{"id":39607,"date":"2026-03-09T22:59:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T22:59:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39607\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T22:59:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T22:59:44","slug":"%e6%b3%95%e5%9c%8b%e5%b7%b4%e9%bb%8e%e9%8a%80%e8%a1%8c%e9%a0%90%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c%e9%9a%a8%e8%91%97%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e6%88%90%e9%95%b7%e5%8f%8a%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e8%b2%a1%e6%94%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/live-updates\/39607\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cd5\u570b\u5df4\u9ece\u9280\u884c\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6b50\u6d32\u6210\u9577\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5c07\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37"},"content":{"rendered":"\u6cd5\u570b\u5df4\u9ece\u9280\u884c\uff08BNP Paribas\uff09\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\u6536\u652f\u8207\u8209\u50b5\u76f8\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b50\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u66f4\u7a69\u5065\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5c07\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\u8a72\u884c\u9810\u6e2c EUR\/USD\uff08\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\uff09\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63\u9054\u5230 1.20\u3002\n\n\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6210\u9577\u7387\u9810\u4f30\uff1a2025 \u5e74 1.5%\u30012026 \u5e74 1.6%\u30022026 \u5e74\u6bcf\u5b63\uff08q\/q\uff0c\u5b63\u6bd4\uff1a\u8207\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u76f8\u6bd4\uff09\u7d04 0.5%\u3002\n\n<h3>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n2027 \u5e74\u6210\u9577\u7387\u9810\u4f30\u5e73\u5747 1.6%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea\u7d50\u8f49\u6548\u61c9\uff08carryover effect\uff1a\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u6210\u9577\u52d5\u80fd\u5ef6\u7e8c\u5230\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6bcf\u5b63\u589e\u901f\u653e\u6162\u81f3 0.3% q\/q\u3002\u6b64\u5c55\u671b\u5047\u8a2d\uff1a\u5fb7\u570b\u63a8\u51fa\u8ca1\u653f\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u8ecd\u4e8b\u652f\u51fa\u63d0\u9ad8\u3001\u6b50\u6d32\u589e\u52a0\u8207 AI\uff08\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff09\u76f8\u95dc\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4e14\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\uff08\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\uff1a\u4eba\u529b\u4f9b\u9700\u8207\u5c31\u696d\u72c0\u6cc1\uff09\u4ecd\u5177\u97cc\u6027\u3002\n\nEU\u2013US\uff08\u6b50\u76df\u2014\u7f8e\u570b\uff09\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u70ba\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u7dad\u6301\u5728 2% \u76ee\u6a19\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002\n\n\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u5728 2027 \u5e74\u6eab\u548c\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f ECB\uff08\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5728 2027 \u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\uff08H2\uff1a\u4e00\u5e74\u4e2d\u7684\u5f8c\u534a\u6bb5\uff09\u5347\u606f\u3002\u6cd5\u570b\u5df4\u9ece\u9280\u884c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5b58\u6b3e\u6a5f\u5236\u5229\u7387\uff08deposit facility rate\uff1a\u9280\u884c\u628a\u8cc7\u91d1\u5b58\u653e\u5728\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5c07\u5347\u81f3 2.5%\u3002\n\n<h3>\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u8003\u91cf<\/h3>\n\u6b50\u6d32\u6210\u9577\u8f49\u5f37\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u7372\u8fd1\u671f\u6578\u64da\u652f\u6301\uff1a2 \u6708\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7d9c\u5408 PMI\uff08\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578\uff1a\u7528\u554f\u5377\u8861\u91cf\u4f01\u696d\u666f\u6c23\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u9ad8\u65bc 50 \u4ee3\u8868\u64f4\u5f35\uff09\u521d\u503c\u5347\u81f3 51.2\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u660e\u986f\u64f4\u5f35\u3002\u52d5\u80fd\u4f86\u81ea\u5fb7\u570b\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u63aa\u65bd\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u5404\u5730\u6295\u8cc7\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u51fa\u73fe\u653e\u7de9\u8de1\u8c61\uff1a\u6700\u65b0 2 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u5e74\u5167\u6578\u64da\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d 0.2%\u3002\n\n\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u7a69\u5065\uff0c\u70ba\u4eca\u5e74\u9810\u671f\u52a0\u901f\u6253\u4e0b\u57fa\u790e\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u52e2\u4f7f\u6b50\u5143\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u532f\u7387\u5347\u503c\u9810\u4f30\u8f03\u70ba\u6f38\u9032\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff1a\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u51fa\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6703\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u8f03\u9577\u5929\u671f\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff1a\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff0c\u7528\u8f03\u5e38\u898b\u8aaa\u6cd5\u662f\u300c\u671f\u6b0a\u300d\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5177\u6027\u50f9\u6bd4\u3002\n\n\u7531\u65bc\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u81a8\u4ecd\u4f4e\u65bc\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982 2 \u6708\u901a\u81a8\u521d\u4f30 1.8%\uff0cECB \u9810\u671f\u8981\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u624d\u6703\u5347\u606f\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u8f03\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u653e\u5728\u652f\u6490\u532f\u7387\u7684\u6210\u9577\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u8f03\u5c11\u300c\u610f\u5916\u5347\u606f\u300d\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e03\u5c40\u6b50\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\u5efa\u7acb\u4f60\u7684 VT Markets \u5373\u6642\u5e33\u6236<\/a> \u4e26 <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u3002<\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/trade-now\/\">\u9019\u88e1<\/a>\u5275\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b50\u6d32\u6210\u9577\u66f4\u7a69\u3001\u5fb7\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u8207AI\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u653b\uff0cBNP\u770b\u6b50\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\uff1aEUR\/USD 2026Q4\u4e0a\u770b1.20\u3002\u901a\u81a8\u4f4e\u65bc2%\uff0cECB 2027H2\u624d\u5347\u606f\u81f32.5%\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39607"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39607\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}