{"id":14447,"date":"2024-09-16T10:40:18","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T10:40:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/hk\/?p=13993"},"modified":"2024-09-16T10:40:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T10:40:18","slug":"%e6%af%8f%e9%80%b1%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e9%bb%9e%e8%a9%95-%e7%be%8e%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e9%96%8b%e5%95%9f%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e9%80%b2%e5%85%a5%e5%80%92%e8%a8%88%e6%99%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/outlook\/14447\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bcf\u9031\u5e02\u5834\u9ede\u8a55: \u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u958b\u555f\u964d\u606f\u9032\u5165\u5012\u8a08\u6642"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7279\u5225\u95dc\u6ce8\u8c37\u6b4c\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u9019\u5bb6\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u982d\u5468\u4e00\u958b\u59cb\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u53cd\u58df\u65b7\u5be9\u5224\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u76f8\u4fe1\u9019\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6311\u6230\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u91cd\u5851\u5176\u696d\u52d9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9019\u4e9b\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u53f8\u6cd5\u90e8 (DOJ) \u727d\u982d\u7684\u8a34\u8a1f\u5c0d\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u6578\u5b57\u5ee3\u544a\u9818\u57df\u7684\u4e3b\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u56b4\u91cd\u8cea\u7591\u3002\u5c0d\u53cd\u7af6\u722d\u884c\u70ba\u7684\u6307\u63a7\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6d88\u9664\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u5a01\u8105\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8feb\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u9032\u884c\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9762\u81e8\u88ab\u5206\u62c6\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9019\u4e9b\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6311\u6230\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u3002\u8c37\u6b4c\u6bcd\u516c\u53f8 Alphabet \u56e0\u5176\u8cfc\u7269\u670d\u52d9\u512a\u65bc\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\u800c\u5728\u6b50\u76df\u5931\u53bb\u4e86 27 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u8a34\u3002\u76e1\u7ba1 Alphabet \u81ea 2017 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u4e00\u76f4\u52aa\u529b\u9075\u5b88\u76e3\u7ba1\u88c1\u6c7a\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u6848\u4ef6\u5c0d\u5176\u5546\u696d\u6a21\u5f0f\u69cb\u6210\u6301\u7e8c\u5a01\u8105\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u53f8\u6cd5\u90e8\u8d0f\u5f97\u9019\u4e9b\u6848\u4ef6\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63a8\u52d5\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u91cd\u5851 Alphabet \u7684\u6574\u500b\u7d50\u69cb\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u56b4\u91cd\u7834\u58de\u5176\u5728\u6578\u5b57\u5ee3\u544a\u9818\u57df\u7684\u5f37\u52e2\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76e1\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8c37\u6b4c\u5728\u5176\u6838\u5fc3\u696d\u52d9\u9818\u57df\u7684\u97cc\u6027\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002 Google \u641c\u7d22\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5e36\u4f86\u826f\u597d\u7684\u6536\u5165\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u50c5 2024 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u5c31\u8ca2\u737b\u4e86 485.1 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u76e1\u7ba1\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9818\u57df\u5feb\u901f\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u8c37\u6b4c\u62b5\u5fa1\u4f86\u81ea ChatGPT \u548c Bing AI \u7b49\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u65e5\u76ca\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8c37\u6b4c\u96f2\u4e5f\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u9577\u3002\u8207 2023 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8a72\u90e8\u9580 2024 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6536\u5165\u589e\u9577\u4e86 38.9%\uff0c\u9023\u7e8c\u56db\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u5be6\u73fe\u76c8\u5229\u3002\u8a72\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u5668\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u71df\u696d\u5229\u6f64\u7387\u8f49\u6b63\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u597d\u5176\u9577\u671f\u6f5b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

Alphabet \u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u6307\u6a19\u5168\u9762\u4fdd\u6301\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6cd5\u5f8b\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u4e5f\u6210\u70ba\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u8003\u616e\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u9810\u671f\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u70ba18.26\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc23.4\u7684\u4e94\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u80a1\u6536\u76ca (EPS) \u7a69\u6b65\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u672a\u4f86 12 \u500b\u6708\u5c07\u5f9e 2023 \u5e74\u7684 5.80 \u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u81f3 8.67 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6bcf\u80a1\u81ea\u7531\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u9810\u8a08\u4e5f\u5c07\u5f9e 5.46 \u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u81f3 6.64 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9452\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u5230\u5176\u6536\u5165\u589e\u9577\u8ecc\u8de1\u548c\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u56de\u8cfc\uff0cAlphabet \u7684\u4f30\u503c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u3002\u8a72\u80a1\u4fdd\u5b88\u4f30\u503c\u70ba\u6bcf\u80a1 190 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6700\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\u70ba 210 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u672a\u4f86\u9084\u6709\u4e0a\u6f32\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5373\u4f7f\u6709 10% \u7684\u5b89\u5168\u908a\u969b\uff0c\u6700\u4f4e\u4f30\u503c\u4e5f\u70ba 171 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4ee5\u7576\u524d\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u9032\u5165\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u671f\u5167\uff0cAlphabet \u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u53f8\u6cd5\u90e8\u6848\u4ef6\u7684\u5c55\u958b\u800c\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\u640d\u5931\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u503c\u77ed\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5982\u679c\u5b83\u5c0e\u81f4\u4efb\u4f55\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u91cd\u7d44\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8b39\u614e\u884c\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c Alphabet \u80fd\u5920\u61c9\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u5176\u9577\u671f\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u7136\u6a02\u89c0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u5834\u56de\u9867<\/h2>\n

