\u5728\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u9818\u6d77\u6709\u5169\u8258\u6cb9\u8f2a\uff08tankers\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u904b\u8f38\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u5927\u578b\u8239\u96bb\uff09\u906d\u5230\u653b\u64ca\u5f8c\u505c\u6b62\u904b\u4f5c\u3002\n\nIEA \u9019\u6b21\u91cb\u653e\u7e3d\u91cf\u70ba 4 \u5104\u6876\uff0c\u5275\u4e0b\u6b77\u53f2\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\uff1b\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c2022 \u5e74\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5f8c\u91cb\u653e\u4e86 1.83 \u5104\u6876\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u91cb\u653e\u898f\u6a21\u7d04\u7b49\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u7e3d\u7528\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u7684 4 \u5929\u3002\n\n<h3>Strait Of Hormuz Supply Risk<\/h3>\n\u6bcf\u65e5\u7d04\u6709 20% \u7684\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u904b\u539f\u6cb9\u6703\u901a\u904e\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff0c\u7d04 2,000 \u842c\u6876\uff0f\u65e5\u3002\u82e5\u8a72\u8655\u53d7\u5e72\u64fe\uff0c\u9577\u6642\u9593\u8981\u88dc\u4e0a\u7f3a\u53e3\u6703\u5f88\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\n\n\u82e5\u5728 120 \u5929\u5167\u91cb\u653e 4 \u5104\u6876\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u7d04 330 \u842c\u6876\uff0f\u65e5\u3002\u4f46\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u82e5\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u51fa\u73fe\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210 1,000\u20131,300 \u842c\u6876\uff0f\u65e5\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u7f3a\u53e3\uff1b\u5373\u4f7f\u8003\u616e\u6539\u9053\uff08diversions\uff0c\u628a\u904b\u8f38\u8def\u7dda\u6539\u8d70\u5176\u4ed6\u8def\uff09\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6c99\u70cf\u5730\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u6771\u897f\u5411\u7ba1\u7dda\uff08East West pipeline\uff0c\u6a6b\u8de8\u570b\u5167\u3001\u628a\u539f\u6cb9\u9001\u5f80\u53e6\u4e00\u5074\u6e2f\u53e3\u4ee5\u907f\u958b\u7279\u5b9a\u6d77\u57df\u7684\u8f38\u6cb9\u7ba1\uff09\uff0c\u7f3a\u53e3\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5927\u3002\n\n\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u4e8b\u5be6\uff1a\u5c31\u7b97\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u30014 \u5104\u6876\u7684\u7dca\u6025\u91cb\u653e\uff0c\u4e5f\u7121\u6cd5\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u4e0b\u58d3\u4f4f\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u8377\u83ab\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u660e\u986f\u84cb\u904e\u77ed\u671f\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u5347\u7834 90 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\n\n<h3>Derivative Strategy Implications<\/h3>\n\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u6027\u5546\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8ddf\u8457\u539f\u6cb9\u7b49\u6a19\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u82e5\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u56de\u6a94\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u8cb7\u9032\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u504f\u591a\u7b56\u7565\u4f8b\u5982\u8cb7\u9032\u8cb7\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff1b\u7528\u8f03\u5c11\u8cc7\u91d1\u53d6\u5f97\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u4e26\u628a\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u7d04\u5b9a\u7684\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u653e\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u3001\u7d04 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u6709\u5176\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3002\u4e5f\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u8ce3\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money put options\uff0c\u5c65\u7d04\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff1b\u8ce3\u65b9\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u4f46\u627f\u64d4\u4e0b\u8dcc\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u8cb7\u65b9\u652f\u4ed8\u7d66\u8ce3\u65b9\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u8cbb\u7528\uff09\u70ba\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u8a8d\u70ba\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6a5f\u7387\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002\n\n\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u80fd\u5c0d\u7167 2022 \u5e74\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5f8c\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u521d\u671f\u7684\u5132\u5099\u91cb\u653e\u5c0d\u6291\u5236\u6f32\u52e2\u5e6b\u52a9\u6709\u9650\u3002\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7528\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u53ef\u80fd\u6ce2\u52d5\u5927\u5c0f\u300d\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u6703\u8b93\u8cb7\u671f\u6b0a\u6210\u672c\u8b8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u63d0\u9ad8\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u6536\u53d6\u6536\u5165\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u4f9d\u7136\u5c0d\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u6d88\u606f\u66f4\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u770b\u5354\u8abf\u91cb\u653e\u4f9b\u61c9\u3002\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content 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