\u9996\u5148\u56de\u9867\u4e00\u4e0b\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u76e4\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578 (USDX) \u8dcc\u7834 100.38 \u4f4e\u9ede\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u652f\u6490\u6b50\u5143\u548c\u82f1\u938a\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u3002\u6b50\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u95dc\u9375\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u6f5b\u5728\u770b\u6f32\u884c\u52d5\u4f4d\u65bc 1.0970 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u82f1\u938a\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u6709\u671b\u5fa9\u8607\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d 1.2970 \u662f\u95dc\u9375\u6c34\u6e96\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728 70 \u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u8b8a\u52d5\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u76e4\u6574\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u4ea4\u6295\u65bc\u6b77\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u91d1\u50f9\u4e26\u672a\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u91cd\u5927\u9006\u8f49\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u770b\u6f32\u60c5\u7dd2\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63a8\u52d5\u91d1\u50f9\u7a81\u78342600\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u80a1\u5e02\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5982\u679c SP500 \u6307\u6578\u5728 5565 \u9ede\u9644\u8fd1\u4fdd\u6301\u770b\u6f32\u52e2\u982d\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u8655\u65bc\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6b77\u53f2\u9ad8\u9ede\u7684\u908a\u7de3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5728 58,100 \u7f8e\u5143\u6c34\u6e96\u9644\u8fd1\u76e4\u6574\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u8fd1\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u6709\u671b\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728 2.168 \u6c34\u6e96\u9644\u8fd1\u76e4\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e3b\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da<\/h2>\n

\u672c\u5468\u6709\u5e7e\u9805\u95dc\u9375\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9808\u4fdd\u6301\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u6216\u5c07\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u7a40\u6b4c\u53cd\u58df\u65b7\u6848\u7684\u9032\u5c55\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u767c\u4f48\u65b0\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u3002<\/p>\n

9 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u4e8c\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u7126\u9ede\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927CPI\u9810\u8a08\u70ba0.1%\uff0c\u8f03\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.4%\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684CPI\u6307\u6578\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6291\u5236\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u7d66\u52a0\u5143\u5e36\u4f86\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u4e0b\u964d 0.1%\uff0c\u4e0a\u6708\u70ba 1.0%\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u660e\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u6216\u7d66\u7f8e\u5143\u5e36\u4f86\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

9 \u6708 18 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u5c07\u516c\u4f48 CPI \u6578\u64da\u3002\u9810\u8a08\u5168\u5e74\u6578\u5b57\u5c07\u7a69\u5b9a\u57282.2%\u3002\u504f\u96e2\u9019\u4e00\u9810\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5f15\u767c\u82f1\u938a\u8d70\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u7c98\u6027\u6216\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u767c\u570d\u7e5e\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7dca\u7e2e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u652f\u6490\u82f1\u938a\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u5370\u6578\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u731c\u6e2c\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0d\u8ca8\u5e63\u65bd\u52a0\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u5c07\u662f\u95dc\u9375<\/h2>\n

9 \u6708 19 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u56db\u5c07\u662f\u7570\u5e38\u5fd9\u788c\u7684\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u6703\u8b70\u6210\u70ba\u7126\u9ede\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5099\u53d7\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u7f8e\u806f\u5132 FOMC \u6703\u8b70\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u8a08\u5b98\u65b9\u5229\u7387\u5c07\u4e0b\u8abf 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u5f9e 5.50% \u964d\u81f3 5.25%\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u610f\u5916\u60c5\u6cc1\u5982\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u63a1\u53d6\u66f4\u52a0\u9d3f\u6d3e\u6216\u9df9\u6d3e\u7684\u8a9e\u6c23\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5404\u8cc7\u7522\u985e\u5225\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u5132\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff09\u4e5f\u5c07\u516c\u4f48GDP\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u589e\u9577-0.3%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u9084\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\u5176\u5b98\u65b9\u9280\u884c\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u7dad\u6301\u5728 5.00%\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u5c07\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u6697\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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